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Wildfires pose significant threats to ecosystems and communities, yet accurately modeling fire spread remains challenging, particularly in regions where environmental and fuel data are scarce or unavailable. This study introduces an…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-12-12 Hengameh R. Dehkordi

Due to recent climate changes, we have seen more frequent and severe wildfires in the United States. Predicting wildfires is critical for natural disaster prevention and mitigation. Advances in technologies in data processing and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris

There are many wildfire behaviors of increasing relevance that are outside the forecast capabilities of even the most sophisticated operational fire spread and fire behavior model. The limitations of the operational models are due primarily…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-26 Adam K. Kochanski , Mary Ann Jenkins , Steven K. Krueger , Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley

Background. Wildfire research uses ensemble methods to analyze fire behaviors and assess uncertainties. Nonetheless, current research methods are either confined to simple models or complex simulations with limits. Modern computing tools…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-01 Qing Wang , Matthias Ihme , Cenk Gazen , Yi-Fan Chen , John Anderson

We present an overview of a modeling environment, consisting of a coupled atmosphere-wildfire model, utilities for visualization, data processing, and diagnostics, open source software repositories, and a community wiki. The fire model,…

Fine-grained fire prediction plays a crucial role in emergency response. Infrared images and fire masks provide complementary thermal and boundary information, yet current methods are predominantly limited to binary mask modeling with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Nan Zhou , Huandong Wang , Jiahao Li , Yang Li , Xiao-Ping Zhang , Yong Li , Xinlei Chen

Random forest is a popular prediction approach for handling high dimensional covariates. However, it often becomes infeasible to interpret the obtained high dimensional and non-parametric model. Aiming for obtaining an interpretable…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Jasper Velthoen , Juan-Juan Cai , Geurt Jongbloed

Recent wildfires in the United States have resulted in loss of life and billions of dollars, destroying countless structures and forests. Fighting wildfires is extremely complex. It is difficult to observe the true state of fires due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Tina Diao , Samriddhi Singla , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Ahmed Eldawy , Ross Shachter , Mykel Kochenderfer

The forest fire model is a reaction-diffusion model where energy, in the form of trees, is injected uniformly, and burned (dissipated) locally. We show that the spatial distribution of fires forms a novel geometric structure where the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kan Chen , Per Bak

A two-dimensional model of wildfire spread and merger is presented. Three features affect the fire propagation: (i) a constant basic rate of spread term accounting for radiative and convective heat transfer, (ii) the unidirectional,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-08-13 Samuel J. Harris , N. R. McDonald

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

This article investigates a mathematical model for bushfire propagation, focusing on the existence and properties of translating solutions. We obtain quantitative bounds on the environmental diffusion coefficient and ignition kernels,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Serena Dipierro , Enrico Valdinoci , Glen Wheeler , Valentina-Mira Wheeler

A cellular automaton (CA)-based modeling approach to simulate wildfire spread, emphasizing its strengths in capturing complex fire dynamics and its integration with geographic information systems (GIS). The model introduces an enhanced…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2024-03-15 Rohit Ghosh , Jishnu Adhikary , Rezki Chemlal

We propose a discrete two-dimensional mathematical model for forest fires and we derive certain results describing its limiting behavior. We also pose a relevant open question.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Vassilis G. Papanicolaou

Fire effects are widely used in various computer graphics applications such as visual effects and video games. Modeling the shape and appearance of fire phenomenon is challenging as the underlying effects are driven by complex laws of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Gara Dorta , Luca Benedetti , Dmitry Kit , Yong-Liang Yang

Forest fires may cause considerable damages both in ecosystems and lives. This proposal describes the application of Internet of Things and wireless sensor networks jointly with multi-hop routing through a real time and dynamic monitoring…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-09-19 J Toledo-Castro , I Santos-González , P Caballero-Gil , C Hernández-Goya , N Rodríguez-Pérez , R Aguasca-Colomo

Humans have been able to tackle biosphere complexities by acting as ecosystem engineers, profoundly changing the flows of matter, energy and information. This includes major innovations that allowed to reduce and control the impact of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Martí Sánchez-Fibla , Clément Moulin-Frier , Ricard Solé

Accurate prediction of wildfire spread is crucial for effective risk management, emergency response, and strategic resource allocation. In this study, we present a deep learning (DL)-based framework for forecasting the final extent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Nikolaos Anastasiou , Spyros Kondylatos , Ioannis Papoutsis

The use of machine learning algorithms to predict behaviors of complex systems is booming. However, the key to an effective use of machine learning tools in multi-physics problems, including combustion, is to couple them to physical and…

In recent decades, the intensification of wildfire activity in western Canada has resulted in substantial socio-economic and environmental losses. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is hindered by the intrinsic stochasticity of ignition and…