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Interval-censored multi-state data arise in many studies of chronic diseases, where the health status of a subject can be characterized by a finite number of disease states and the transition between any two states is only known to occur…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-19 Yu Gu , Donglin Zeng , Gerardo Heiss , D. Y. Lin

Based on evidence gathered from a newly built large macroeconomic data set for the UK, labeled UK-MD and comparable to similar datasets for the US and Canada, it seems the most promising avenue for forecasting during the pandemic is to…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-02 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Massimiliano Marcellino , Dalibor Stevanovic

Uncertainty estimation methods using deep learning approaches strive against separating how uncertain the state of the world manifests to us via measurement (objective end) from the way this gets scrambled with the model specification and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 Edgardo Solano-Carrillo

For prediction of clustered time-to-event data, we propose a new deep neural network based gamma frailty model (DNN-FM). An advantage of the proposed model is that the joint maximization of the new h-likelihood provides maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-14 Hangbin Lee , IL DO HA , Youngjo Lee

Neural models, with their ability to provide novel representations, have shown promising results in prediction tasks in healthcare. However, patient demographics, medical technology, and quality of care change over time. This often leads to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Miguel Rios , Ameen Abu-Hanna

We have established a novel mathematical model that considers various aspects of the spreading of the virus, including, the transmission based on being in the latent period, environment to human transmission, governmental decisions, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-31 Kamran Soltani , Ghader Rezazadeh

The COVID-19 pandemic has posed a heavy burden to the healthcare system worldwide and caused huge social disruption and economic loss. Many deep learning models have been proposed to conduct clinical predictive tasks such as mortality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Junyi Gao , Yinghao Zhu , Wenqing Wang , Yasha Wang , Wen Tang , Ewen M. Harrison , Liantao Ma

The computational prediction algorithm of neural network, or deep learning, has drawn much attention recently in statistics as well as in image recognition and natural language processing. Particularly in statistical application for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-13 Yichen Jia , Jong-Hyeon Jeong

We explore the potential of feed-forward deep neural networks (DNNs) for emulating cloud superparameterization in realistic geography, using offline fits to data from the Super Parameterized Community Atmospheric Model. To identify the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-09 Griffin Mooers , Mike Pritchard , Tom Beucler , Jordan Ott , Galen Yacalis , Pierre Baldi , Pierre Gentine

A key challenge for deploying deep neural networks (DNNs) in safety critical settings is the need to provide rigorous ways to quantify their uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm for constructing predicted classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Sangdon Park , Shuo Li , Insup Lee , Osbert Bastani

High-dimensional panels of time series often arise in finance and macroeconomics, where co-movements within groups of panel components occur. Extracting these groupings from the data provides a coarse-grained description of the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Brendan Martin , Francesco Sanna Passino , Mihai Cucuringu , Alessandra Luati

In the field of pattern recognition research, the method of using deep neural networks based on improved computing hardware recently attracted attention because of their superior accuracy compared to conventional methods. Deep neural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-27 Kyongsik Yun , Alexander Huyen , Thomas Lu

This study presents a neural network-enhanced approach to modeling disease spread dynamics over time and space. Neural networks are used to estimate time-varying parameters, with two calibration methods explored: Approximate Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Randy L. Caga-anan

To limit the spread of the novel coronavirus, governments across the world implemented extraordinary physical distancing policies, such as stay-at-home orders, and numerous studies aim to estimate their effects. Many statistical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-12 Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Accurate prediction of spatially dependent functional data is critical for various engineering and scientific applications. In this study, a spatial functional deep neural network model was developed with a novel non-linear modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-18 Merve Basaran , Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang , Zaher Mundher Yaseen

Recent advances in causal inference have seen the development of methods which make use of the predictive power of machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we develop novel double machine learning (DML) procedures for panel data in which…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-03 Paul S. Clarke , Annalivia Polselli

Deep learning has become the state-of-art tool in many applications, but the evaluation and training of deep models can be time-consuming and computationally expensive. The conditional computation approach has been proposed to tackle this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-11 Emmanuel Bengio , Pierre-Luc Bacon , Joelle Pineau , Doina Precup

We show that artificial neural networks with rectifier units as activation functions can exactly represent the piecewise affine function that results from the formulation of model predictive control of linear time-invariant systems. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Benjamin Karg , Sergio Lucia

Deep neural networks are frequently used by autonomous systems for their ability to learn complex, non-linear data patterns and make accurate predictions in dynamic environments. However, their use as black boxes introduces risks as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Dimitrios Boursinos , Xenofon Koutsoukos

Traditional approaches to estimating beta in finance often involve rigid assumptions and fail to adequately capture beta dynamics, limiting their effectiveness in use cases like hedging. To address these limitations, we have developed a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-29 Yuxin Liu , Jimin Lin , Achintya Gopal
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