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In this paper, we investigate the impact of uncertainty in advanced ore mine optimisation. We consider Maptek's software system Evolution which optimizes extraction sequences based on evolutionary computation techniques and quantify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 William Reid , Aneta Neumann , Simon Ratcliffe , Frank Neumann

Open-pit mine scheduling is a complex real world optimization problem that involves uncertain economic values and dynamically changing resource capacities. Evolutionary algorithms are particularly effective in these scenarios, as they can…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Ishara Hewa Pathiranage , Aneta Neumann

In environments with increasing uncertainty, such as smart grid applications based on renewable energy, planning can benefit from incorporating forecasts about the uncertainty and from systematically evaluating the utility of the forecast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-16 Konstantinos Gatsis , Ufuk Topcu , George J. Pappas

The open-pit mine scheduling problem (OPMSP) is a complex, computationally expensive process in long-term mine planning, constrained by operational and geological dependencies. Traditional deterministic approaches often ignore geological…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Ishara Hewa Pathiranage , Aneta Neumann

Optimizing decision problems under uncertainty can be done using a variety of solution methods. Soft computing and heuristic approaches tend to be powerful for solving such problems. In this overview article, we survey Evolutionary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-01-21 Ronald Hochreiter

We propose a novel distribution-free scheme to solve optimization problems where the goal is to minimize the expected value of a cost function subject to probabilistic constraints. Unlike standard sampling-based methods, our idea consists…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Francesco Cordiano , Matin Jafarian , Bart De Schutter

In robust optimization one seeks to make a decision under uncertainty, where the goal is to find the solution with the best worst-case performance. The set of possible realizations of the uncertain data is described by a so-called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Immanuel Bomze , Markus Gabl

Strategic mine production scheduling under geological uncertainty is conventionally formulated as a stochastic optimization problem in which a fixed extraction sequence and routing decisions are computed ex ante. This plan-driven paradigm…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Hamza Khalifi , Jef Caers , Yassine Taha , Mostafa Benzaazoua , Abdellatif Elghali

This paper describes a novel approach to planning which takes advantage of decision theory to greatly improve robustness in an uncertain environment. We present an algorithm which computes conditional plans of maximum expected utility. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Stephen G. Pimentel , Lawrence M. Brem

Energy infrastructure planning under uncertainty has become increasingly complex as electrification, interdependence between energy carriers, decarbonization, and extreme weather events reshape long-term investment decisions. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Rahman Khorramfar , Aron Brenner , Lara Booth , Ana Rivera , Ruaridh Macdonald , Priya Donti , Saurabh Amin

Reasoning about uncertainty is vital in many real-life autonomous systems. However, current state-of-the-art planning algorithms cannot either reason about uncertainty explicitly, or do so with a high computational burden. Here, we focus on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Moran Barenboim , Vadim Indelman

Optimal Bayesian decision making on what geoscientific data to acquire requires stating a prior model of uncertainty. Data acquisition is then optimized by reducing uncertainty on some property of interest maximally, and on average. In the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-15 John Mern , Anthony Corso , Damian Burch , Kurt House , Jef Caers

As automatic optimization techniques find their way into industrial applications, the behavior of many complex systems is determined by some form of planner picking the right actions to optimize a given objective function. In many cases,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Thomas Gabor , Lenz Belzner , Thomy Phan , Kyrill Schmid

Taking uncertainty into account is crucial when making strategic decisions. To guard against the risk of adverse scenarios, traditional optimisation techniques incorporate uncertainty on the basis of prior knowledge on its distribution. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Julien Vaes , Vassilis M. Charitopoulos

Strategic decisions to develop a mineral deposit are subject to geological uncertainty, due to the sparsity of drill core samples. The selection of metallurgical equipment is especially critical, since it restricts the processing options…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-24 Alessandro Navarra , Tassos Grammatikopoulos , Kristian Waters

In this uncertain world, data uncertainty is inherent in many applications and its importance is growing drastically due to the rapid development of modern technologies. Nowadays, researchers have paid more attention to mine patterns in…

This paper tackles challenges in pricing and revenue projections due to consumer uncertainty. We propose a novel data-based approach for firms facing unknown consumer type distributions. Unlike existing methods, we assume firms only observe…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-28 Duarte Gonçalves , Bruno A. Furtado

This study examines the economic impact of post-hoc uncertainty discounting in predictive energy management, specifically in battery energy arbitrage. A 2.2 MWh, 1.1 MW Tesla battery, emulating operations at the University of Queensland's…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Arnab Bhattacharjee

Within the mining discipline, mine planning is the component that studies how to transform the information about the ore resources into value for the owner. For open-pit mines, an optimal block scheduling maximizes the discounted value of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Michel De Lara , Nelson Morales , Nathanaël Beeker

Model based predictions of future trajectories of a dynamical system often suffer from inaccuracies, forcing model based control algorithms to re-plan often, thus being computationally expensive, suboptimal and not reliable. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Norman Di Palo , Harri Valpola
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