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We investigate the problem of continuous-time causal estimation under a minimax criterion. Let $X^T = \{X_t,0\leq t\leq T\}$ be governed by the probability law $P_{\theta}$ from a class of possible laws indexed by $\theta \in \Lambda$, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-09 Albert No , Tsachy Weissman

We present new families of goodness-of-fit tests of uniformity on a full-dimensional set $W\subset\R^d$ based on statistics related to edge lengths of random geometric graphs. Asymptotic normality of these statistics is proven under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Bruno Ebner , Franz Nestmann , Matthias Schulte

We consider the classical problem of sequential probability assignment under logarithmic loss while competing against an arbitrary, potentially nonparametric class of experts. We obtain tight bounds on the minimax regret via a new approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Blair Bilodeau , Dylan J. Foster , Daniel M. Roy

This article provides, through theoretical analysis, an in-depth understanding of the classification performance of the empirical risk minimization framework, in both ridge-regularized and unregularized cases, when high dimensional data are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-26 Xiaoyi Mai , Zhenyu Liao

We observe a sample of $n$ independent $p$-dimensional Gaussian vectors with Toeplitz covariance matrix $ \Sigma = [\sigma_{|i-j|}]_{1 \leq i,j \leq p}$ and $\sigma_0=1$. We consider the problem of testing the hypothesis that $\Sigma$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Cristina Butucea , Rania Zgheib

The problem of estimating the missing mass or total probability of unseen elements in a sequence of $n$ random samples is considered under the squared error loss function. The worst-case risk of the popular Good-Turing estimator is shown to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Nikhilesh Rajaraman , Andrew Thangaraj , Ananda Theertha Suresh

In group sequential designs, where several data looks are conducted for early stopping, we generally assume the vector of test statistics from the sequential analyses follows (at least approximately or asymptotially) a multivariate normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Long-Hao Xu , Tobias Mütze , Frank Konietschke , Tim Friede

In this paper we propose and examine gap statistics for assessing uniform distribution hypotheses. We provide examples relevant to data integrity testing for which max-gap statistics provide greater sensitivity than chi-square ($\chi^2$),…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-05 Truc Le , Jeffrey Uhlmann

Pearson's chi-squared test is widely used to test the goodness of fit between categorical data and a given discrete distribution function. When the number of sets of the categorical data, say $k$, is a fixed integer, Pearson's chi-squared…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Shuhua Chang , Deli Li , Yongcheng Qi

A test of the null hypothesis that a hazard rate is monotone nondecreasing, versus the alternative that it is not, is proposed. Both the test statistic and the means of calibrating it are new. Unlike previous approaches, neither is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Hall , Ingrid Van Keilegom

A minimax estimator has the minimum possible error ("risk") in the worst case. We construct the first minimax estimators for quantum state tomography with relative entropy risk. The minimax risk of non-adaptive tomography scales as…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-03-09 Christopher Ferrie , Robin Blume-Kohout

Motivated by real-world machine learning applications, we analyze approximations to the non-asymptotic fundamental limits of statistical classification. In the binary version of this problem, given two training sequences generated according…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Lin Zhou , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Mehul Motani

Two main concepts studied in machine learning theory are generalization gap (difference between train and test error) and excess risk (difference between test error and the minimum possible error). While information-theoretic tools have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Hassan Hafez-Kolahi , Behrad Moniri , Shohreh Kasaei

We consider the problem of empirical Bayes estimation for (multivariate) Poisson means. Existing solutions that have been shown theoretically optimal for minimizing the regret (excess risk over the Bayesian oracle that knows the prior) have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Soham Jana , Yury Polyanskiy , Anzo Teh , Yihong Wu

We study quantum algorithms for verifying properties of the output probability distribution of a classical or quantum circuit, given access to the source code that generates the distribution. We consider the basic task of uniformity…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-08 Clément L. Canonne , Robin Kothari , Ryan O'Donnell

We study the scaling of classification error rates with respect to the size of the training dataset. In contrast to classical results where rates are minimax optimal for a problem class, this work starts with the empirical observation that,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-04 Pengkun Yang , Jingzhao Zhang

This paper considers the problem of testing many moment inequalities, where the number of moment inequalities ($p$) is possibly larger than the sample size ($n$). Chernozhukov et al. (2019) proposed asymptotic tests for this problem using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Nick Koning , Paul Bekker

We consider random-design linear prediction and related questions on the lower tail of random matrices. It is known that, under boundedness constraints, the minimax risk is of order $d/n$ in dimension $d$ with $n$ samples. Here, we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Jaouad Mourtada

The issue addressed in this paper is that of testing for common breaks across or within equations of a multivariate system. Our framework is very general and allows integrated regressors and trends as well as stationary regressors. The null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Tatsushi Oka , Pierre Perron

Testing hypothesis of independence between two random elements on a joint alphabet is a fundamental exercise in statistics. Pearson's chi-squared test is an effective test for such a situation when the contingency table is relatively small.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang
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