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Uncertainty quantification is vital for decision-making and risk assessment in machine learning. Mean-variance regression models, which predict both a mean and residual noise for each data point, provide a simple approach to uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

We present a continuous formulation of machine learning, as a problem in the calculus of variations and differential-integral equations, in the spirit of classical numerical analysis. We demonstrate that conventional machine learning models…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Weinan E , Chao Ma , Lei Wu

Traditional solvable game theory and mean-field-type game theory (risk-aware games) predominantly focus on quadratic costs due to their analytical tractability. Nevertheless, they often fail to capture critical non-linearities inherent in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Julian Barreiro-Gomez , Tyrone E. Duncan , Bozenna Pasik-Duncan , Hamidou Tembine

Prediction markets are a popular, prominent, and successful structure for a collective intelligence platform. However the exact mechanism by which information known to the participating traders is incorporated into the market price is…

In a data-centric era, concerns regarding privacy and ethical data handling grow as machine learning relies more on personal information. This empirical study investigates the privacy, generalization, and stability of deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Elaheh Jafarigol , Theodore Trafalis

We present a general computational framework for solving continuous-time financial market equilibria under minimal modeling assumptions while incorporating realistic financial frictions, such as trading costs, and supporting multiple…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-08 Anastasis Kratsios , Xiaofei Shi , Qiang Sun , Zhanhao Zhang

This research paper explores the performance of Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and techniques that can be used for financial asset price forecasting. The prediction and forecasting of asset prices and returns remains one of the most…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Philip Ndikum

In this paper, we address linear-quadratic-Gaussian (LQG) risk-sensitive mean field games (MFGs) with common noise. In this framework agents are exposed to a common noise and aim to minimize an exponential cost functional that reflects…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Xin Yue Ren , Dena Firoozi

We consider the mean field game of cross--holding introduced in \citeauthor*{DjeteTouzi} \cite{DjeteTouzi} in the context where the equity value dynamics are affected by a common noise. In contrast with \cite{DjeteTouzi}, the problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Leila Bassou , Mao Fabrice Djete , Nizar Touzi

A data-driven approach called CaNN (Calibration Neural Network) is proposed to calibrate financial asset price models using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Determining optimal values of the model parameters is formulated as training…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-03 Shuaiqiang Liu , Anastasia Borovykh , Lech A. Grzelak , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

This paper proposes a novel energy storage price arbitrage algorithm combining supervised learning with dynamic programming. The proposed approach uses a neural network to directly predicts the opportunity cost at different energy storage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-22 Ningkun Zheng , Xiaoxiang Liu , Bolun Xu , Yuanyuan Shi

We develop a model based on mean-field games of competitive firms producing similar goods according to a standard AK model with a depreciation rate of capital generating pollution as a byproduct. Our analysis focuses on the widely-used…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Gianmarco Del Sarto , Marta Leocata , Giulia Livieri

When learning is used to inform decisions about humans, such as for loans, hiring, or admissions, this can incentivize users to strategically modify their features, at a cost, to obtain positive predictions. The common assumption is that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Yonatan Sommer , Ivri Hikri , Lotan Amit , Nir Rosenfeld

Price movements in financial markets are well known to be very noisy. As a result, even if there are, on occasion, exploitable patterns that could be picked up by machine-learning algorithms, these are obscured by feature and label noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Omkar Nabar , Gautam Shroff

In this paper, we propose several approaches to learn the optimal population-dependent controls in order to solve mean field control problems (MFC). Such policies enable us to solve MFC problems with forms of common noises at a level of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Gokce Dayanikli , Mathieu Lauriere , Jiacheng Zhang

In this paper, we introduce a regularized mean-field game and study learning of this game under an infinite-horizon discounted reward function. Regularization is introduced by adding a strongly concave regularization function to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-11 Berkay Anahtarci , Can Deha Kariksiz , Naci Saldi

In this paper, we consider a mean field game (MFG) model perturbed by small common noise. Our goal is to give an approximation of the Nash equilibrium strategy of this game using a solution from the original no common noise MFG whose…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-31 Saran Ahuja , Weiluo Ren , Tzu-Wei Yang

This study investigates the application of machine learning techniques, specifically Neural Networks, Random Forests, and CatBoost for option pricing, in comparison to traditional models such as Black-Scholes and Heston Model. Using both…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-03 Georgy Milyushkov

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning techniques for pricing high-dimensional options within the framework of the Uncertain Volatility Model (UVM). The UVM is a robust framework that accounts for the inherent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Ludovic Goudenege , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

In the last years decision-focused learning framework, also known as predict-and-optimize, have received increasing attention. In this setting, the predictions of a machine learning model are used as estimated cost coefficients in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Jayanta Mandi , Víctor Bucarey , Maxime Mulamba , Tias Guns
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