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We describe our experience in developing a predictive model that placed high position in the BigDeal Challenge 2022, an energy competition of load and peak forecasting. We present a novel procedure for feature engineering and feature…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-10 Nicolò Rubattu , Gabriele Maroni , Giorgio Corani

This article investigates applying advanced machine learning models, specifically LSTM and BERT, for text classification to predict multiple categories in the retail sector. The study demonstrates how applying data augmentation techniques…

Time series forecasting remains a challenging task, particularly in the context of complex multiscale temporal patterns. This study presents LLM-Mixer, a framework that improves forecasting accuracy through the combination of multiscale…

Accurate prediction of food delivery times significantly impacts customer satisfaction, operational efficiency, and profitability in food delivery services. However, existing studies primarily utilize static historical data and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Ananya Garg , Mohmmad Ayaan , Swara Parekh , Vikranth Udandarao

Increased availability of epidemiological data, novel digital data streams, and the rise of powerful machine learning approaches have generated a surge of research activity on real-time epidemic forecast systems. In this paper, we propose…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Ioanna Miliou , Xinyue Xiong , Salvatore Rinzivillo , Qian Zhang , Giulio Rossetti , Fosca Giannotti , Dino Pedreschi , Alessandro Vespignani

Detecting anomalies in time series data is a challenging task with broad relevance in many applications. Existing methods work effectively only under idealized conditions, typically focusing on point anomalies or assuming a constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yiyin Zhang , Florian Pein , Idris Eckley

Sales forecasting plays a prominent role in business planning and business strategy. The value and importance of advance information is a cornerstone of planning activity, and a well-set forecast goal can guide sale-force more efficiently.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-17 Qiuping Xu , Vikas Sharma

Forecasting complex time series is an important yet challenging problem that involves various industrial applications. Recently, masked time-series modeling has been proposed to effectively model temporal dependencies for forecasting by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Hyunwoo Seo , Chiehyeon Lim

We present a methodology to provide real-time and personalized product recommendations for large e-commerce platforms, specifically focusing on fashion retail. Our approach aims to achieve accurate and scalable recommendations with minimal…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Matteo Tolloso , Davide Bacciu , Shahab Mokarizadeh , Marco Varesi

Online fashion sales present a challenging use case for personalized recommendation: Stores offer a huge variety of items in multiple sizes. Small stocks, high return rates, seasonality, and changing trends cause continuous turnover of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-08-25 Sebastian Heinz , Christian Bracher , Roland Vollgraf

Grocery retailers frequently apply price discounts to stimulate demand for expiring perishables. However, integrating these discounted sales into future demand forecasts presents a significant challenge. This study investigates the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-05 David Winkelmann , Theresa Elbracht , Jonas Brenker , Arnold Gerzen

In the paper, a problem of forecasting promotion efficiency is raised. The authors propose a new approach, using the gradient boosting method for this task. Six performance indicators are introduced to capture the promotion effect. For each…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Joanna Henzel , Marek Sikora

This study investigates the performance of machine learning models in forecasting electricity Day-Ahead Market (DAM) prices using short historical training windows, with a focus on detecting seasonal trends and price spikes. We evaluate…

Analysis and prediction of stock market time series data has attracted considerable interest from the research community over the last decade. Rapid development and evolution of sophisticated algorithms for statistical analysis of time…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-05-12 Jaydip Sen , Tamal Datta Chaudhuri

The field of retail analytics has been transformed by the availability of rich data which can be used to perform tasks such as demand forecasting and inventory management. However, one task which has proved more challenging is the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-16 James Pitkin , Ioanna Manolopoulou , Gordon Ross

From global pandemics to geopolitical turmoil, leaders in logistics, product allocation, procurement and operations are facing increasing difficulty with safeguarding their organizations against supply chain vulnerabilities. It is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Reda Mastouri

Accurate prediction of financial time series is a key concern for market economy makers and investors. The article selects online store sales and Australian beer sales as representatives of non-stationary, trending, and seasonal financial…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-10 Wei Chen , Yuanyuan Yang , Jianyu Liu

Many real-world time series exhibit multiple seasonality with different lengths. The removal of seasonal components is crucial in numerous applications of time series, including forecasting and anomaly detection. However, many…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-21 Linxiao Yang , Qingsong Wen , Bo Yang , Liang Sun

Recognizing that traditional forecasting models often rely solely on historical demand, this work investigates the potential of data-driven techniques to automatically select and integrate market indicators for improving customer demand…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-13 Lina Döring , Felix Grumbach , Pascal Reusch

We consider the problem of segmenting a large population of customers into non-overlapping groups with similar preferences, using diverse preference observations such as purchases, ratings, clicks, etc. over subsets of items. We focus on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-27 Srikanth Jagabathula , Lakshminarayanan Subramanian , Ashwin Venkataraman