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Related papers: Noisy voter models in switching environments

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Random metastability occurs when an externally forced or noisy system possesses more than one state of apparent equilibrium. This work investigates fluctuations in a class of random dynamical systems, arising from randomly perturbing a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Cecilia González-Tokman , Joshua Peters

Advances in experimental techniques allow the collection of high-resolution spatio-temporal data that track individual motile entities over time. These tracking data motivate the use of mathematical models to characterise the motion…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-03-30 Arianna Ceccarelli , Alexander P. Browning , Ruth E. Baker

We introduce a generalized version of the noisy $q$-voter model, one of the most popular opinion dynamics models, in which voters can be in one of $s \ge 2$ states. As in the original binary $q$-voter model, which corresponds to $s=2$, at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-25 Bartłomiej Nowak , Bartosz Stoń , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

The dynamics of well-mixed biological populations is usually studied by mean-field methods and weak-noise expansions. Similar methods have been applied also in spatially extended problems, relying on the fact that these populations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-17 Luca Dall'Asta , Fabio Caccioli , Deborah Beghè

The environment in which a population evolves can have a crucial impact on selection. We study evolutionary dynamics in finite populations of fixed size in a changing environment. The population dynamics are driven by birth and death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-01 Peter Ashcroft , Philipp M Altrock , Tobias Galla

We analyze a kinetic Ising model with suppressed bulk noise which is a prominent representative of the generalized voter model phase transition. On the one hand we discuss the model in the context of social systems, and opinion formation in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-20 Sebastian M. Krause , Philipp Böttcher , Stefan Bornholdt

Noise is usually regarded as adversarial to extract the effective dynamics from time series, such that the conventional data-driven approaches usually aim at learning the dynamics by mitigating the noisy effect. However, noise can have a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-09-12 Zequn Lin , Zhaofan Lu , Zengru Di , Ying Tang

Even in large systems, the effect of noise arising from when populations are initially small can persist to be measurable on the macroscale. A deterministic approximation to a stochastic model will fail to capture this effect, but it can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-13 Dylan Morris , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

We introduce a novel class of generative models based on piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs), a family of non-diffusive stochastic processes consisting of deterministic motion and random jumps at random times. Similarly to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Andrea Bertazzi , Dario Shariatian , Umut Simsekli , Eric Moulines , Alain Durmus

We consider particle systems that are perturbations of the voter model and show that when space and time are rescaled the system converges to a solution of a reaction diffusion equation in dimensions $d \ge 3$. Combining this result with…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-10 J. Theodore Cox , Richard Durrett , Edwin Perkins

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

Neurons in the nervous system are submitted to distinct sources of noise, such as ionic-channel and synaptic noise, which introduces variability in their responses to repeated presentations of identical stimuli. This motivates the use of…

In this paper we develop a perturbation method to predict the rate of occurrence of rare events for singularly perturbed stochastic systems using a probability density function approach. In contrast to a stochastic normal form approach, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Christoffer R. Heckman , Ira B. Schwartz

Stochastic reaction-diffusion models can be analytically studied on complex networks using the linear noise approximation. This is illustrated through the use of a specific stochastic model, which displays traveling waves in its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-16 Malbor Asllani , Tommaso Biancalani , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

Accurate state estimation requires careful consideration of uncertainty surrounding the process and measurement models; these characteristics are usually not well-known and need an experienced designer to select the covariance matrices. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Pardha Sai Krishna Ala , Ameya Salvi , Venkat Krovi , Matthias Schmid

We analyze the effects of additive, spatially extended noise on spatiotemporal patterns in continuum neural fields. Our main focus is how fluctuations impact patterns when they are weakly coupled to an external stimulus or another…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-08 Paul C. Bressloff , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

Estimating eigenvectors and low-dimensional subspaces is of central importance for numerous problems in statistics, computer science, and applied mathematics. This paper characterizes the behavior of perturbed eigenvectors for a range of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-14 Joshua Cape , Minh Tang , Carey E. Priebe

We study the dynamics of dephasing in a quantum two-level system by modeling both 1/f and high-frequency noise by random telegraph processes. Our approach is based on a so-called spin-fluctuator model in which a noisy environment is modeled…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-12-01 Alexander I. Nesterov , Gennady P. Berman

We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Ronaldo Vidigal

In the evolving voter model, when an individual interacts with a neighbor having an opinion different from theirs, they will with probability $1-\alpha$ imitate the neighbor but with probability $ \alpha$ will sever the connection and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Anirban Basak , Rick Durrett , Yuan Zhang