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Power demand forecasting is a critical task for achieving efficiency and reliability in power grid operation. Accurate forecasting allows grid operators to better maintain the balance of supply and demand as well as to optimize operational…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Yao Cheng , Chang Xu , Daisuke Mashima , Vrizlynn L. L. Thing , Yongdong Wu

Large reasoning models (LRMs) have heterogeneous inference energy costs based on which model is used and how much it reasons. To reduce energy, it is important to choose the right LRM and operate it in the right way. As a result, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Austin R. Ellis-Mohr , Max Hartman , Lav R. Varshney

A novel hybrid data-driven approach is developed for forecasting power system parameters with the goal of increasing the efficiency of short-term forecasting studies for non-stationary time-series. The proposed approach is based on mode…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-10 Victor Kurbatsky , Nikita Tomin , Vadim Spiryaev , Paul Leahy , Denis Sidorov , Alexei Zhukov

Climate change is one of the most concerning issues of this century. Emission from electric power generation is a crucial factor that drives the concern to the next level. Renewable energy sources are widespread and available globally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Md Amimul Ehsan , Amir Shahirinia , Nian Zhang , Timothy Oladunni

In this paper we investigate to what extent long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs) are suitable for demand forecasting in the e-grocery retail sector. For this purpose, univariate as well as multivariate LSTM-based models were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Marta Gołąbek , Robin Senge , Rainer Neumann

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

Demand-Response (DR) programs, whereby users of an electricity network are encouraged by economic incentives to rearrange their consumption in order to reduce production costs, are envisioned to be a key feature of the smart grid paradigm.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Alberto Benegiamo , Patrick Loiseau , Giovanni Neglia

Accurate and reliable measurement of energy consumption is critical for making well-informed design choices when choosing and training large scale NLP models. In this work, we show that existing software-based energy measurements are not…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Qingqing Cao , Aruna Balasubramanian , Niranjan Balasubramanian

An accurate load forecast is always important for the power industry and energy players as it enables stakeholders to make critical decisions. In addition, its importance is further increased with growing uncertainties in the generation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee

Accurate forecasting of electric load and renewable generation is essential for reliable and cost effective power system operations. Recent advances in transformer based and foundation machine learning models, driven by large scale…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Muhy Eddin Za'ter , Bri-Mathias Hodge

Microgrids are local energy systems that integrate energy production, demand, and storage units. They are generally connected to the regional grid to import electricity when local production and storage do not meet the demand. In this…

While the advanced machine learning algorithms are effective in load forecasting, they often suffer from low data utilization, and hence their superior performance relies on massive datasets. This motivates us to design machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Qiyuan Wang , Zhihui Chen , Chenye Wu

As climate variability increases, the ability of utility providers to deliver precise Estimated Times of Restoration (ETR) during natural disasters has become increasingly critical. Accurate and timely ETRs are essential for enabling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Bogireddy Sai Prasanna Teja , Valliappan Muthukaruppan , Carls Benjamin

Deep learning models, particularly Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, are widely used in time series forecasting due to their ability to capture complex temporal dependencies. However, evaluation integrity is often compromised by data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Salma Albelali , Moataz Ahmed

Thermostatically-controlled loads have a significant impact on electricity demand after service is restored following an outage, a phenomenon known as cold load pick-up (CLPU). Active management of CLPU is becoming an essential tool for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-16 Sanja Bajic , François Bouffard , Hannah Michalska , Géza Joós

Accurate load forecasting is crucial for maintaining the power balance between generators and consumers,particularly with the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, which introduce significant intermittent volatility. With the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Mingyang Gao , Suyang Zhou , Wei Gu , Zhi Wu , Haiquan Liu , Aihua Zhou

A power transformer winding is usually subject to mechanical stress and tension because of improper transportation or operation. Radial deformation (RD) is an example of mechanical stress that can impact power transformer operation through…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-15 Arash Moradzadeh , Kazem Pourhossein , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo , Tohid Khalili , Ali Bidram

Data is required to develop forecasting models for use in Model Predictive Control (MPC) schemes in building energy systems. However, data is costly to both collect and exploit. Determining cost optimal data usage strategies requires…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-01 Max Langtry , Vijja Wichitwechkarn , Rebecca Ward , Chaoqun Zhuang , Monika J. Kreitmair , Nikolas Makasis , Zack Xuereb Conti , Ruchi Choudhary

The effectiveness of univariate forecasting models is often hampered by conditions that cause them stress. A model is considered to be under stress if it shows a negative behaviour, such as higher-than-usual errors or increased uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Ricardo Inácio , Vitor Cerqueira , Marília Barandas , Carlos Soares