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We develop a step-by-step guide to leniency (a.k.a. judge or examiner instrument) designs, drawing on recent econometric literatures. The unbiased jackknife instrumental variables estimator (UJIVE) is purpose-built for leveraging exogenous…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , Peter Hull , Michal Kolesár

An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. For example, the maximum likelihood estimator has a bias that can result in a significant inferential loss. This problem is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

In weakly supervised learning, unbiased risk estimator(URE) is a powerful tool for training classifiers when training and test data are drawn from different distributions. Nevertheless, UREs lead to overfitting in many problem settings when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Yu-Ting Chou , Gang Niu , Hsuan-Tien Lin , Masashi Sugiyama

A simple characterization of uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimators (UMVUEs) is provided (in the case when the sample space is finite) in terms of a linear independence condition on the likelihood functions corresponding to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Iosif Pinelis

Jackknife instrumental variable estimation (JIVE) is a classic method to leverage many weak instrumental variables (IVs) to estimate linear structural models, overcoming the bias of standard methods like two-stage least squares. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Aurélien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Apoorva Lal

Regression analysis based on many covariates is becoming increasingly common. However, when the number of covariates $p$ is of the same order as the number of observations $n$, maximum likelihood regression becomes unreliable due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Emanuele Massa , Marianne Jonker , Kit Roes , Anthony Coolen

Bias correction can often improve the finite sample performance of estimators. We show that the choice of bias correction method has no effect on the higher-order variance of semiparametrically efficient parametric estimators, so long as…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-29 Jinyong Hahn , David W. Hughes , Guido Kuersteiner , Whitney K. Newey

This paper studies the identification and estimation of the optimal linear approximation of a structural regression function. The parameter in the linear approximation is called the Optimal Linear Instrumental Variables Approximation…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-06 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Wei Li

Motivated by questions about dense (non-sparse) signals in high-dimensional data analysis, we study the unconditional out-of-sample prediction error (predictive risk) associated with three popular linear estimators for high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Lee Dicker

Though introduced nearly 50 years ago, the infinitesimal jackknife (IJ) remains a popular modern tool for quantifying predictive uncertainty in complex estimation settings. In particular, when supervised learning ensembles are constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Wei Peng , Lucas Mentch , Leonard Stefanski

We combine the unbiased estimators in Rhee and Glynn (Operations Research: 63(5), 1026-1043, 2015) and the Heston model with stochastic interest rates. Specifically, we first develop a semi-exact log-Euler scheme for the Heston model with…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-14 Chao Zheng , Jiangtao Pan

In this paper we have proposed an almost unbiased estimator using known value of some population parameter(s). A class of estimators is defined which includes Singh and Solanki [1] and Sahai and Ray [2], Sisodia and Dwivedi [3], Singh et.…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-19 Rajesh Singh , S. B. Gupta , Sachin Malik

Informative Bayesian priors are often difficult to elicit, and when this is the case, modelers usually turn to noninformative or objective priors. However, objective priors such as the Jeffreys and reference priors are not tractable to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-08 Eric Nalisnick , Padhraic Smyth

Cross validation (CV) and the bootstrap are ubiquitous model-agnostic tools for assessing the error or variability of machine learning and statistical estimators. However, these methods require repeatedly re-fitting the model with different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Ryan Giordano , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

Implicit feedback is widely leveraged in recommender systems since it is easy to collect and provides weak supervision signals. Recent works reveal a huge gap between the implicit feedback and user-item relevance due to the fact that…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-06-02 Can Chen , Chen Ma , Xi Chen , Sirui Song , Hao Liu , Xue Liu

An approximate mean square error (MSE) expression for the performance analysis of implicitly defined estimators of non-random parameters is proposed. An implicitly defined estimator (IDE) declares the minimizer/maximizer of a selected…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Erdal Mehmetcik , Umut Orguner , Çağatay Candan

We derive mean-unbiased estimators for the structural parameter in instrumental variables models with a single endogenous regressor where the sign of one or more first stage coefficients is known. In the case with a single instrument, there…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-05 Isaiah Andrews , Timothy B. Armstrong

In practice, there often exist unobserved variables, also termed hidden variables, associated with both the response and covariates. Existing works in the literature mostly focus on linear regression with hidden variables. However, when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Inbeom Lee , Yang Ning

A large empirical literature regresses outcomes on empirical Bayes shrinkage estimates of value-added, yet little is known about whether this approach leads to unbiased estimates and valid inference for the downstream regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-11 Tian Xie

With recent advances in high throughput technology, researchers often find themselves running a large number of hypothesis tests (thousands+) and esti- mating a large number of effect-sizes. Generally there is particular interest in those…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-18 Noah Simon , Richard Simon
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