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State estimation when only a partial model of a considered system is available remains a major challenge in many engineering fields. This work proposes a joint, square-root unscented Kalman filter to estimate states and model uncertainties…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-11 Ricarda-Samantha Götte , Julia Timmermann

State-of-the-art ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) algorithms require incorporating localization techniques to cope with the rank deficiency and the inherited spurious correlations in their error covariance matrices. Localization techniques…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 Boujemaa Ait-El-Fquih , Ibrahim Hoteit

In this study, two classes of methods including statistical and variational data assimilation algorithms will be described. In statistical methods, the model state is updated sequentially based on the previous estimate. Variational methods,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Loc Luong

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

Counter-adversarial system design problems have lately motivated the development of inverse Bayesian filters. For example, inverse Kalman filter (I-KF) has been recently formulated to estimate the adversary's Kalman-filter-tracked estimates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Himali Singh , Arpan Chattopadhyay , Kumar Vijay Mishra

Nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter (KF), such as the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), are indispensable for state estimation in complex dynamical systems, yet the conditions for a nonlinear KF to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Shida Jiang , Jaewoong Lee , Shengyu Tao , Scott Moura

Heavy tails is a common feature of filtering distributions that results from the nonlinear dynamical and observation processes as well as the uncertainty from physical sensors. In these settings, the Kalman filter and its ensemble version -…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-16 Mathieu Le Provost , Ricardo Baptista , Jeff D. Eldredge , Youssef Marzouk

In this article, the state estimation problems with unknown process noise and measurement noise covariances for both linear and nonlinear systems are considered. By formulating the joint estimation of system state and noise parameters into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-18 Hua Lan , Shijie Zhao , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Jing Fu

Data assimilation schemes are confronted with the presence of model errors arising from the imperfect description of atmospheric dynamics. These errors are usually modeled on the basis of simple assumptions such as bias, white noise, first…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Carrassi , S. Vannitsem , C. Nicolis

This article investigates the problem of data-driven state estimation for linear systems with both unknown system dynamics and noise covariances. We propose an Autocovariance Least-squares-based Data-driven Kalman Filter (ADKF), which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Suyang Hu , Xiaoxu Lyu , Peihu Duan , Dawei Shi , Ling Shi

Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has been widely used in state estimation and parameter estimation for the dynamic system where observational data is obtained sequentially in time. To reduce uncertainty and accelerate posterior inference, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Yuming Ba , Lijian Jiang , Na Ou

We explore the potential of Data-Assimilation (DA) within the multi-scale framework of a shell model of turbulence, with a focus on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The central objective is to understand how measuring mesoscales (i.e.,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-15 Francesco Fossella , Luca Biferale , Alberto Carrassi , Massimo Cencini , Vikrant Gupta

We consider the problem of state estimation in dynamical systems and propose a different mechanism for handling unmodeled system uncertainties. Instead of injecting random process noise, we assign different weights to measurements so that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Yaron Shulami , Daniel Sigalov

Detailed dynamical systems' models used in the life sciences may include hundreds of state variables and many input parameters, often with physical meaning. Therefore, efficient and unique input parameter identification, from experimental…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-29 Harry Saxton , Xu Xu , Ian Halliday , Torsten Schenkel

Conventional Bayesian estimation requires an accurate stochastic model of a system. However, this requirement is not always met in many practical cases where the system is not completely known or may differ from the assumed model. For such…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-05 Ranjeet Kumar Tiwari , Shovan Bhaumik

Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EnKI) and Ensemble Square Root Filter (EnSRF) are popular sampling methods for obtaining a target posterior distribution. They can be seem as one step (the analysis step) in the data assimilation method Ensemble…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li , Jianfeng Lu

We propose a Dynamical Low-Rank Ensemble Kalman Filter (DLR-ENKF) for efficient joint state-parameter estimation in high-dimensional dynamical systems. The method extends the DLR-ENKF formulation of arXiv:2509.11210 to the augmented…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Fabio Nobile , Sébastien Riffaud , Thomas Trigo Trindade

The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is a widely adopted method for sensor fusion in navigation applications. A crucial aspect of the EKF is the online determination of the process noise covariance matrix reflecting the model uncertainty. While…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Nadav Cohen , Itzik Klein

This paper studies an output feedback stabilization control framework for discrete-time linear systems with stochastic dynamics determined by an independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) process. The controller is constructed with an…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Yohei Hosoe , Dimitri Peaucelle

In order to integrate uncertainty estimates into deep time-series modelling, Kalman Filters (KFs) (Kalman et al., 1960) have been integrated with deep learning models, however, such approaches typically rely on approximate inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Philipp Becker , Harit Pandya , Gregor Gebhardt , Cheng Zhao , James Taylor , Gerhard Neumann