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We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

In lifelong learning, tasks (or classes) to be learned arrive sequentially over time in arbitrary order. During training, knowledge from previous tasks can be captured and transferred to subsequent ones to improve sample efficiency. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Xinyuan Cao , Weiyang Liu , Santosh S. Vempala

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are often composed of processes acting at multiple scales.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-06 Chenyu Dong , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

The training algorithms for AI systems all introduce far-from-equilibrium dynamical processes, and understanding the irreversibility of these algorithms is a fundamental step towards understanding the learning dynamics of modern AI systems.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-22 Liu Ziyin , Yuanjie Ren , Adam Levine , Isaac Chuang

Loewner rational interpolation provides a versatile tool to learn low-dimensional dynamical-system models from frequency-response measurements. This work investigates the robustness of the Loewner approach to noise. The key finding is that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Zlatko Drmač , Benjamin Peherstorfer

Leveraging autonomous systems in safety-critical scenarios requires verifying their behaviors in the presence of uncertainties and black-box components that influence the system dynamics. In this work, we develop a framework for verifying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-17 John Skovbekk , Luca Laurenti , Eric Frew , Morteza Lahijanian

Experimental data is often affected by uncontrolled variables that make analysis and interpretation difficult. For spatiotemporal systems, this problem is further exacerbated by their intricate dynamics. Modern machine learning methods are…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-09-16 Peter Y. Lu , Samuel Kim , Marin Soljačić

In the past five years, deep learning methods have become state-of-the-art in solving various inverse problems. Before such approaches can find application in safety-critical fields, a verification of their reliability appears mandatory.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Martin Genzel , Jan Macdonald , Maximilian März

We undertake Bayesian learning of the high-dimensional functional relationship between a system parameter vector and an observable, that is in general tensor-valued. The ultimate aim is Bayesian inverse prediction of the system parameters,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-17 Kangrui Wang , Dalia Chakrabarty

The dynamics of time-reversible systems are statistically indistinguishable when observed forward or backward in time. A rich literature of statistical methods to distinguish irreversible dynamics from the reversible dynamics of linear,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-20 Teresa Dalle Nogare , Ben D. Fulcher

We attempt to characterize irreversibility of a dynamical system from the existence of different forward and backward mathematical representations depending on the direction of the time arrow. Such different representations have been…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Giorgio Picci

We introduce a self-consistent deep-learning framework which, for a noisy deterministic time series, provides unsupervised filtering, state-space reconstruction, identification of the underlying differential equations and forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Zhe Wang , Claude Guet

Gaussian processes regression is applied to augment experimental data of transfer-path analysis (TPA) by known information about the underlying physical properties of the system under investigation. The approach can be used as an…

Classical Physics · Physics 2019-05-21 Christopher Albert

Accurately estimating parameters in complex nonlinear systems is crucial across scientific and engineering fields. We present a novel approach for parameter estimation using a neural network with the Huber loss function. This method taps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Kaushal Kumar

Partial Differential Equations are infinite dimensional encoded representations of physical processes. However, imbibing multiple observation data towards a coupled representation presents significant challenges. We present a fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Gurpreet Singh , Soumyajit Gupta , Matt Lease , Clint N. Dawson

The ability to learn disentangled representations that split underlying sources of variation in high dimensional, unstructured data is important for data efficient and robust use of neural networks. While various approaches aiming towards…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Raphael Suter , Đorđe Miladinović , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

We propose and investigate a method for identifying timescales of dissipation in nonequilibrium steady states modeled as discrete-state Markov jump processes. The method is based on how the irreversibility-measured by the statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-24 Freddy A. Cisneros , Nikta Fakhri , Jordan M. Horowitz

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

Active matter systems, from self-propelled colloids to motile bacteria, are characterized by the conversion of free energy into useful work at the microscopic scale. They involve physics beyond the reach of equilibrium statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-18 Nicholas M. Boffi , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We study dynamical reversibility in stationary stochastic processes from an information theoretic perspective. Extending earlier work on the reversibility of Markov chains, we focus on finitary processes with arbitrarily long conditional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Christopher J. Ellison , John R. Mahoney , Ryan G. James , James P. Crutchfield , Joerg Reichardt