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The task of calibration is to retrospectively adjust the outputs from a machine learning model to provide better probability estimates on the target variable. While calibration has been investigated thoroughly in classification, it has not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hao Song , Meelis Kull , Peter Flach

The dynamics of systems of many degrees of freedom evolving on multiple scales are often modeled in terms of stochastic differential equations. Usually the structural form of these equations is unknown and the only manifestation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-05 Dimitra Maoutsa

This paper focuses on the problem of unbounded density ratio estimation -- an understudied yet critical challenge in statistical learning -- and its application to covariate shift adaptation. Much of the existing literature assumes that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Ren-Rui Liu , Jun Fan , Lei Shi , Zheng-Chu Guo

Numerous applications of machine learning involve representing probability distributions over high-dimensional data. We propose autoregressive quantile flows, a flexible class of normalizing flow models trained using a novel objective based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Phillip Si , Allan Bishop , Volodymyr Kuleshov

A new vehicular traffic flow model based on a stochastic jump process in vehicle acceleration and braking is introduced. It is based on a master equation for the single car probability density in space, velocity and acceleration with an…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 K. Thomas Waldeer

Density level sets can be estimated using plug-in methods, excess mass algorithms or a hybrid of the two previous methodologies. The plug-in algorithms are based on replacing the unknown density by some nonparametric estimator, usually the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-26 A. Rodríguez-Casal , P. Saavedra-Nieves

A macroscopic model-based approach for estimation of the traffic state, specifically of the (total) density and flow of vehicles, is developed for the case of "mixed" traffic, i.e., traffic comprising both ordinary and connected vehicles.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Nikolaos Bekiaris-Liberis , Claudio Roncoli , Markos Papageorgiou

Rectified flow (Liu et al., 2022; Liu, 2022; Wu et al., 2023) is a method for defining a transport map between two distributions, and enjoys popularity in machine learning, although theoretical results supporting the validity of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Gonzalo Mena , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Larry Wasserman

We consider nonparametric invariant density and drift estimation for a class of multidimensional degenerate resp. hypoelliptic diffusion processes, so-called stochastic damping Hamiltonian systems or kinetic diffusions, under anisotropic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

We propose an efficient method for reconstructing traffic density with low penetration rate of probe vehicles. Specifically, we rely on measuring only the initial and final positions of a small number of cars which are generated using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Nail Baloul , Amaury Hayat , Thibault Liard , Pierre Lissy

Multivariate density estimation and graphical models play important roles in statistical learning. The estimated density can be used to construct a graphical model that reveals conditional relationships whereas a graphical structure can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Runfei Luo , Anna Liu , Yuedong Wang

Scene flow estimation is an essential ingredient for a variety of real-world applications, especially for autonomous agents, such as self-driving cars and robots. While recent scene flow estimation approaches achieve a reasonable accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Yushan Zhang , Bastian Wandt , Maria Magnusson , Michael Felsberg

By means of microscopic simulations we show that non-instantaneous adaptation of the driving behaviour to the traffic situation together with the conventional measurement method of flow-density data can explain the observed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Martin Treiber , Dirk Helbing

Random processes play a crucial role in scientific research, often characterized by distribution functions or probability density functions (PDFs). These PDFs serve as essential approximations of the actual and frequently undisclosed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Nico Schick

Connected vehicles (CVs) can provide numerous new data via vehicle-to-vehicle or vehicle-to-infrastructure communication. These data can in turn be used to facilitate real-time traffic state estimation. In this paper, we focus on ramp queue…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-30 Yu Tang , Kaan Ozbay , Li Jin

Analyzing large-scale data from simulations of turbulent flows is memory intensive, requiring significant resources. This major challenge highlights the need for data compression techniques. In this study, we apply a physics-informed Deep…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-07-26 Mohammadreza Momenifar , Enmao Diao , Vahid Tarokh , Andrew D. Bragg

Density Estimation is one of the central areas of statistics whose purpose is to estimate the probability density function underlying the observed data. It serves as a building block for many tasks in statistical inference, visualization,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-02 Zhipeng Wang , David W. Scott

We propose the tensorizing flow method for estimating high-dimensional probability density functions from the observed data. The method is based on tensor-train and flow-based generative modeling. Our method first efficiently constructs an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Yinuo Ren , Hongli Zhao , Yuehaw Khoo , Lexing Ying

This paper offers an integrative data-driven physics-inspired approach to model and control traffic congestion in a resilient and efficient manner. While existing physics-based approaches commonly assign density and flow traffic states by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Hossein Rastgoftar , Ella Atkins

We study traffic flow on roads with a localized periodic inhomogeneity such as traffic signals, using a stochastic car-following model. We find that in cases of congestion, traffic flow can be optimized by controlling the inhomogeneity's…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Elad Tomer , Leonid Safonov , Nilly Madar , Shlomo Havlin