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Time series forecasting is important across various domains for decision-making. In particular, financial time series such as stock prices can be hard to predict as it is difficult to model short-term and long-term temporal dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Saba Rahimi , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

In this paper, we conduct a systematic large-scale analysis of order book-driven predictability in high-frequency returns by leveraging deep learning techniques. First, we introduce a new and robust representation of the order book, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko Pakkanen , Almut Veraart

With the growing number of forecasting techniques and the increasing significance of forecast-based operation - particularly in the rapidly evolving energy sector - selecting the most effective forecasting model has become a critical task.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-24 Fabian Backhaus , Karoline Brucke , Peter Ruckdeschel , Sunke Schlüters

The control of complex systems is of critical importance in many branches of science, engineering, and industry. Controlling an unsteady fluid flow is particularly important, as flow control is a key enabler for technologies in energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Katharina Bieker , Sebastian Peitz , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz , Michael Dellnitz

This paper covers a massive acceleration of Monte-Carlo based pricing method for financial products and financial derivatives. The method is applicable in risk management settings, where a financial product has to be priced under a number…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-09-30 Stefan Dirnstorfer , Andreas J. Grau

Machine learning has been increasingly utilized in the field of biomedical research to accelerate the drug discovery process. In recent years, the emergence of quantum computing has been followed by extensive exploration of quantum machine…

Physical reservoir computing (RC) is a machine learning algorithm that employs the dynamics of a physical system to forecast highly nonlinear and chaotic phenomena. In this paper, we introduce a quantum RC system that employs the dynamics…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-03-05 A. H. Abbas , Ivan S. Maksymov

We explore the use of deep reinforcement learning to provide strategies for long term scheduling of hydropower production. We consider a use-case where the aim is to optimise the yearly revenue given week-by-week inflows to the reservoir…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Signe Riemer-Sorensen , Gjert H. Rosenlund

Demand forecasting is extremely important in revenue management. After all, it is one of the inputs to an optimisation method which aim is to maximize revenue. Most, if not all, forecasting methods use historical data to forecast the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Daniel Hopman , Ger Koole , Rob van der Mei

Carbon futures has recently emerged as a novel financial asset in the trading markets such as the European Union and China. Monitoring the trend of the carbon price has become critical for both national policy-making as well as industrial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-08 Tianqi Pang , Kehui Tan , Chenyou Fan

Natural gas is undoubtedly an essential component of the global energy system. Accurate short-term forecasting of natural gas price is challenging due to pronounced volatility driven by seasonal demand patterns, geopolitical developments,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Yiqian Liu , Jiayi Niu , Adam Kelleher , Subhabrata Das

Second-price auctions with reserve play a critical role for modern search engine and popular online sites since the revenue of these companies often directly de- pends on the outcome of such auctions. The choice of the reserve price is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-03 Mehryar Mohri , Andres Muñoz Medina

Global oil price is an important factor in determining many economic variables in the world's economy. It is generally modeled as a stochastic process and have been studied through different techniques by comparing the historic time series…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-31 Sina Aghaei

In the modern power market, electricity trading is an extremely competitive industry. More accurate price forecast is crucial to help electricity producers and traders make better decisions. In this paper, a novel method of convolutional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Hsu-Yung Cheng , Ping-Huan Kuo , Yamin Shen , Chiou-Jye Huang

Several approaches have been proposed to forecast day-ahead locational marginal price (daLMP) in deregulated energy markets. The rise of deep learning has motivated its use in energy price forecasts but most deep learning approaches fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Dipanwita Saha , Felipe Lopez

Quantum reservoir computing has emerged as a promising paradigm for harnessing quantum systems to process temporal data efficiently by bypassing the costly training of gradient-based learning methods. Here, we demonstrate the capability of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-20 Qingyu Li , Chiranjib Mukhopadhyay , Ludovico Minati , Abolfazl Bayat

Purpose: Trading on electricity markets occurs such that the price settlement takes place before delivery, often day-ahead. In practice, these prices are highly volatile as they largely depend upon a range of variables such as electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Christof Naumzik , Stefan Feuerriegel

Utilizing market forecasts is pivotal in optimizing portfolio selection strategies. We introduce DeepClair, a novel framework for portfolio selection. DeepClair leverages a transformer-based time-series forecasting model to predict market…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Donghee Choi , Jinkyu Kim , Mogan Gim , Jinho Lee , Jaewoo Kang

Production forecasting is a key step to design the future development of a reservoir. A classical way to generate such forecasts consists in simulating future production for numerical models representative of the reservoir. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Raphaël Deswarte , Véronique Gervais , Gilles Stoltz , Sébastien da Veiga

Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-11 Michael Polson , Vadim Sokolov