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While vaccines are crucial to end the COVID-19 pandemic, public confidence in vaccine safety has always been vulnerable. Many statistical methods have been applied to VAERS (Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System) database to study the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-14 Bangyao Zhao , Yuan Zhong , Jian Kang , Lili Zhao

Spontaneous reporting system databases are key resources for post-marketing surveillance, providing real-world evidence (RWE) on the adverse events (AEs) of regulated drugs or other medical products. Various statistical methods have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Xin-Wei Huang , Saptarshi Chakraborty

Vaccination safety is critical for individual and public health. Many existing methods have been used to conduct safety studies with the VAERS (Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System) database. However, these methods frequently identify…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Shuoran Li , Lili Zhao

We introduce a Bayesian nonparametric inference approach for aggregate adverse event (AE) monitoring across studies. The proposed model seamlessly integrates external data from historical trials to define a relevant background rate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Shijie Yuan , Kevin Roberts , Noirrit Kiran Chandra , Yuan Ji , Peter Müller

Meta-analysis is a powerful tool for assessing drug safety by combining treatment-related toxicological findings across multiple studies, as clinical trials are typically underpowered for detecting adverse drug effects. However, incomplete…

Vaccine safety is a concerning problem of the public, and many signal detecting methods have been developed to identify relative risks between vaccines and adverse events (AEs). Those methods usually focus on individual AEs, where the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-26 Bangyao Zhao , Lili Zhao

In immunological studies, the characterization of small, functionally distinct cell subsets from blood and tissue is crucial to decipher system level biological changes. An increasing number of studies rely on assays that provide…

Safety analyses in terms of adverse events (AEs) are an important aspect of benefit-risk assessments of therapies. Compared to efficacy analyses AE analyses are often rather simplistic. The probability of an AE of a specific type is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-20 Regina Stegherr , Claudia Schmoor , Michael Lübbert , Tim Friede , Jan Beyersmann

Statistical agencies and other institutions collect data under the promise to protect the confidentiality of respondents. When releasing microdata samples, the risk that records can be identified must be assessed. To this aim, a widely…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-03 Cinzia Carota , Maurizio Filippone , Roberto Leombruni , Silvia Polettini

Post-market safety surveillance is an integral part of mass vaccination programs. Typically relying on sequential analysis of real-world health data as they accrue, safety surveillance is challenged by the difficulty of sequential multiple…

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin

During the COVID-19 pandemic, regulatory decision-making was hampered by a lack of timely and high-quality data on rare outcomes. Studying rare outcomes following infection and vaccination requires conducting multi-center observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Malcolm Risk , Xu Shi , Lili Zhao

We consider nonparametric inference for event time distributions based on current status data. We show that in this scenario conventional mixture priors, including the popular Dirichlet process mixture prior, lead to biologically…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-23 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Victor G. Sal Y Rosas

An important issue in joint modelling for outcomes and longitudinal risk factors in cohort studies is to have an accurate assessment of events. Events determined based on ICD-9 codes can be very inaccurate, in particular for cardiovascular…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-25 Mirajul Islam , Michael J. Daniels , Donald Lloyd-Jones , Juned Siddique

The conventional use of the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution to model block maxima may be inappropriate when extremes are actually structured into multiple heterogeneous groups. In this work, we propose a novel approach for…

Datasets containing large samples of time-to-event data arising from several small heterogeneous groups are commonly encountered in statistics. This presents problems as they cannot be pooled directly due to their heterogeneity or analyzed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-05 Alexandre Piché , Russell Steele , Ian Shrier , Stephanie Long

The COVID-19 pandemic provides new motivation for a classic problem in epidemiology: estimating the empirical rate of transmission during an outbreak (formally, the time-varying reproduction number) from case counts. While standard methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Bryan Wilder , Michael J. Mina , Milind Tambe

The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely affected US public health, resulting in over a hundred million cases and more than one million deaths. Vaccination is the key intervention against the COVID-19 pandemic. Multiple COVID-19 vaccines are now…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-25 Asim K. Dey

Adverse event (AE) extraction following COVID-19 vaccines from text data is crucial for monitoring and analyzing the safety profiles of immunizations. Traditional deep learning models are adept at learning intricate feature representations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Yiming Li , Deepthi Viswaroopan , William He , Jianfu Li , Xu Zuo , Hua Xu , Cui Tao

We demonstrate from first principles a core fallacy employed by a coterie of authors who claim that data from the Vaccine Adverse Reporting System (VAERS) show that hundreds of thousands of U.S. deaths are attributable to COVID vaccination.

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-10 Gordon V Cormack , Maura R Grossman
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