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We introduce a novel framework for causal explanations of stochastic, sequential decision-making systems built on the well-studied structural causal model paradigm for causal reasoning. This single framework can identify multiple,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Samer B. Nashed , Saaduddin Mahmud , Claudia V. Goldman , Shlomo Zilberstein

This paper studies Hoeffding's inequality for Markov chains under the generalized concentrability condition defined via integral probability metric (IPM). The generalized concentrability condition establishes a framework that interpolates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

Empirical likelihood is a powerful semi-parametric method increasingly investigated in the literature. However, most authors essentially focus on an i.i.d. setting. In the case of dependent data, the classical empirical likelihood method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-17 Hugo Harari-Kermadec

A variety of enhanced statistical and numerical methods are now routinely used to extract comprehensible and relevant thermodynamic information from the vast amount of complex, high-dimensional data obtained from intensive molecular…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-10-14 Francois Sicard , Vladimir Koskin , Alessia Annibale , Edina Rosta

Understanding the stability and long-time behavior of generative models is a fundamental problem in modern machine learning. This paper provides quantitative bounds on the sampling error of score-based generative models by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Stanislas Strasman , Gabriel Cardoso , Sylvain Le Corff , Vincent Lemaire , Antonio Ocello

We develop a general theory for Markov chains whose transition probabilities are the coefficients of descent operators on combinatorial Hopf algebras. These model the breaking-then-recombining of combinational objects. Examples include the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-08-28 C. Y. Amy Pang

Developing satisfactory methodology for the analysis of Markov random field is a very challenging task. Indeed, due to the Markovian dependence structure, the normalizing constant of the fields cannot be computed using standard analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-12 Julien Stoehr

A susceptibility propagation that is constructed by combining a belief propagation and a linear response method is used for approximate computation for Markov random fields. Herein, we formulate a new, improved susceptibility propagation by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-04 Muneki Yasuda , Kazuyuki Tanaka

Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Cecilie Olesen Recke , Niels Richard Hansen

Many economic models feature monotone Markov dynamics on state spaces that may be noncompact. Establishing existence, uniqueness, and stability of stationary distributions in such settings has required a patchwork of sufficient conditions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

In this work, we study a natural nonparametric estimator of the transition probability matrices of a finite controlled Markov chain. We consider an offline setting with a fixed dataset, collected using a so-called logging policy. We develop…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Imon Banerjee , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak Rao

We introduce simple conditions ensuring that invariant distributions of a Feller Markov chain on a compact Riemannian manifold are absolutely continuous with a lower semi-continuous, continuous or smooth density with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Michel Benaïm , Oliver Tough

This article presents several results establishing connections be- tween Markov chains and dynamical systems, from the point of view of open systems in physics. We show how all Markov chains can be understood as the information on one…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Stéphane Attal

In this paper, we analyze the dynamics of spreading processes taking place over time-varying networks. A common approach to model time-varying networks is via Markovian random graph processes. This modeling approach presents the following…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

In two-way contingency tables we sometimes find that frequencies along the diagonal cells are relatively larger(or smaller) compared to off-diagonal cells, particularly in square tables with the common categories for the rows and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-29 Hisayuki Hara , Akimichi Takemura , Ruriko Yoshida

We study the problem of finite-horizon probabilistic invariance for discrete-time Markov processes over general (uncountable) state spaces. We compute discrete-time, finite-state Markov chains as formal abstractions of general Markov…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-03 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate , Rupak Majumdar

We consider a discrete-time Markov chain $(X^t,Y^t)$, $t=0,1,2,...$, where the $X$-component forms a Markov chain itself. Assume that $(X^t)$ is Harris-ergodic and consider an auxiliary Markov chain ${\hat{Y}^t}$ whose transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-13 Sergey Foss , Seva Shneer , Andrey Tyurlikov

Multiplex networks are a common modeling framework for interconnected systems and multimodal data, yet we still lack fundamental insights for how multiplexity affects stochastic processes. We introduce a novel ``Markov chains of Markov…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-05 Dane Taylor

We investigate a method for extracting nonlinear principal components (NPCs). These NPCs maximize variation subject to smoothness and orthogonality constraints; but we allow for a general class of constraints and multivariate probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-08-06 Xioahong Chen , Lars Peter Hansen , Jose Scheinkman

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic Markov chains and relaxed conditions for them, as well as analogous convergence results for some non-homogeneous Markov chains are studied. The setting from the previous works is extended. Examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-27 A. Yu. Veretennikov , M. A. Veretennikova
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