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Related papers: Steady-state analysis of networked epidemic models

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This study is concerned with the dynamical behaviors of epidemic spreading over a two-layered interconnected network. Three models in different levels are proposed to describe cooperative spreading processes over the interconnected network,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-15 Xiang Wei , Xiaoqun Wu , Shihua Chen , Jun-an Lu , Guanrong Chen

Emergence of new diseases and elimination of existing diseases is a key public health issue. In mathematical models of epidemics, such phenomena involve the process of infections and recoveries passing through a critical threshold where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-23 Svante Janson , Malwina Luczak , Peter Windridge , Thomas House

Estimating population-level prevalence and transmission dynamics of wildlife pathogens can be challenging, partly because surveillance data is sparse, detection-driven, and unevenly sequenced. Using highly pathogenic avian influenza A/H5…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Haley Stone , Jing Du , Yang Yang , Ashna Desai , Rebecca Dawson , Hao Xue , David Heslop , Matthew Scotch , Andreas Züfle , C. Raina MacIntyre , Flora Salim

We study a family of binary state, socially-inspired contagion models which incorporate imitation limited by an aversion to complete conformity. We uncover rich behavior in our models whether operating with either probabilistic or…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-03-08 Peter Sheridan Dodds , Kameron Decker Harris , Christopher M. Danforth

Metapopulation epidemic models describe epidemic dynamics in networks of spatially distant patches connected with pathways for migration of individuals. In the present study, we deal with a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-22 Akari Matsuki , Gouhei Tanaka

The shape of an epidemic wave in simple epidemic models applies to a homogeneous distribution of infected people in the population. In large inhomogeneous systems, at country-scale for instance, the wave shape is similar except for the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-11-21 L. Vanel

There is a rich history of models for the interaction of a biological contagion like influenza with the spread of related information such as an influenza vaccination campaign. Recent work on the spread of interacting contagions on networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Dina Mistry , Benjamin M. Althouse

The compartmental models used to study epidemic spreading often assume the same susceptibility for all individuals, and are therefore, agnostic about the effects that differences in susceptibility can have on epidemic spreading. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-12 Daniel Smilkov , Cesar A. Hidalgo , Ljupco Kocarev

Current epidemics in the biological and social domains are challenging the standard assumptions of mathematical contagion models. Chief among them are the complex patterns of transmission caused by heterogeneous group sizes and infection…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-03 Guillaume St-Onge , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Antoine Allard

We study epidemic spreading in complex networks by a multiple random walker approach. Each walker performs an independent simple Markovian random walk on a complex undirected (ergodic) random graph where we focus on Barab\'asi-Albert (BA),…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-19 Teo Granger , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos , Bernard A. Collet

Infectious disease remains, despite centuries of work to control and mitigate its effects, a major problem facing humanity. This paper reviews the mathematical modelling of infectious disease epidemics on networks, starting from the…

Popular Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 Thomas House

The spreading dynamics of an epidemic and the collective behavioral pattern of the population over which it spreads are deeply intertwined and the latter can critically shape the outcome of the former. Motivated by this, we design a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-25 Mengbin Ye , Lorenzo Zino , Alessandro Rizzo , Ming Cao

Understanding individual decisions in a world where communications and information move instantly via cell phones and the internet, contributes to the development and implementation of policies aimed at stopping or ameliorating the spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Asma Azizi , Cesar Montalvo , Baltazar Espinoza , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez

Aggregated phenomena in social sciences and economics are highly dependent on the way individuals interact. To help understanding the interplay between socio-economic activities and underlying social networks, this paper studies a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 David Chavalarias

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Reproduction numbers are widely used for the estimation and prediction of epidemic spreading processes over networks. However, reproduction numbers do not enable estimation and prediction in individual communities within networks, and they…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-23 Baike She , Philip E. Paré , Matthew Hale

The metapopulation framework is adopted in a wide array of disciplines to describe systems of well separated yet connected subpopulations. The subgroups or patches are often represented as nodes in a network whose links represent the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-27 Suyu Liu , Andrea Baronchelli , Nicola Perra

We propose an epidemic compartment model, which includes mortality caused by the disease, but excludes demographic birth and death processes. Individuals are represented by random walkers, which are in one of the following states…

We consider a threshold epidemic model on a clustered random graph with overlapping communities. In other words, our epidemic model is such that an individual becomes infected as soon as the proportion of her infected neighbors exceeds the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-03 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

We present a detailed set-based analysis of the well-known SIR and SEIR epidemic models subjected to hard caps on the proportion of infective individuals, and bounds on the allowable intervention strategies, such as social distancing,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Willem Esterhuizen , Jean Lévine , Stefan Streif