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The use of factor stochastic volatility models requires choosing the number of latent factors used to describe the dynamics of the financial returns process; however, empirical evidence suggests that the number and makeup of pertinent…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-06 Taylor R. Brown

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

How to model distribution of sequential data, including but not limited to speech and human motions, is an important ongoing research problem. It has been demonstrated that model capacity can be significantly enhanced by introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Guokun Lai , Bohan Li , Guoqing Zheng , Yiming Yang

Stochastic frontier models have attracted considerable attention due to the incorporation of an inefficiency term in addition to the conventional error term. In this paper, we propose a general estimation framework for panel stochastic…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Kazuki Tomioka , Thomas T. Yang , Xibin Zhang

A practical introduction to stochastic modelling of reaction-diffusion processes is presented. No prior knowledge of stochastic simulations is assumed. The methods are explained using illustrative examples. The article starts with the…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-19 Radek Erban , Jonathan Chapman , Philip Maini

Point processes model the distribution of random point sets in mathematical spaces, such as spatial and temporal domains, with applications in fields like seismology, neuroscience, and economics. Existing statistical and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 David Lüdke , Enric Rabasseda Raventós , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

We explore a stochastic model that enables capturing external influences in two specific ways. The model allows for the expression of uncertainty in the parametrisation of the stochastic dynamics and incorporates patterns to account for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-11 Felix L. Wolf , Griselda Deelstra , Lech A. Grzelak

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-03-15 Ricardo Silva , Robert B. Gramacy

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Latent variable models have been playing a central role in psychometrics and related fields. In many modern applications, the inference based on latent variable models involves one or several of the following features: (1) the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Siliang Zhang , Yunxiao Chen

We generalize Taylor's theorem by introducing a stochastic formulation based on an underlying Poisson point process model. We utilize this approach to propose a novel non-linear regression framework and perform statistical inference of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Weichao Wu , Athanasios C. Micheas

We propose a latent score-based generative AI framework for learning stochastic, non-local closure models and constitutive laws in nonlinear dynamical systems of computational mechanics. This work addresses a key challenge of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Xinghao Dong , Huchen Yang , Jin-Long Wu

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in different contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the essential dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

In this paper a stochastic reaction diffusion system is considered, which models the spread of a finite population reacting with a non-renewable resource in the presence of individual based noise. A two-parameter phase diagram is…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-27 Carl Mueller , Roger Tribe

We analyze multivariate ordered discrete response models with a lattice structure, modeling decision makers who narrowly bracket choices across multiple dimensions. These models map latent continuous processes into discrete responses using…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-06 Tatiana Komarova , William Matcham

The macroscopic behavior of dissipative stochastic partial differential equations usually can be described by a finite dimensional system. This article proves that a macroscopic reduced model may be constructed for stochastic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-12-11 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts

Classical regression analysis relates the expectation of a response variable to a linear combination of explanatory variables. In this article, we propose a covariance regression model that parameterizes the covariance matrix of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-01 Peter D. Hoff , Xiaoyue Niu

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri