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Related papers: Long-term Wind Power Forecasting with Hierarchical…

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Demystifying the delay propagation mechanisms among multiple airports is fundamental to precise and interpretable delay prediction, which is crucial during decision-making for all aviation industry stakeholders. The principal challenge lies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Yuankai Wu , Hongyu Yang , Yi Lin , Hong Liu

Numerous industrial sectors necessitate models capable of providing robust forecasts across various horizons. Despite the recent strides in crafting specific architectures for time-series forecasting and developing pre-trained universal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Jiawen Zhang , Shun Zheng , Xumeng Wen , Xiaofang Zhou , Jiang Bian , Jia Li

As an important clean and renewable kind of energy, wind power plays an important role in coping with energy crisis and environmental pollution. However, the volatility and intermittency of wind speed restrict the development of wind power.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Haojian Huang

In recent years, numerous Transformer-based models have been applied to long-term time-series forecasting (LTSF) tasks. However, recent studies with linear models have questioned their effectiveness, demonstrating that simple linear layers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Jiaheng Yin , Zhengxin Shi , Jianshen Zhang , Xiaomin Lin , Yulin Huang , Yongzhi Qi , Wei Qi

In the real world, long sequence time-series forecasting (LSTF) is needed in many cases, such as power consumption prediction and air quality prediction.Multi-dimensional long time series model has more strict requirements on the model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Ning Wang

Wind energy resource assessment typically requires numerical models, but such models are too computationally intensive to consider multi-year timescales. Increasingly, unsupervised machine learning techniques are used to identify a small…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 Mariana C A Clare , Simon C Warder , Robert Neal , B Bhaskaran , Matthew D Piggott

Short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting can provide critical quantified uncertainty information of wind generation for power system operation and control. As the complicated characteristics of wind power prediction error, it would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-14 You Lin , Ming Yang , Can Wan , Jianhui Wang , Yonghua Song

Accurate workload forecasting is critical for efficient resource management in cloud computing systems, enabling effective scheduling and autoscaling. Despite recent advances with transformer-based forecasting models, challenges remain due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Shiyu Wang , Zhixuan Chu , Yinbo Sun , Yu Liu , Yuliang Guo , Yang Chen , Huiyang Jian , Lintao Ma , Xingyu Lu , Jun Zhou

The long horizon forecasting (LHF) problem has come up in the time series literature for over the last 35 years or so. This review covers aspects of LHF in this period and how deep learning has incorporated variants of trend, seasonality,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Hans Krupakar , Kandappan V A

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

We introduce a data-driven forecasting method for high-dimensional chaotic systems using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks. The proposed LSTM neural networks perform inference of high-dimensional dynamical systems in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-20 Pantelis R. Vlachas , Wonmin Byeon , Zhong Y. Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Petros Koumoutsakos

Wind energy makes a significant contribution to global power generation. Predicting wind turbine capacity is becoming increasingly crucial for cleaner production. For this purpose, a new information priority accumulated grey model with time…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Jie Xia , Xin Ma , Wenqing Wu , Baolian Huang , Wanpeng Li

Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Long-term weather forecasting is critical for socioeconomic planning and disaster preparedness. While recent approaches employ finetuning to extend prediction horizons, they remain constrained by the issues of catastrophic forgetting, error…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hao Chen , Tao Han , Jie Zhang , Song Guo , Fenghua Ling , Lei Bai

The importance of renewable power production is a set goal in terms of the energy turnaround. Developing short-term wind speed forecasting improvements might increase the profitability of wind power. This article compares two novel…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-11 Daniel Ambach

Photovoltaic (PV) power generation has emerged as one of the lead renewable energy sources. Yet, its production is characterized by high uncertainty, being dependent on weather conditions like solar irradiance and temperature. Predicting PV…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Johan Mathe , Nina Miolane , Nicolas Sebastien , Jeremie Lequeux

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) offers broad utility in practical settings like energy consumption and weather prediction. Accurately predicting long-term changes, however, is demanding due to the intricate temporal patterns and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Boshi Gao , Qingjian Ni , Fanbo Ju , Yu Chen , Ziqi Zhao

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

Accurate and robust weather forecasting remains a fundamental challenge due to the inherent spatio-temporal complexity of atmospheric systems. In this paper, we propose a novel self-supervised learning framework that leverages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yao Liu