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A Bayesian design is given by maximising an expected utility over a design space. The utility is chosen to represent the aim of the experiment and its expectation is taken with respect to all unknowns: responses, parameters and/or models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-16 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree

In problems involving the allocation of a single non-disposable commodity, we study rules defined on a general domain of preferences requiring only that each preference exhibit a unique global maximum. Our focus is on rules that satisfy a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-18 R. Pablo Arribillaga , Agustin G. Bonifacio

An improved mathematical model of social group competition is proposed. The utility obtained by a member of a certain group from each other member is assumed to be group size-dependent. Obtained results are close to available census data.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-05-12 I. D. Breslavsky

An analyst observes an agent take a sequence of actions. The analyst does not have access to the agent's information and ponders whether the observed actions could be justified through a rational Bayesian model with a known utility…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Henrique de Oliveira , Rohit Lamba

Sets of desirable gambles constitute a quite general type of uncertainty model with an interesting geometrical interpretation. We give a general discussion of such models and their rationality criteria. We study exchangeability assessments…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-10 Gert de Cooman , Erik Quaeghebeur

We examine the problem of optimal portfolio allocation within the framework of utility theory. We apply exponential utility to derive the optimal diversification strategy and logarithmic utility to determine the optimal leverage. We enhance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-01 Vladimir Markov

In this paper, we obtain a duality result for the exponential utility maximization problem where trading is subject to quadratic transaction costs and the investor is required to liquidate her position at the maturity date. As an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-06 Yan Dolinsky

This paper studies the problem of optimal investment in incomplete markets, robust with respect to stopping times. We work on a Brownian motion framework and the stopping times are adapted to the Brownian filtration. Robustness can only be…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Traian A Pirvu , Ulrich G Haussmann

The problem is considered as to whether a monotone function defined on a subset P of a Euclidean space can be strictly monotonically extended to the whole space. It is proved that this is the case if and only if the function is {\em…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Pavel Chebotarev

We consider classical Merton problem of terminal wealth maximization in finite horizon. We assume that the drift of the stock is following Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and the volatility of it is following GARCH(1) process. In particular,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-18 Kerem Ugurlu

The existence of optimal strategy in robust utility maximization is addressed when the utility function is finite on the entire real line. A delicate problem in this case is to find a "good definition" of admissible strategies, so that an…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-16 Keita Owari

We present an optimal investment theorem for a currency exchange model with random and possibly discontinuous proportional transaction costs. The investor's preferences are represented by a multivariate utility function, allowing for…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-08 Luciano Campi , Mark P. Owen

The adaptation to situations of sequential choice under uncertainty of decision criteria which deviate from (subjective) expected utility raises the problem of ensuring the selection of a nondominated strategy. In particular, when following…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Jean-Yves Jaffray

Prediction markets are useful for estimating probabilities of claims whose truth will be revealed at some fixed time -- this includes questions about the values of real-world events (i.e. statistical uncertainty), and questions about the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir , Long Tran-Thanh

This paper is intended to show that a review in the concept of the game theoretical utility, the revised utility to be applied to the definition of the utility of a wave function representing an object subsystem relative to its observer…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 Armando V. D. B. Assis

Sequences of repeated gambles provide an experimental tool to characterize the risk preferences of humans or artificial decision-making agents. The difficulty of this inference depends on factors including the details of the gambles offered…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-15 James Price , Colm Connaughton

The classical Merton investment problem predicts deterministic, state-dependent portfolio rules; however, laboratory and field evidence suggests that individuals often prefer randomized decisions leading to stochastic and noisy choices.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Min Dai , Yuchao Dong , Yanwei Jia , Xun Yu Zhou

In frequently repeated matching scenarios, individuals may require diversification in their choices. Therefore, when faced with a set of potential outcomes, each individual may have an ideal lottery over outcomes that represents their…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Rasoul Ramezanian

In studying the complexity of iterative processes it is usually assumed that the arithmetic operations of addition, multiplication, and division can be performed in certain constant times. This assumption is invalid if the precision…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Richard P. Brent

In this paper we examine non-convex dynamic optimization problems with forward looking constraints. We prove that the recursive multiplier formulation in \cite{marcet2019recursive} gives the optimal value if one assumes that the planner has…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-26 Chengfeng Shen , Felix Kübler , Zhennan Zhou