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Sparse linear regression methods such as Lasso require a tuning parameter that depends on the noise variance, which is typically unknown and difficult to estimate in practice. In the presence of heavy-tailed noise or adversarial outliers,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Takeyuki Sasai , Hironori Fujisawa

We develop an econometric framework integrating heavy-tailed Student's $t$ distributions with behavioral probability weighting while preserving infinite divisibility. Using 432{,}752 observations across 86 assets (2004--2024), we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Akash Deep , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

We study robust high-dimensional sparse regression under finite-variance heavy-tailed noise, epsilon-contamination, and alpha-mixing dependence via two subsampling estimators: Adaptive Importance Sampling (AIS) and Stratified Sub-sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Prateek Mittal , Joohi Chauhan

High-dimensional datasets are frequently subject to contamination by outliers and heavy-tailed noise, which can severely bias standard regularized estimators like the Lasso. While Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) has recently been introduced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Xiaoning Kang , Lulu Kang

This work delves into presenting a probabilistic method for analyzing linear process data with weakly dependent innovations, focusing on detecting change-points in the mean and estimating its spectral density. We develop a test for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Ramkrishna Jyoti Samanta

We study discrete statistical mechanics systems perturbed by a random environment without a finite second moment. Specifically, we consider a random environment whose tail distribution satisfies $P[\omega > x] \sim x^{-\gamma}$ as $x \to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Gaspard Gomez

We study a scalable alternative to robust gradient descent (RGD) techniques that can be used when the gradients can be heavy-tailed, though this will be unknown to the learner. The core technique is simple: instead of trying to robustly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-16 Matthew J. Holland

Transient responses in disordered systems typically show a heavy-tail relaxation behavior: the decay time constant increases as time increases, revealing a spectral distribution of time constants. The asymptotic value of such transients is…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-06-06 Jiajun Luo , M. Grayson

An important aspect of multiple hypothesis testing is controlling the significance level, or the level of Type I error. When the test statistics are not independent it can be particularly challenging to deal with this problem, without…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Sandy Clarke , Peter Hall

The minimax risk is often considered as a gold standard against which we can compare specific statistical procedures. Nevertheless, as has been observed recently in robust and heavy-tailed estimation problems, the inherent reduction of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Tianyi Ma , Kabir A. Verchand , Richard J. Samworth

Detecting change points sequentially in a streaming setting, especially when both the mean and the variance of the signal can change, is often a challenging task. A key difficulty in this context often involves setting an appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Nauman Ahad , Mark A. Davenport , Yao Xie

Recently, long-tailed image classification harvests lots of research attention, since the data distribution is long-tailed in many real-world situations. Piles of algorithms are devised to address the data imbalance problem by biasing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Chaowei Fang , Dingwen Zhang , Wen Zheng , Xue Li , Le Yang , Lechao Cheng , Junwei Han

Given a finite collection of stochastic alternatives, we study the problem of sequentially allocating a fixed sampling budget to identify the optimal alternative with a high probability, where the optimal alternative is defined as the one…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Dohyun Ahn , Taeho Kim

Most studies in real time change-point detection either focus on the linear model or use the CUSUM method under classical assumptions on model errors. This paper considers the sequential change-point detection in a nonlinear quantile model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Gabriela Ciuperca

This paper studies low-rank matrix completion in the presence of heavy-tailed and possibly asymmetric noise, where we aim to estimate an underlying low-rank matrix given a set of highly incomplete noisy entries. Though the matrix completion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-10 Bingyan Wang , Jianqing Fan

Understanding statistical inference under possibly non-sparse high-dimensional models has gained much interest recently. For a given component of the regression coefficient, we show that the difficulty of the problem depends on the sparsity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-22 Jelena Bradic , Jianqing Fan , Yinchu Zhu

Understanding the shape of a distribution of data is of interest to people in a great variety of fields, as it may affect the types of algorithms used for that data. We study one such problem in the framework of distribution property…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Amartya Shankha Biswas , Kavya Ravichandran , Ronitt Rubinfeld

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

This paper studies methods for testing and estimating change-points in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional linear time series. The assumed framework allows for a large class of multivariate linear processes (including vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Ansgar Steland

Noisy labels, which are common in real-world datasets, can significantly impair the training of deep learning models. However, recent adversarial noise-combating methods overlook the long-tailed distribution of real data, which can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Mengting Li , Chuang Zhu