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In most developing countries, a huge proportion of the national food basket is supported by small subsistence agricultural systems. A major challenge to these systems is disease and pest attacks which have a devastating effect on the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Daniel Mutembesa , Christopher Omongo , Ernest Mwebaze

The current COVID-19 pandemic has already claimed more than 100,000 victims and it will cause more deaths in the coming months. Tools that can track the number and locations of cases are critical for surveillance and can help in making…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-23 Raúl Arias-Carrasco , Jeevan Giddaluru , Lucas E. Cardozo , Felipe Martins , Vinicius Maracaja-Coutinho , Helder I. Nakaya

Given the urgent informational needs connected with the diffusion of infection with regard to the COVID-19 pandemic, in this paper, we propose a sampling design for building a continuous-time surveillance system. Compared with other…

The purpose of this work is to give a contribution to the understanding of the COVID-19 contagion in Italy. To this end, we developed a modified Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the contagion, and we used official data of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-01 Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Carlo Novara , Corrado Possieri

In this work, we present an approach called Disease Informed Neural Networks (DINNs) that can be employed to effectively predict the spread of infectious diseases. This approach builds on a successful physics informed neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Sagi Shaier , Maziar Raissi , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

We investigate the presence (and the influence) of disinformation spreading on online social networks in Italy, in the5-month period preceding the 2019 European Parliament elections. To this aim we collected a large-scale dataset oftweets…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Francesco Pierri , Alessandro Artoni , Stefano Ceri

Towards the end of an infectious disease outbreak, when a period has elapsed without new case notifications, a key question for public health policy makers is whether the outbreak can be declared over. This requires the benefits of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-22 M. J. Plank , W. S. Hart , J. Polonsky , M. Keita , S. Ahuka-Mundeke , R. N. Thompson

Several epidemiological models have been proposed to study the evolution of COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, we propose an extension of the SUIHTER model, first introduced in [Parolini et al, Proc R. Soc. A., 2021] to analyse the COVID-19…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-23 Nicola Parolini , Luca Dede' , Giovanni Ardenghi , Alfio Quarteroni

Increased availability of epidemiological data, novel digital data streams, and the rise of powerful machine learning approaches have generated a surge of research activity on real-time epidemic forecast systems. In this paper, we propose…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Ioanna Miliou , Xinyue Xiong , Salvatore Rinzivillo , Qian Zhang , Giulio Rossetti , Fosca Giannotti , Dino Pedreschi , Alessandro Vespignani

In this paper we introduce a space-dependent multiscale model to describe the spatial spread of an infectious disease under uncertain data with particular interest in simulating the onset of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy. While virus…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-31 Giulia Bertaglia , Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) has been expanding its geographical distribution with important implications for both human and animal health. The emergence of Rift Valley fever (RVF) in the Middle East, and its continuing presence in many…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Ling Xue , H. Morgan Scott , Lee. Cohnstaedt , Caterina Scoglio

Insect-borne diseases are diseases carried by insects affecting humans, animals or plants. They have the potential to generate massive outbreaks such as the Zika epidemic in 2015-2016 mostly distributed in the Americas, the Pacific and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Olivier Martin , Yasmil Fernandez-Diclo , Jerome Coville , Samuel Soubeyrand

We use daily data from Lombardy, the Italian region most affected by the COVID-19 outbreak, to calibrate a SIR model individually on each municipality. These are all covered by the same health system and, in the post-lockdown phase we focus…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-20 Pietro Battiston , Simona Gamba

Early outbreak data analysis is critical for informing about their potential impact and interventions. However, data obtained early in outbreaks are often sensitive and subject to strict privacy restrictions. Thus, federated analysis, which…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-27 Simon Busch-Moreno , Moritz U. G. Kraemer

In October 2013 Italy enacted Law 112 2013, containing the first national regulations about the open access availability of publicly-funded research results (publications). The impact of these new regulations with the specific situation of…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2015-01-13 Monica Marra

Data Science---Today, everybody and everything produces data. People produce large amounts of data in social networks and in commercial transactions. Medical, corporate, and government databases continue to grow. Sensors continue to get…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-04-14 Aske Plaat

The work of this paper presents a dataset that contains the data of 4011 videos about the ongoing outbreak of measles published on 264 websites on the internet between January 1, 2024, and May 31, 2024. The dataset is available at…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Nirmalya Thakur , Vanessa Su , Mingchen Shao , Kesha A. Patel , Hongseok Jeong , Victoria Knieling , Andrew Bian

Vulnerability databases are vital sources of information on emergent software security concerns. Security professionals, from system administrators to developers to researchers, heavily depend on these databases to track vulnerabilities and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Afsah Anwar , Ahmed Abusnaina , Songqing Chen , Frank Li , David Mohaisen

Infectious disease surveillance is of great importance for the prevention of major outbreaks. Syndromic surveillance aims at developing algorithms which can detect outbreaks as early as possible by monitoring data sources which allow to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Johannes Fürnkranz

We provide an insight into the open data resources pertinent to the study of the spread of Covid-19 pandemic and its control. We identify the variables required to analyze fundamental aspects like seasonal behaviour, regional mortality…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-12 Teodoro Alamo , Daniel G. Reina , Martina Mammarella , Alberto Abella