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In this paper, we study the effects of using an algorithm-based risk assessment instrument to support the prediction of risk of criminalrecidivism. The instrument we use in our experiments is a machine learning version ofRiskEval(name…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Manuel Portela , Carlos Castillo , Songül Tolan , Marzieh Karimi-Haghighi , Antonio Andres Pueyo

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies into judicial decision-making, particularly in pretrial, sentencing, and parole contexts, has generated substantial concerns about transparency, reliability, and accountability.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Arthur Dyevre , Ahmad Shahvaroughi

In the criminal justice system, algorithmic risk assessment instruments are used to predict the risk a defendant poses to society; examples include the risk of recidivating or the risk of failing to appear at future court dates. However,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Mikaela Meyer , Aaron Horowitz , Erica Marshall , Kristian Lum

As algorithmic risk assessment instruments (RAIs) are increasingly adopted to assist decision makers, their predictive performance and potential to promote inequity have come under scrutiny. However, while most studies examine these tools…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Riccardo Fogliato , Alexandra Chouldechova , Zachary Lipton

Recidivism prediction instruments (RPI's) provide decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend at a future point in time. While such instruments are gaining increasing popularity across the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-02 Alexandra Chouldechova

Risk assessment algorithms in criminal justice put people's lives at the discretion of a simple statistical tool. This thesis explores how algorithmic decision-making in criminal policy can exhibit feedback effects, where disadvantage…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Benjamin Laufer

In the criminal legal context, risk assessment algorithms are touted as data-driven, well-tested tools. Studies known as validation tests are typically cited by practitioners to show that a particular risk assessment algorithm has…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Benjamin Laufer

The AI/HCI and legal communities have developed largely independent conceptualizations of fairness. This conceptual difference hinders the potential incorporation of technical fairness criteria (e.g., procedural, group, and individual…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Tin Nguyen , Jiannan Xu , Phuong-Anh Nguyen-Le , Jonathan Lazar , Donald Braman , Hal Daumé , Zubin Jelveh

Recidivism prediction instruments provide decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend at a future point in time. While such instruments are gaining increasing popularity across the country,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-25 Alexandra Chouldechova

Much attention has been paid to algorithms related to sentencing, the setting of bail, parole decisions and recidivism while less attention has been paid to carceral algorithms, those algorithms used to determine an incarcerated…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Swarup Dhar , Vanessa Massaro , Darakhshan Mir , Nathan C. Ryan

Governments are increasingly turning to algorithmic risk assessments when making important decisions, such as whether to release criminal defendants before trial. Policymakers assert that providing public servants with algorithmic advice…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Ben Green , Yiling Chen

Big data and algorithmic risk prediction tools promise to improve criminal justice systems by reducing human biases and inconsistencies in decision making. Yet different, equally-justifiable choices when developing, testing, and deploying…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-09-23 Travis Greene , Galit Shmueli , Jan Fell , Ching-Fu Lin , Han-Wei Liu

Racial disparities in recidivism remain a persistent challenge within the criminal justice system, increasingly exacerbated by the adoption of algorithmic risk assessment tools. Past works have primarily focused on bias induced by these…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Jessy Xinyi Han , Kristjan Greenewald , Devavrat Shah

Algorithmic risk assessment instruments (RAIs) increasingly inform decision-making in criminal justice. RAIs largely rely on arrest records as a proxy for underlying crime. Problematically, the extent to which arrests reflect overall…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Miri Zilka , Riccardo Fogliato , Jiri Hron , Bradley Butcher , Carolyn Ashurst , Adrian Weller

Increasing integration and availability of data on large groups of persons has been accompanied by proliferation of statistical and other algorithmic prediction tools in banking, insurance, marketiNg, medicine, and other FIelds (see e.g.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-28 Peter B. Imrey , A. Philip Dawid

In domains such as criminal justice, medicine, and social welfare, decision makers increasingly have access to algorithmic Risk Assessment Instruments (RAIs). RAIs estimate the risk of an adverse outcome such as recidivism or child neglect,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Alan Mishler , Edward H. Kennedy , Alexandra Chouldechova

Algorithmic risk assessments are increasingly used to help humans make decisions in high-stakes settings, such as medicine, criminal justice and education. In each of these cases, the purpose of the risk assessment tool is to inform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-13 Amanda Coston , Alan Mishler , Edward H. Kennedy , Alexandra Chouldechova

Pretrial risk assessment tools are used on over one million U.S. defendants each year, yet their use for predicting rare violent re-offense faces a basic statistical barrier. We derive a universal precision bound -- the Likelihood Ratio…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Marco Pollanen

We propose a general approach to quantitatively assessing the risk and vulnerability of artificial intelligence (AI) systems to biased decisions. The guiding principle of the proposed approach is that any AI algorithm must outperform a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Shun Ide , Allison Blunt , Djallel Bouneffouf

Incarceration-diversion treatment programs aim to improve societal reintegration and reduce recidivism, but limited capacity forces policymakers to make prioritization decisions that often rely on risk assessment tools. While predictive,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Chuwen Zhang , Pengyi Shi , Amy Ward
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