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Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be useful for decision-making or discovering causal relationships. However, traditional methods often fail in modern applications, which exhibit a larger number of observed variables than data…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-26 Raj Agrawal , Tamara Broderick , Caroline Uhler

We present a new approach to Bayesian inference that entirely avoids Markov chain simulation, by constructing a map that pushes forward the prior measure to the posterior measure. Existence and uniqueness of a suitable measure-preserving…

Computation · Statistics 2012-08-31 Tarek A. El Moselhy , Youssef M. Marzouk

In Bayesian phylogenetics, our goal is to estimate the posterior distribution over phylogenetic trees. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are widely used to approximate the phylogenetic posterior distributions. For large-scale sequence data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Wentao Yu , Shijia Wang

We present a novel prior for tree topology within Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) models. This approach quantifies the hypothetical loss in information and the loss due to complexity associated with choosing the wrong tree…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 F. Serafini , F. Leisen , C. Villa , K. Wilson

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) are popular Bayesian ensemble models used in regression and classification analysis. Under this modeling framework, the regression function is approximated by an ensemble of decision trees,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-26 Marco Battiston , Yu Luo

Distribution regression, where the goal is to predict a scalar response from a distribution-valued predictor, arises naturally in settings where observations are grouped and outcomes depend on group-level characteristics rather than on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Antonio R. Linero , Soumyabrata Bose , Jared Murray

Many network analysis and graph learning techniques are based on models of random walks which require to infer transition matrices that formalize the underlying stochastic process in an observed graph. For weighted graphs, it is common to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Vincenzo Perri , Luka V. Petrović , Ingo Scholtes

Using ensemble methods for regression has been a large success in obtaining high-accuracy prediction. Examples are Bagging, Random forest, Boosting, BART (Bayesian additive regression tree), and their variants. In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Yuhao Su , Jie Ding

Variable selection is an important statistical problem. This problem becomes more challenging when the candidate predictors are of mixed type (e.g. continuous and binary) and impact the response variable in nonlinear and/or non-additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Chuji Luo , Michael J. Daniels

Decision trees have found widespread application within the machine learning community due to their flexibility and interpretability. This paper is directed towards learning decision trees from data using a Bayesian approach, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Jodie A. Cochrane , Adrian G. Wills , Sarah J. Johnson

BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) has become increasingly popular as a flexible and scalable nonparametric regression approach for modern applied statistics problems. For the practitioner dealing with large and complex nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-11 Matthew Pratola , Hugh Chipman , Edward George , Robert McCulloch

Spectral clustering views the similarity matrix as a weighted graph, and partitions the data by minimizing a graph-cut loss. Since it minimizes the across-cluster similarity, there is no need to model the distribution within each cluster.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

Decision trees remain one of the most popular machine learning models today, largely due to their out-of-the-box performance and interpretability. In this work, we present a Bayesian approach to decision tree induction via maximum a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Colin Sullivan , Mo Tiwari , Sebastian Thrun

Phylogenetic trees describe the relationships between species in the evolutionary process, and provide information about the rates of diversification. To understand the mechanisms behind macroevolution, we consider a class of multitype…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-07 Mingqi He , Sophie Hautphenne , Yao-ban Chan

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a regression technique developed by Chipman et al. (2008). Its usefulness in standard regression settings has been clearly demonstrated, but it has not been applied to time series analysis as…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-06 Sean van der Merwe

Decision trees are highly famous in machine learning and usually acquire state-of-the-art performance. Despite that, well-known variants like CART, ID3, random forest, and boosted trees miss a probabilistic version that encodes prior…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Efthyvoulos Drousiotis , Paul G. Spirakis

Bayesian inference provides a methodology for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in machine learning and deep learning methods. Variational inference and Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods are used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-27 Rohitash Chandra , Joshua Simmons

The ratio of two densities provides a direct characterization of their differences. We consider the two-sample comparison problem by estimating this ratio given i.i.d. observations from two distributions. To this end, we propose additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Naoki Awaya , Yuliang Xu , Li Ma

Bayesian inference in deep neural networks is challenging due to the high-dimensional, strongly multi-modal parameter posterior density landscape. Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches asymptotically recover the true posterior but are…

In order to gain an understanding of the effectiveness of phylogenetic Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), it is important to understand how quickly the empirical distribution of the MCMC converges to the posterior distribution. In this paper…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-20 Christopher Whidden , Frederick A. Matsen
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