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Recent clinical trials have shown that the adaptive drug therapy can be more efficient than a standard MTD-based policy in treatment of cancer patients. The adaptive therapy paradigm is not based on a preset schedule; instead, the doses are…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-06 Mark Gluzman , Jacob G. Scott , Alexander Vladimirsky

Recursive decision trees are widely used to estimate heterogeneous causal treatment effects in experimental and observational studies. These methods are typically implemented using CART-type recursive partitioning and are often viewed as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Ruiqi Rae Yu

The authors propose robust adaptive strategies based on stochastic minimax optimization for a series of simulated treatments on a one-dimensional patient phantom. The plan applied during the first fractions should be able to handle…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-01 Michelle Böck , Anders Forsgren , Kjell Eriksson , Björn Hårdemark

Test-time adaptation aims to improve model robustness under distribution shifts by adapting models with access to unlabeled target samples. A primary cause of performance degradation under such shifts is the model's reliance on features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Yingnan Liu , Rui Qiao , Mong Li Lee , Wynne Hsu

Modern preference alignment techniques, such as Best-of-N (BoN) sampling, rely on reward models trained with pairwise comparison data. While effective at learning relative preferences, this paradigm fails to capture a signal of response…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Hyung Gyu Rho , Sian Lee

We consider the problem of estimating fold-changes in the expected value of a multivariate outcome observed with unknown sample-specific and category-specific perturbations. This challenge arises in high-throughput sequencing studies of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 David S Clausen , Sarah Teichman , Amy D Willis

In performative prediction, the deployment of a predictive model triggers a shift in the data distribution. As these shifts are typically unknown ahead of time, the learner needs to deploy a model to get feedback about the distribution it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Meena Jagadeesan , Tijana Zrnic , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

The discretization of continuous numerical attributes remains a persistent computational bottleneck in the induction of decision trees, particularly as dataset dimensions scale. Building upon the recently proposed MSD-Splitting technique --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Jake Lee

Gradient clipping is a standard training technique used in deep learning applications such as large-scale language modeling to mitigate exploding gradients. Recent experimental studies have demonstrated a fairly special behavior in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Amirhossein Reisizadeh , Haochuan Li , Subhro Das , Ali Jadbabaie

The doubly robust (DR) estimator, which consists of two nuisance parameters, the conditional mean outcome and the logging policy (the probability of choosing an action), is crucial in causal inference. This paper proposes a DR estimator for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Masahiro Kato , Shota Yasui , Kenichiro McAlinn

We study the convergence of the predictive surface of regression trees and forests. To support our analysis we introduce a notion of adaptive concentration for regression trees. This approach breaks tree training into a model selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Stefan Wager , Guenther Walther

This paper considers the decision-dependent optimization problem, where the data distributions react in response to decisions affecting both the objective function and linear constraints. We propose a new method termed repeated projected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Zifan Wang , Changxin Liu , Thomas Parisini , Michael M. Zavlanos , Karl H. Johansson

An adaptive design adjusts dynamically as information is accrued and a consequence of applying an adaptive design is the potential for inducing small-sample bias in estimates. In psychometrics and psychophysics, a common class of studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Simon Bang Kristensen , Katrine Bødkergaard , Bo Martin Bibby

Medical image analysis relies on accurate segmentation, and benefits from controllable synthesis (of new training images). Yet both tasks of the cyclical pipeline face spatial imbalance: lesions occupy small regions against vast…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Anugunj Naman , Ayushman Singh , Gaibo Zhang , Yaguang Zhang

We consider a semi-supervised classification problem with non-stationary label-shift in which we observe a labelled data set followed by a sequence of unlabelled covariate vectors in which the marginal probabilities of the class labels may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Henry W J Reeve

We consider estimation of a total causal effect from observational data via covariate adjustment. Ideally, adjustment sets are selected based on a given causal graph, reflecting knowledge of the underlying causal structure. Valid adjustment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Janine Witte , Leonard Henckel , Marloes H. Maathuis , Vanessa Didelez

The increasing popularity of regression discontinuity methods for causal inference in observational studies has led to a proliferation of different estimating strategies, most of which involve first fitting non-parametric regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-11 Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

This paper focuses on the estimation of distributional treatment effects in randomized experiments that use covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR). These include designs such as Efron's biased-coin design and stratified block randomization,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-09 Undral Byambadalai , Tomu Hirata , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui

Clinical trials are an instrument for making informed decisions based on evidence from well-designed experiments. Here we consider adaptive designs mainly from the perspective of multi-arm Phase II clinical trials, in which one or more…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

Causal discovery from interventional data is an important problem, where the task is to design an interventional strategy that learns the hidden ground truth causal graph $G(V,E)$ on $|V| = n$ nodes while minimizing the number of performed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Davin Choo , Kirankumar Shiragur