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Model Predictive Control (MPC) is well understood in the deterministic setting, yet rigorous stability and performance guarantees for stochastic MPC remain limited to the consideration of terminal constraints and penalties. In contrast,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Jonas Schießl , Hannah Selder , Ruchuan Ou , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Timm Faulwasser , Lars Grüne

We introduce the energy-stepping Monte Carlo (ESMC) method, a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm based on the conventional dynamical interpretation of the proposal stage but employing an energy-stepping integrator. The…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-12-13 Ignacio Romero , Michael Ortiz

Monte Carlo (MC) methods are widely used for Bayesian inference and optimization in statistics, signal processing and machine learning. A well-known class of MC methods are Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In order to foster…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-27 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander , F. Louzada

Sequential Monte Carlo squared (SMC$^2$; Chopin et al., 2012) methods can be used to sample from the exact posterior distribution of intractable likelihood state space models. These methods are the SMC analogue to particle Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-24 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Leah South , Christopher Drovandi

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful methodology for the approximation of posterior distributions. However, the iterative nature of MCMC does not naturally facilitate its use with modern highly parallel computation on HPC and cloud…

We construct a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method on finite states with optimal choices of acceptance-rejection ratio functions. We prove that the constructed continuous time Markov jumping process has a global in-time convergence rate in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Wuchen Li , Linyuan Lu

We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-20 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a widely known control method that has proved to be particularly effective in multivariable and constrained control. Closed-loop stability and recursive feasibility can be guaranteed by employing accurate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-05 Marco Polver , Daniel Limon , Fabio Previdi , Antonio Ferramosca

Kemeny's constant measures the efficiency of a Markov chain in traversing its states. We investigate whether structure-preserving perturbations to the transition probabilities of a reversible Markov chain can improve its connectivity while…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Fabio Durastante , Miryam Gnazzo , Beatrice Meini

Antithetic coupling is a general stratification strategy for reducing Monte Carlo variance without increasing the simulation size. The use of the antithetic principle in the Monte Carlo literature typically employs two strata via antithetic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Radu V. Craiu , Xiao-Li Meng

Parametric Markov chains (pMC) are used to model probabilistic systems with unknown or partially known probabilities. Although (universal) pMC verification for reachability properties is known to be coETR-complete, there have been efforts…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Kasper Engelen , Guillermo A. Pérez , Shrisha Rao

This paper proposes an Adaptive Learning Model Predictive Control strategy for uncertain constrained linear systems performing iterative tasks. The additive uncertainty is modeled as the sum of a bounded process noise and an unknown…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Ugo Rosolia , Francesco Borrelli

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a flexible approach to approximate sampling from intractable probability distributions, with a rich theoretical foundation and comprising a wealth of exemplar algorithms. While the qualitative correctness…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-27 Sam Power , Giorgos Vasdekis

Variational quantum algorithms are poised to have significant impact on high-dimensional optimization, with applications in classical combinatorics, quantum chemistry, and condensed matter. Nevertheless, the optimization landscape of these…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-02-02 Taylor L. Patti , Omar Shehab , Khadijeh Najafi , Susanne F. Yelin

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are widely used to sample from complicated distributions, especially to sample from the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. However, MCMC is not directly applicable when facing the doubly…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Guanyang Wang

In this paper, we introduce efficient ensemble Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods for Bayesian computations in the univariate stochastic volatility model. We compare the performance of our ensemble MCMC methods with an…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-10 Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Radford M. Neal

This manuscript contains technical results related to a particular approach for the design of Model Predictive Control (MPC) laws. The approach, named "generalized" terminal state constraint, induces the recursive feasibility of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-07-16 Lorenzo Fagiano , Andrew R. Teel

Statistical machine learning often uses probabilistic algorithms, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), to solve a wide range of problems. Many accelerators are proposed using specialized hardware to address sampling inefficiency, the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-09 Xiangyu Zhang , Sayan Mukherjee , Alvin R. Lebeck

We study unconstrained and constrained linear quadratic problems and investigate the suboptimality of the model predictive control (MPC) method applied to such problems. Considering MPC as an approximate scheme for solving the related fixed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Yuchao Li , Aren Karapetyan , John Lygeros , Karl H. Johansson , Jonas Mårtensson

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a computational approach to fundamental problems such as inference, integration, optimization, and simulation. The field has developed a broad spectrum of algorithms, varying in the way they are motivated,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Kirill Neklyudov , Max Welling , Evgenii Egorov , Dmitry Vetrov