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A data-driven algorithm is proposed that employs sparse data from velocity and/or scalar sensors to forecast the future evolution of three dimensional turbulent flows. The algorithm combines time-delayed embedding together with Koopman…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-04 George Papadakis , Shengqi Lu

This paper presents an efficient variational inference framework for deriving a family of structured gaussian process regression network (SGPRN) models. The key idea is to incorporate auxiliary inducing variables in latent functions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Rui Meng , Herbie Lee , Kristofer Bouchard

Specific aspects of time series analysis are discussed. They are related to the analysis of atmospheric data that are pertinent to clouds. A brief introduction on some of the most interesting topics of current research on climate/weather…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 K. Ivanova , M. Ausloos , T. Ackerman , H. N. Shirer , E. E. Clothiaux

Numerical simulation models associated with hydraulic engineering take a wide array of data into account to produce predictions: rainfall contribution to the drainage basin (characterized by soil nature, infiltration capacity and moisture),…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Corentin J. Lapeyre , Nicolas Cazard , Pamphile T. Roy , Sophie Ricci , Fabrice Zaoui

Rainfall is an important component of the climate system and its statistical properties are vital for prediction purposes. In this study, we have developed a statistical method for constructing the distribution of annual precipitation. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-24 Yosef Ashkenazy , Naftali R. Smith

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

Recently, 3D Gaussian Splatting has emerged as a promising approach for modeling 3D scenes using mixtures of Gaussians. The predominant optimization method for these models relies on backpropagating gradients through a differentiable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Toon Van de Maele , Ozan Catal , Alexander Tschantz , Christopher L. Buckley , Tim Verbelen

Streaming computation plays an important role in large-scale data analysis. The sliding window model is a model of streaming computation which also captures the recency of the data. In this model, data arrives one item at a time, but only…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Alessandro Epasto , Mohammad Mahdian , Vahab Mirrokni , Peilin Zhong

Flow matching has recently emerged as a powerful paradigm for generative modeling and has been extended to probabilistic time series forecasting in latent spaces. However, the impact of the specific choice of probability path model on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Soon Hoe Lim , Yijin Wang , Annan Yu , Emma Hart , Michael W. Mahoney , Xiaoye S. Li , N. Benjamin Erichson

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Off-the-shelf Gaussian Process (GP) covariance functions encode smoothness assumptions on the structure of the function to be modeled. To model complex and non-differentiable functions, these smoothness assumptions are often too…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-12 Roberto Calandra , Jan Peters , Carl Edward Rasmussen , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Calibration of hydrological time-series models is a challenging task since these models give a wide spectrum of output series and calibration procedures require significant amount of time. From a statistical standpoint, this model parameter…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-26 Natalia V. Bhattacharjee , Pritam Ranjan , Abhyuday Mandal , Ernest W. Tollner

Recent advancements in generative modeling, particularly diffusion models, have opened new directions for time series modeling, achieving state-of-the-art performance in forecasting and synthesis. However, the reliance of diffusion-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Marcel Kollovieh , Marten Lienen , David Lüdke , Leo Schwinn , Stephan Günnemann

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

The application of process-based and data-driven hydrological models is crucial in modern hydrological research, especially for predicting key water cycle variables such as runoff, evapotranspiration (ET), and soil moisture. These models…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-08-14 Haiyang Shi

Count time series are widely encountered in practice. As with continuous valued data, many count series have seasonal properties. This paper uses a recent advance in stationary count time series to develop a general seasonal count time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Jiajie Kong , Robert Lund

In this work, we aimed to replicate and extend the results presented in the DiffFluid paper[1]. The DiffFluid model showed that diffusion models combined with Transformers are capable of predicting fluid dynamics. It uses a denoising…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-14 Yannick Gachnang , Vismay Churiwala

A dynamical systems approach to turbulence envisions the flow as a trajectory through a high-dimensional state space transiently visiting the neighbourhoods of unstable simple invariant solutions (E. Hopf, Commun. Appl. Maths 1, 303, 1948).…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-15 Jacob Page , Peter Norgaard , Michael P. Brenner , Rich R. Kerswell

Generative diffusion models are extensively used in unsupervised and self-supervised machine learning with the aim to generate new samples from a probability distribution estimated with a set of known samples. They have demonstrated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-28 Wilfried Genuist , Éric Savin , Filippo Gatti , Didier Clouteau
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