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Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Around the mid 1990s, the authors set up a broad-based research program with the aim of better understanding the evolution of Italian climate in the last 100/150 years. The program was developed both within European (UE IMPROVE and ALPCLIM…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Brunetti , L. Buffoni , F. Mangianti , M. Maugeri , T. Nanni

This paper presents a statistical analysis of air temperature data from 32 stations in Italy and the UK up to 2000 m above sea level, from 2002 to 2021. The data came from both highland and lowland areas, in order to evaluate both the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-27 Chalachew Muluken Liyew , Elvira Di Nardo , Rosa Meo , Stefano Ferraris

Estimating population-level prevalence and transmission dynamics of wildlife pathogens can be challenging, partly because surveillance data is sparse, detection-driven, and unevenly sequenced. Using highly pathogenic avian influenza A/H5…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Haley Stone , Jing Du , Yang Yang , Ashna Desai , Rebecca Dawson , Hao Xue , David Heslop , Matthew Scotch , Andreas Züfle , C. Raina MacIntyre , Flora Salim

Pathogen outbreaks (i.e., outbreaks of bacteria and viruses) in hospitals can cause high mortality rates and increase costs for hospitals significantly. An outbreak is generally noticed when the number of infected patients rises above an…

In today's world,the risk of emerging and re-emerging epidemics have increased.The recent advancement in healthcare technology has made it possible to predict an epidemic outbreak in a region.Early prediction of an epidemic outbreak greatly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-01 Akshara Pramod , JS Abhishek , Suganthi K

Influenza epidemics result in a public health and economic burden around the globe. Traditional surveillance techniques, which rely on doctor visits, provide data with a delay of 1-2 weeks. A means of obtaining real-time data and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-11 Wendy K. Caldwell , Geoffrey Fairchild , Sara Y. Del Valle

The spatial propagation of many livestock infectious diseases critically depends on the animal movements among premises; so the knowledge of movement data may help us to detect, manage and control an outbreak. The identification of robust…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-03 Paolo Bajardi , Alain Barrat , Lara Savini , Vittoria Colizza

The World Health Organization added Disease X to their shortlist of blueprint priority diseases to represent a hypothetical, unknown pathogen that could cause a future epidemic. During different virus outbreaks of the past, such as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Nirmalya Thakur , Shuqi Cui , Kesha A. Patel , Isabella Hall , Yuvraj Nihal Duggal

Italy and the Eurozone are heading in the year 2012 into a financial depression of unprecedented magnitude, with a forthcoming multitude of often contradictory public economic and financial stability emergency interventions whose ultimate…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-27 Stefano Olgiati , Alessandro Danovi

In health econometric studies we are often interested in quantifying aspects related to the accessibility to medical infrastructures. The increasing availability of data automatically collected through unconventional sources (such as…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-25 G. Arbia , V. Nardelli , N. Salvini , I. Valentini

A pipeline to evaluate the evolution of viral dynamics based on a new model-driven approach has been developed in the present study. The proposed methods exploit real data and the multiscale structure of the infection dynamics to provide…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-25 Andrea Bondesan , Antonio Piralla , Elena Ballante , Antonino Maria Guglielmo Pitrolo , Silvia Figini , Fausto Baldanti , Mattia Zanella

In this paper, a novel West Nile Virus model looking upon the infected birds as monitoring threshold, for the mosquitoes and birds with impulsive state feedback control is considered. We obtain sufficient conditions of the global…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Lin-Fei Nie , Jing-Yun Shen

Background School closures and distance learning have been extensively applied to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Despite evidence of viral circulation in schools, the contribution of students and of in-person schooling to the transmission…

Infectious disease is a leading threat to public health, economic stability, and other key social structures. Efforts to mitigate these impacts depend on accurate and timely monitoring to measure the risk and progress of disease.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-04-03 Nicholas Generous , Geoffrey Fairchild , Alina Deshpande , Sara Y. Del Valle , Reid Priedhorsky

This work is inspired by the outbreak of COVID-19, and some of the challenges we have observed with gathering data about the disease. To this end, we aim to help collect data about citizens and the disease without risking the privacy of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Katrine Tjell , Jaron Skovsted Gundersen , Rafael Wisniewski

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

The identification of the transmission parameters of a virus is fundamental to identify the optimal public health strategy. These parameters can present significant changes over time caused by genetic mutations or viral recombination,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-21 Eugenio Lippiello , Giuseppe Petrillo , Lucilla de Arcangelis

We propose a novel epidemiological model, referred to as SEIHRDV, for the numerical simulation of the COVID-19 epidemic, which we validate using data from Italy starting in September 2020. SEIHRDV features the following compartments:…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-09 Luca Dede' , Nicola Parolini , Alfio Quarteroni , Giulia Villani , Giovanni Ziarelli
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