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We develop a new approach for detecting changes in the behavior of stochastic processes and random fields based on tensor product representations such as the Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion. From the associated eigenspaces of the covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Julio Enrique Castrillon-Candas , Mark Kon

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

The sampling of probability distributions specified up to a normalization constant is an important problem in both machine learning and statistical mechanics. While classical stochastic sampling methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Hao Wu , Jonas Köhler , Frank Noé

Unsupervised learning aims at the discovery of hidden structure that drives the observations in the real world. It is essential for success in modern machine learning. Latent variable models are versatile in unsupervised learning and have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Furong Huang

This article introduces a novel approach to the mathematical development of Ordinary Least Squares and Neural Network regression models, diverging from traditional methods in current Machine Learning literature. By leveraging Tensor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Roberto Dias Algarte

We introduce a novel approach based on stochastic optimization to find the optimal sampling distribution for the data-driven stability analysis of switched linear systems. Our goal is to address limitations of existing approaches, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Alexis Vuille , Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

We theoretically and experimentally investigate tensor-based regression and classification. Our focus is regularization with various tensor norms, including the overlapped trace norm, the latent trace norm, and the scaled latent trace norm.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-08 Kishan Wimalawarne , Ryota Tomioka , Masashi Sugiyama

In this chapter we review stochastic modelling methods in climate science. First we provide a conceptual framework for stochastic modelling of deterministic dynamical systems based on the Mori-Zwanzig formalism. The Mori-Zwanzig equations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-23 Georg A. Gottwald , Daan T. Crommelin , Christian L. E. Franzke

A general method to construct recombinant tree approximations for stochastic volatility models is developed and applied to the Heston model for stock price dynamics. In this application, the resulting approximation is a four tuple Markov…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-14 Erdinç Akyıldırım , Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

System identification in scenarios where the observed number of variables is less than the degrees of freedom in the dynamics is an important challenge. In this work we tackle this problem by using a recognition network to increase the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Constantino A. Garcia , Paulo Felix , Jesus M. Presedo , Abraham Otero

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini

In this paper, we study the estimation of the threshold predictive regression model with hybrid stochastic local unit root predictors. We demonstrate the estimation procedure and derive the asymptotic distribution of the least square…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-16 Christis Katsouris

A new unbiased Monte Carlo technique called Tensor Network Monte Carlo (TNMC) is introduced based on sampling all possible renormalizations (or course-grainings) of tensor networks, in this case matrix-product states. Tensor networks are a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-06 Andrew J. Ferris

How can we learn the laws underlying the dynamics of stochastic systems when their trajectories are sampled sparsely in time? Existing methods either require temporally resolved high-frequency observations, or rely on geometric arguments…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Dimitra Maoutsa

Based on the tensor tree network with the Born machine framework, we propose a general method for constructing a generative model by expressing the target distribution function as the amplitude of the quantum wave function represented by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Kenji Harada , Tsuyoshi Okubo , Naoki Kawashima

Bottom-Up Hidden Tree Markov Model is a highly expressive model for tree-structured data. Unfortunately, it cannot be used in practice due to the intractable size of its state-transition matrix. We propose a new approximation which lies on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Daniele Castellana , Davide Bacciu

After collecting data from observations or experiments, the next step is to build an appropriate mathematical or stochastic model to describe the data so that further studies can be done with the help of the models. In this article, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 A. M. Mathai , H. J. Haubold

We consider supervised learning (regression/classification) problems with tensor-valued input. We derive multi-linear sufficient reductions for the regression or classification problem by modeling the conditional distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Daniel Kapla , Efstathia Bura

In this survey we review some recent rigorous results on large N problems in quantum field theory, stochastic quantization and singular stochastic PDEs, and their mean field limit problems. In particular we discuss the O(N) linear sigma…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Hao Shen
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