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We develop an empirical behavioural order-driven (EBOD) model, which consists of an order placement process and an order cancellation process. Price limit rules are introduced in the definition of relative price. The order placement process…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-23 Gao-Feng Gu , Xiong Xiong , Hai-Chuan Xu , Wei Zhang , Yong-Jie Zhang , Wei Chen , Wei-Xing Zhou

The efficient modeling for disorder in a phenomena depends on the chosen score and objective functions. The main parameters in modeling are location, scale and shape. The exponential power distribution known as generalized Gaussian is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-08 Mehmet Niyazi Çankaya

This paper studies forecasting of the future distribution of events in human action sequences, a task essential in domains like retail, finance, healthcare, and recommendation systems where the precise temporal order is often less critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Egor Surkov , Dmitry Osin , Evgeny Burnaev , Egor Shvetsov

Self-organized criticality has been claimed to play an important role in many natural and social systems. In the present work we empirically investigate the relevance of this theory to stock-market dynamics. Avalanches in stock-market…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 M. Bartolozzi , D. B. Leinweber , A. W. Thomas

We address the problem of long-range memory in the financial markets. There are two conceptually different ways to reproduce power-law decay of auto-correlation function: using fractional Brownian motion as well as non-linear stochastic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

This paper introduces and analyzes an improved Q-learning algorithm for discrete-time linear time-invariant systems. The proposed method does not require any knowledge of the system dynamics, and it enjoys significant efficiency advantages…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-03 Victor G. Lopez , Mohammad Alsalti , Matthias A. Müller

Power-law distributions are typical macroscopic features occurring in almost all complex systems observable in nature. As a result, researchers in quantitative analyses must often generate random synthetic variates obeying power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-11 Filippo Radicchi

This paper studies the problem of verifying dissipativity of linear time-invariant (LTI) systems using input-output data. We leverage behavioral systems theory to express dissipativity in terms of quadratic difference forms (QDFs), allowing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Henk J. van Waarde , Jeremy Coulson , Alberto Padoan

We study the dynamics of the limit order book of liquid stocks after experiencing large intra-day price changes. In the data we find large variations in several microscopical measures, e.g., the volatility the bid-ask spread, the bid-ask…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-26 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz , J. Doyne Farmer

The Barab\'asi's priority queuing model [A.-L. Barab\'asi, Nature \textbf{435}, 207 (2005)] and its variants have been extensively studied to understand heavy-tailed distributions of the inter-event times and the response times observed in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-16 Hang-Hyun Jo

Recent empirical studies have demonstrated long-memory in the signs of orders to buy or sell in financial markets [2, 19]. We show how this can be caused by delays in market clearing. Under the common practice of order splitting, large…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 F. Lillo , Szabolcs Mike , J. Doyne Farmer

Anomalous diffusions arise as scaling limits of continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) whose innovation times are distributed according to a power law. The impact of a non-exponential waiting time does not vanish with time and leads to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-13 Antoine Jacquier , Lorenzo Torricelli

We propose a parametric model for the simulation of limit order books. We assume that limit orders, market orders and cancellations are submitted according to point processes with state-dependent intensities. We propose new functional forms…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-15 Ioane Muni Toke , Nakahiro Yoshida

Power-law distributions are essential in computational and statistical investigations of extreme events and complex systems. The usual technique to generate power-law distributed data is to first infer the scale exponent $\alpha$ using the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-06-15 Jack Murdoch Moore , Gang Yan , Eduardo G. Altmann

Over the last few decades power law distributions have been suggested as forming generative mechanisms in a variety of disparate fields, such as, astrophysics, criminology and database curation. However, fitting these heavy tailed…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-26 Colin S. Gillespie

Many human-related activities show power-law decaying interevent time distribution with exponents usually varying between 1 and 2. We study a simple task-queuing model, which produces bursty time series due to the nontrivial dynamics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-22 Szabolcs Vajna , Bálint Tóth , János Kertész

Temporal data distribution shift is prevalent in the financial text. How can a financial sentiment analysis system be trained in a volatile market environment that can accurately infer sentiment and be robust to temporal data distribution…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Yue Guo , Chenxi Hu , Yi Yang

Investigations of inverse statistics (a concept borrowed from turbulence) in stock markets, exemplified with filtered Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and NASDAQ, have uncovered a novel stylized fact that the distribution of exit time…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Wei-Xing Zhou , Wei-Kang Yuan

We calculate reduced moments $\overline \xi_q$ of the matter density fluctuations, up to order $q=5$, from counts in cells produced by Particle--Mesh numerical simulations with scale--free Gaussian initial conditions. We use power--law…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-22 F. Lucchin , S. Matarrese , A. L. Melott , L. Moscardini

In this paper we propose a new lifetime model, called the odd generalized exponential linear failure rate distribution. Some statistical properties of the proposed distribution such as the moments, the quantiles, the median, and the mode…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-28 M. A. El-Damcese , Abdelfattah Mustafa , B. S. El-Desouky , M. E. Mustafa