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Successful attempts to predict judges' votes shed light into how legal decisions are made and, ultimately, into the behavior and evolution of the judiciary. Here, we investigate to what extent it is possible to make predictions of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-10-18 Roger Guimera , Marta Sales-Pardo

While the U.S. Supreme Court is commonly viewed as comprising a liberal bloc and a conservative bloc, with a possible swing vote or median justice between them, surprisingly many case decisions are not explained by this simple model. We…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Noah Giansiracusa , Cameron Ricciardi

The US Supreme Court throughout the 20th century has been characterized as being divided between liberals and conservatives, suggesting that justices with similar ideologies would have voted similarly had they overlapped in tenure. What if…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-13 Edward D. Lee

We study the obstacle problem associated with the American chooser option. The obstacle is given by the maximum of an American call option and an American put option, which, in turn, can be expressed as the maximum of the solutions to the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Gugyum Ha , Junkee Jeon , Jihoon Ok

As the most public component of the Supreme Court's decision-making process, oral argument receives an out-sized share of attention in the popular media. Despite its prominence, however, the basic function and operation of oral argument as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Gregory M. Dickinson

While there has been a flurry of research in algorithmic fairness, what is less recognized is that modern antidiscrimination law may prohibit the adoption of such techniques. We make three contributions. First, we discuss how such…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Daniel E. Ho , Alice Xiang

As Large Language Models (LLMs) are proposed as legal decision assistants, and even first-instance decision-makers, across a range of judicial and administrative contexts, it becomes essential to explore how they answer legal questions, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Oisin Suttle , David Lillis

Predictive algorithms inform consequential decisions in settings with selective labels: outcomes are observed only for units selected by past decision makers. This creates an identification problem under unobserved confounding -- when…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Ashesh Rambachan , Amanda Coston , Edward Kennedy

Unaided human decision making appears to systematically violate consistency constraints imposed by normative theories; these biases in turn appear to justify the application of formal decision-analytic models. It is argued that both claims…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Marvin S. Cohen

The law forbids discrimination. But the ambiguity of human decision-making often makes it extraordinarily hard for the legal system to know whether anyone has actually discriminated. To understand how algorithms affect discrimination, we…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Jon Kleinberg , Jens Ludwig , Sendhil Mullainathan , Cass R. Sunstein

Predictive models are being increasingly used to support consequential decision making at the individual level in contexts such as pretrial bail and loan approval. As a result, there is increasing social and legal pressure to provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-02 Amir-Hossein Karimi , Gilles Barthe , Borja Balle , Isabel Valera

The paper offers a contribution to the interdisciplinary constructs of analyzing fairness issues in automatic algorithmic decisions. Section 1 shows that technical choices in supervised learning have social implications that need to be…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Thierry Kirat , Olivia Tambou , Virginie Do , Alexis Tsoukiàs

In computational social choice, the distortion of a voting rule quantifies the degree to which the rule overcomes limited preference information to select a socially desirable outcome. This concept has been investigated extensively, but…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Yannai A. Gonczarowski , Gregory Kehne , Ariel D. Procaccia , Ben Schiffer , Shirley Zhang

This work contributes to a foundational question in economic theory: how do individual-level cognitive biases interact with collective choice mechanisms? We study a setting where voters hold intrinsic preference rankings over a set of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-24 Federico Fioravanti , Zoi Terzopoulou

Now almost three decades since its seminal Chevron decision, the Supreme Court has yet to articulate how that case's doctrine of deference to agency statutory interpretations relates to one of the most compelling federalism issues of our…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-08 Gregory M. Dickinson

Computer-aided decision making--where a human decision-maker is aided by a computational classifier in making a decision--is becoming increasingly prevalent. For instance, judges in at least nine states make use of algorithmic tools meant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-02 Andrew Morgan , Rafael Pass

Companies that try to address inequality in employment face a hiring paradox. Failing to address workforce imbalance can result in legal sanctions and scrutiny, but proactive measures to address these issues might result in the same legal…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Jad Salem , Deven R. Desai , Swati Gupta

Law enforcement acquires costly evidence with the aim of securing the conviction of a defendant, who is convicted if a decision-maker's belief exceeds a certain threshold. Either law enforcement or the decision-maker is biased and is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-11-22 Vasudha Jain , Mark Whitmeyer

Various structured argumentation frameworks utilize preferences as part of their standard inference procedure to enable reasoning with preferences. In this paper, we consider an inverse of the standard reasoning problem, seeking to identify…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-13 Quratul-ain Mahesar , Nir Oren , Wamberto W. Vasconcelos

We survey the design of elections that are resilient to attempted interference by third parties. For example, suppose votes have been cast in an election between two candidates, and then each vote is randomly changed with a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Steven Heilman
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