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This paper investigates the joint optimization of condition-based maintenance and spare provisioning, incorporating insights obtained from sensor data. Prognostic models estimate components' remaining lifetime distributions (RLDs), which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Heraldo Rozas , Weijun Xie , Nagi Gebraeel , Stephen Robinson

Prediction of Remaining Useful Lifetime(RUL) in the modern manufacturing and automation workplace for machines and tools is essential in Industry 4.0. This is clearly evident as continuous tool wear, or worse, sudden machine breakdown will…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Haoren Guo , Haiyue Zhu , Jiahui Wang , Vadakkepat Prahlad , Weng Khuen Ho , Tong Heng Lee

Predictive maintenance (PdM) is crucial for optimizing efficiency and minimizing downtime of electric buses. While these vehicles provide environmental benefits, they pose challenges for PdM due to complex electric transmission and battery…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Ayse Irmak Ercevik , Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

Assessing the degradation state of an industrial asset first requires evaluating its current condition and then to project the forecast model trajectory to a predefined prognostic threshold, thereby estimating its remaining useful life…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Edgar Jaber , Emmanuel Remy , Vincent Chabridon , Mathilde Mougeot , Didier Lucor

Predicting the probability of default (PD) of prospective loans is a critical objective for financial institutions. In recent years, machine learning (ML) algorithms have achieved remarkable success across a wide variety of prediction…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Adrian Iulian Cristescu , Matteo Giordano

Prognostics and Health Management is crucial for the reliability and lifetime assessment of Polymer Electrolyte Fuel Cells (PEFCs). Here, we review the current advances on this topic, focusing mainly on key degradation mechanisms and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-17 Farideh Abdollahi , Kourosh Malek , Thomas Kadyk , Nadiia Kulyk , Christophe Gerling , Michael H. Eikerling

Imagine a patient in critical condition. What and when should be measured to forecast detrimental events, especially under the budget constraints? We answer this question by deep reinforcement learning (RL) that jointly minimizes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Chun-Hao Chang , Mingjie Mai , Anna Goldenberg

We propose a general method for deriving prognostics-based predictive maintenance policies. The method takes into account the available decision options at hand, the information on the future state of the system provided by a prognostic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Daniel Koutas , Daniel Straub

Robotic manipulators are critical in many applications but are known to degrade over time. This degradation is influenced by the nature of the tasks performed by the robot. Tasks with higher severity, such as handling heavy payloads, can…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Ayush Mohanty , Jason Dekarske , Stephen K. Robinson , Sanjay Joshi , Nagi Gebraeel

Modern manufacturing industries are increasingly looking to predictive analytics to gain decision making information from process data. This is driven by high levels of competition and a need to reduce operating costs. The presented work…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-02-28 Darren A Whitaker , David Egan , Eoin OBrien , David Kinnear

In many engineering systems, proper predictive maintenance and operational control are essential to increase efficiency and reliability while reducing maintenance costs. However, one of the major challenges is that many sensors are used for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-09 Boyang Xu , Yunyi Kang , Xinyu Zhao , Hao Yan , Feng Ju

The precise estimate of remaining useful life (RUL) is vital for the prognostic analysis and predictive maintenance that can significantly reduce failure rate and maintenance costs. The degradation-related features extracted from the sensor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Yuwen Qin , Ningbo Cai , Chen Gao , Yadong Zhang , Yonghong Cheng , Xin Chen

We study the problem of monitoring model performance in dynamic environments where labeled data are limited. To this end, we propose prediction-powered risk monitoring (PPRM), a semi-supervised risk-monitoring approach based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Guangyi Zhang , Yunlong Cai , Guanding Yu , Osvaldo Simeone

The application of data-driven remaining useful life (RUL) prediction has long been constrained by the availability of large amount of degradation data. Mainstream solutions such as domain adaptation and meta-learning still rely on large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 En Fu , Yanyan Hu , Changhua Hu , Zengwang Jin , Kaixiang Peng

Performance monitoring of machine learning (ML)-based risk prediction models in healthcare is complicated by the issue of confounding medical interventions (CMI): when an algorithm predicts a patient to be at high risk for an adverse event,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-17 Jean Feng , Alexej Gossmann , Gene Pennello , Nicholas Petrick , Berkman Sahiner , Romain Pirracchio

Predictive maintenance is used in industrial applications to increase machine availability and optimize cost related to unplanned maintenance. In most cases, predictive maintenance applications use output from sensors, recording physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Antoine Guillaume , Christel Vrain , Elloumi Wael

Estimating the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of mechanical systems is pivotal in Prognostics and Health Management (PHM). Rolling-element bearings are among the most frequent causes of machinery failure, highlighting the need for robust RUL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Waleed Razzaq , Yun-Bo Zhao

Estimating intervention effects in dynamical systems is crucial for outcome optimization. In medicine, such interventions arise in physiological regulation (e.g., cardiovascular system under fluid administration) and pharmacokinetics, among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Tomer Meir , Ori Linial , Danny Eytan , Uri Shalit

This thesis explored applications of the new emerging techniques of artificial intelligence and deep learning (neural networks in particular) for predictive maintenance, diagnostics and prognostics. Many neural architectures such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Abdeldjalil Latrach

Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu