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We propose a network architecture capable of reliably estimating uncertainty of regression based predictions without sacrificing accuracy. The current state-of-the-art uncertainty algorithms either fall short of achieving prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Kinjal Patel , Steven Waslander

An algorithm is described that enables efficient deterministic approximate computation of the bootstrap distribution for any linear bootstrap method $T_n^*$, alleviating the need for repeated resampling from observations (resp.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Thomas Pitschel

We consider the task of constructing confidence intervals with differential privacy. We propose two private variants of the non-parametric bootstrap, which privately compute the median of the results of multiple "little" bootstraps run on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Karan Chadha , John Duchi , Rohith Kuditipudi

Bayesian inference without the likelihood evaluation, or likelihood-free inference, has been a key research topic in simulation studies for gaining quantitatively validated simulation models on real-world datasets. As the likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Dongjun Kim , Kyungwoo Song , YoonYeong Kim , Yongjin Shin , Wanmo Kang , Il-Chul Moon , Weonyoung Joo

For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Efstathios Paparoditis

Private inference (PI) enables inference directly on cryptographically secure data.While promising to address many privacy issues, it has seen limited use due to extreme runtimes. Unlike plaintext inference, where latency is dominated by…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Minsu Cho , Ameya Joshi , Siddharth Garg , Brandon Reagen , Chinmay Hegde

Differential Privacy (DP) is the de facto standard for reasoning about the privacy guarantees of a training algorithm. Despite the empirical observation that DP reduces the vulnerability of models to existing membership inference (MI)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Anvith Thudi , Ilia Shumailov , Franziska Boenisch , Nicolas Papernot

Recently, deep learning, which uses Deep Neural Networks (DNN), plays an important role in many fields. A secure neural network model with a secure training/inference scheme is indispensable to many applications. To accomplish such a task…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Chin-Yu Sun , Allen C. -H. Wu , TingTing Hwang

We propose a simple and efficient approach to generate a prediction intervals (PI) for approximated and forecasted trends. Our method leverages a weighted asymmetric loss function to estimate the lower and upper bounds of the PI, with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-20 Milo Grillo , Yunpeng Han , Agnieszka Werpachowska

In two-party machine learning prediction services, the client's goal is to query a remote server's trained machine learning model to perform neural network inference in some application domain. However, sensitive information can be obtained…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Karthik Garimella , Zahra Ghodsi , Nandan Kumar Jha , Siddharth Garg , Brandon Reagen

Simulation-based inference (SBI) offers a flexible and general approach to performing Bayesian inference: In SBI, a neural network is trained on synthetic data simulated from a model and used to rapidly infer posterior distributions for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Julius Vetter , Manuel Gloeckler , Daniel Gedon , Jakob H. Macke

Approximate Bayesian computing is a powerful likelihood-free method that has grown increasingly popular since early applications in population genetics. However, complications arise in the theoretical justification for Bayesian inference…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-03 Suzanne Thornton , Wentao Li , Min-ge Xie

We present a series of new differentially private (DP) algorithms with dimension-independent margin guarantees. For the family of linear hypotheses, we give a pure DP learning algorithm that benefits from relative deviation margin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Raef Bassily , Mehryar Mohri , Ananda Theertha Suresh

Traditional regression and prediction tasks often only provide deterministic point estimates. To estimate the distribution or uncertainty of the response variable, traditional methods either assume that the posterior distribution of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Dongfeng Yuan

Bootstrap inference is a powerful tool for obtaining robust inference for quantiles and difference-in-quantiles estimators. The computationally intensive nature of bootstrap inference has made it infeasible in large-scale experiments. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-10 Mårten Schultzberg , Sebastian Ankargren

This paper proposes new methodologies for conducting practical differentially private (DP) estimation and inference in high-dimensional linear regression. We first introduce a DP Bayesian Information Criterion (DP-BIC) for selecting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Zhanrui Cai , Sai Li , Xintao Xia , Linjun Zhang

Estimating causal effects from large experimental and observational data has become increasingly prevalent in both industry and research. The bootstrap is an intuitive and powerful technique used to construct standard errors and confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-07 Matthew Kosko , Lin Wang , Michele Santacatterina

Learning in neural networks is often framed as a problem in which targeted error signals are directly propagated to parameters and used to produce updates that induce more optimal network behaviour. Backpropagation of error (BP) is an…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Nasir Ahmad , Ellen Schrader , Marcel van Gerven

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet

The fast growth of social networks and their privacy requirements in recent years, has lead to increasing difficulty in obtaining complete topology of these networks. However, diffusion information over these networks is available and many…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Maryam Ramezani , Hamid R. Rabiee , Maryam Tahani , Arezoo Rajabi