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The presence of unobserved node specific heterogeneity in Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM) is a general concern, both with respect to model validity as well as estimation instability. We therefore extend the ERGM by including node…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-24 Sevag Kevork , Göran Kauermann

This paper considers the practically important case of nonparametrically estimating heterogeneous average treatment effects that vary with a limited number of discrete and continuous covariates in a selection-on-observables framework where…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-26 Michael Zimmert , Michael Lechner

Here, we review the research we have done on social contagion. We describe the methods we have employed (and the assumptions they have entailed) in order to examine several datasets with complementary strengths and weaknesses, including the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-14 Nicholas A. Christakis , James H. Fowler

It is commonly believed that information spreads between individuals like a pathogen, with each exposure by an informed friend potentially resulting in a naive individual becoming infected. However, empirical studies of social media suggest…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-03-24 Nathan O. Hodas , Kristina Lerman

Convenient access to observational data enables us to learn causal effects without randomized experiments. This research direction draws increasing attention in research areas such as economics, healthcare, and education. For example, we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Ruocheng Guo , Jundong Li , Huan Liu

We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

Claiming causal inferences in network settings necessitates careful consideration of the often complex dependency between outcomes for actors. Of particular importance are treatment spillover or outcome interference effects. We consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-18 Duncan A. Clark , Mark S. Handcock

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

This paper develops a method to conduct causal inference in the presence of unobserved confounders by leveraging networks with homophily, a frequently observed tendency to form edges with similar nodes. I introduce a concept of asymptotic…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Vincent Starck

This paper deals with the estimation of exogeneous peer effects for partially observed networks under the new inferential paradigm of design identification, which characterizes the missing data challenge arising with sampled networks with…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-22 Mamadou Yauck

Social influence, sometimes referred to as spillover or contagion, have been extensively studied in various empirical social network research. However, there are various estimation challenges in identifying social influence effects, as they…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-15 Ran Xu

Contagion, broadly construed, refers to anything that can spread infectiously from peer to peer. Examples include communicable diseases, rumors, misinformation, ideas, innovations, bank failures, and electrical blackouts. Sometimes, as in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-08 Jonas S. Juul , Steven H. Strogatz

Estimating long-term causal effects based on short-term surrogates is a significant but challenging problem in many real-world applications, e.g., marketing and medicine. Despite its success in certain domains, most existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Ruichu Cai , Weilin Chen , Zeqin Yang , Shu Wan , Chen Zheng , Xiaoqing Yang , Jiecheng Guo

A common concern when trying to draw causal inferences from observational data is that the measured covariates are insufficiently rich to account for all sources of confounding. In practice, many of the covariates may only be proxies of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Oliver Dukes , Ilya Shpitser , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

We study a family of binary state, socially-inspired contagion models which incorporate imitation limited by an aversion to complete conformity. We uncover rich behavior in our models whether operating with either probabilistic or…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-03-08 Peter Sheridan Dodds , Kameron Decker Harris , Christopher M. Danforth

The social contagion literature makes a distinction between simple (independent cascade or bond percolation processes that pass infections through edges) and complex contagions (bootstrap percolation or threshold processes that require…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Vahid Shamsaddini , M. Amin Rahimian

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in network settings is complicated by interference, meaning that the outcome of an instance can be influenced by the treatment status of others. Existing causal machine learning approaches usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Daan Caljon , Jente Van Belle , Wouter Verbeke

We investigate critical behaviors of a social contagion model on weighted networks. An edge-weight compartmental approach is applied to analyze the weighted social contagion on strongly heterogenous networks with skewed degree and weight…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-12 Yu-Xiao Zhu , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Yong-Yeol Ahn

Network structure can affect when and how widely new ideas, products, and behaviors are adopted. In widely-used models of biological contagion, interventions that randomly rewire edges (on average making them "longer") accelerate spread.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Dean Eckles , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian , Subhabrata Sen

This article develops a class of models called Sender/Receiver Finite Mixture Exponential Random Graph Models (SRFM-ERGMs) that enables inference on networks. This class of models extends the existing Exponential Random Graph Modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Teague R Henry , Kathleen M Gates , Mitchell J Prinstein , Douglas Steinley