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This paper proposes a semiparametric sieve approach to estimate impulse response functions of nonlinear time series within a general class of structural autoregressive models. We prove that a two-step procedure can flexibly accommodate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-19 Giovanni Ballarin

Regressing a scalar response on a random function is nowadays a common situation. In the nonparametric setting, this paper paves the way for making the local linear regression based on a projection approach a prominent method for solving…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Frédéric Ferraty , Stanislav Nagy

We propose a nonparametric additive model for estimating interpretable value functions in reinforcement learning, with an application in optimizing postoperative recovery through personalized, adaptive recommendations. While reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Patrick Emedom-Nnamdi , Timothy R. Smith , Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Junwei Lu

Fully nonparametric methods for regression from functional data have poor accuracy from a statistical viewpoint, reflecting the fact that their convergence rates are slower than nonparametric rates for the estimation of high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-22 Dong Chen , Peter Hall , Hans-Georg Müller

In this study, we develop an asymptotic theory of nonparametric regression for locally stationary random fields (LSRFs) $\{{\bf X}_{{\bf s}, A_{n}}: {\bf s} \in R_{n} \}$ in $\mathbb{R}^{p}$ observed at irregularly spaced locations in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-07 Daisuke Kurisu

We use quadratic vector autoregressions, motivated by pruned second-order perturbation solutions to DSGE models, as a laboratory to evaluate how well popular local projection (LP) specifications recover true impulse responses in nonlinear…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-20 Zhiheng You

We explore the issues of identification for nonlinear Impulse Response Functions in nonlinear dynamic models and discuss the settings in which the problem can be mitigated. In particular, we introduce the nonlinear autoregressive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-01 Christian Gourieroux , Quinlan Lee

In inverse reinforcement learning (IRL), a learning agent infers a reward function encoding the underlying task using demonstrations from experts. However, many existing IRL techniques make the often unrealistic assumption that the agent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Franck Djeumou , Christian Ellis , Murat Cubuktepe , Craig Lennon , Ufuk Topcu

Nonparametric estimators of a regression function with circular response and Rd-valued predictor are considered in this work. Local polynomial type estimators are proposed and studied. Expressions for their asymptotic biases and variances…

We investigate the learning of implicit neural representation (INR) using an overparameterized multilayer perceptron (MLP) via a novel nonparametric teaching perspective. The latter offers an efficient example selection framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 Chen Zhang , Steven Tin Sui Luo , Jason Chun Lok Li , Yik-Chung Wu , Ngai Wong

We consider the problem of recovering of continuous multi-dimensional functions from the noisy observations over the regular grid. Our focus is at the adaptive estimation in the case when the function can be well recovered using a linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-06 Anatoli Iouditski , Arkadii S. Nemirovski

This paper introduces a direct differentiation-based framework that unifies the derivation of influence functions across parametric, nonparametric, and semiparametric models. We show that the Riesz representer of the functional derivative…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-04 Xiye Yang , Ruonan Xu

Inference for impulse responses estimated with local projections presents interesting challenges and opportunities. Analysts typically want to assess the precision of individual estimates, explore the dynamic evolution of the response over…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-15 Atsushi Inoue , Òscar Jordà , Guido M. Kuersteiner

The paper deals with the nonparametric estimation problem at a given fixed point for an autoregressive model with unknown distributed noise. Kernel estimate modifications are proposed. Asymptotic minimax and efficiency properties for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Ouerdia Arkoun , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We study the problem of inverse reinforcement learning (IRL), where the learning agent recovers a reward function using expert demonstrations. Most of the existing IRL techniques make the often unrealistic assumption that the agent has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Franck Djeumou , Murat Cubuktepe , Craig Lennon , Ufuk Topcu

This paper addresses nonparametric estimation of nonlinear multivariate Hawkes processes, where the interaction functions are assumed to lie in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). Motivated by applications in neuroscience, the model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-26 Anna Bonnet , Maxime Sangnier

Applied macroeconomists often compute confidence intervals for impulse responses using local projections, i.e., direct linear regressions of future outcomes on current covariates. This paper proves that local projection inference robustly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-15 José Luis Montiel Olea , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

We propose a new parametrization for the estimation and identification of the impulse-response functions (IRFs) of dynamic factor models (DFMs). The theoretical contribution of this paper concerns the problem of observational equivalence…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-23 Juho Koistinen , Bernd Funovits

We discuss local linear smooth backfitting for additive non-parametric models. This procedure is well known for achieving optimal convergence rates under appropriate smoothness conditions. In particular, it allows for the estimation of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-27 Munir Hiabu , Enno Mammen , Joseph T. Meyer

This paper studies state-dependent local projections (LPs). First, I establish a general characterization of their estimand: under minimal assumptions, state-dependent LPs recover weighted averages of causal effects. This holds for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-06 Valentin Winkler
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