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Transmission utilities routinely collect detailed outage data, including resilience events in which outages bunch up due to weather. The resilience events and their resilience metrics can readily be extracted from this historical outage…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-15 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva , Christopher Claypool , Mark Lauby

We focus on large blackouts in electric distribution systems caused by extreme winds. Such events have a large cost and impact on customers. To quantify resilience to these events, we formulate large event risk and show how to calculate it…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-21 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

This paper presents a data-driven approach for quantifying the resilience of distribution power grids to extreme weather events using two key metrics: (a) the number of outages and (b) restoration time. The method leverages historical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-19 Dingwei Wang , Salish Maharjan , Junyuan Zheng , Liming Liu , Zhaoyu Wang

The electric distribution system is a cornerstone of modern life, playing a critical role in the daily activities and well-being of individuals. As the world transitions toward a decarbonized future, where even mobility relies on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Shikhar Pandey , Gowtham Kandaperumal , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

We leverage historical outage data to quantify the resilience benefits of undergrounding a circuit. The historical performance of the overhead circuit is compared to the performance if the circuit had been undergrounded in the past. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson , Anne Kimber

In recent decades, the weather around the world has become more irregular and extreme, often causing large-scale extended power outages. Resilience -- the capability of withstanding, adapting to, and recovering from a large-scale disruption…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-06 Shixiang Zhu , Rui Yao , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu , Yueming Qiu , Xuan Wu

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

Resilience curves track the accumulation and restoration of outages during an event on an electric distribution grid. We show that a resilience curve generated from utility data can always be decomposed into an outage process and a restore…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-26 Nichelle'Le K. Carrington , Ian Dobson , Zhaoyu Wang

We discuss ways to measure duration in a power transmission system resilience event by modeling outage and restore processes from utility data. We introduce novel Poisson process models that describe how resilience events progress and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-04 Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva

Over the past decade, extreme weather events have significantly increased worldwide, leading to widespread power outages and blackouts. As these threats continue to challenge power distribution systems, the importance of mitigating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-16 Shuva Paul , Abodh Poudyal , Shiva Poudel , Anamika Dubey , Zhaoyu Wang

Large scale power failures induced by severe weather have become frequent and damaging in recent years, causing millions of people to be without electricity service for days. Although the power industry has been battling weather-induced…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Chuanyi Ji , Yun Wei , H. Vincent Poor

The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events is significantly affecting the power grid, causing large-scale outages and impacting power system resilience. Yet limited work has been done on systematically modeling the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-06 Apsara Adhikari , Charlotte Wertz , Anamika Dubey , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Mitigating climate change demands a transition towards renewable electricity generation, with wind power being a particularly promising technology. Long periods either of high or of low wind therefore essentially define the necessary amount…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-07 Juliane Weber , Mark Reyers , Christian Beck , Marc Timme , Joaquim G. Pinto , Dirk Witthaut , Benjamin Schäfer

The impact of routine smaller outages on distribution system customers in terms of customer minutes interrupted can be tracked using conventional reliability indices. However, the customer minutes interrupted in large blackout events are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-20 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

This paper presents a comprehensive risk assessment model for power distribution networks with a focus on the influence of climate conditions and vegetation management on outage risks. Using a dataset comprising outage records,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-13 Di Zhao , Umar Salman , Zongjie Wang

The offshore wind energy is increasingly becoming an attractive source of energy due to having lower environmental impact. Effective operation and maintenance that ensures the maximum availability of the energy generation process using…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Sohag Kabir , Koorosh Aslansefat , Prosanta Gope , Felician Campean , Yiannis Papadopoulos

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

This comprehensive review paper explores power system resilience, emphasizing its evolution, comparison with reliability, and conducting a thorough analysis of the definition and characteristics of resilience. The paper presents the…

Traditional reliability analysis has been using time to event data, degradation data, and recurrent event data, while the associated covariates tend to be simple and constant over time. Over the past years, we have witnessed the rapid…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-27 Yueyao Wang , I-Chen Lee , Lu Lu , Yili Hong
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