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Transition path sampling is a method for estimating the rates of rare events in molecular systems based on the gradual transformation of a path distribution containing a small fraction of reactive trajectories into a biased distribution in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-28 Pierre Terrier , Mihai-Cosmin Marinica , Manuel Athènes

This work addresses the problem of vehicle path planning in the presence of obstacles and uncertainties, which is a fundamental problem in robotics. While many path planning algorithms have been proposed for decades, many of them have dealt…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We consider the noise-induced transitions in the randomly perturbed discrete logistic map from a linearly stable periodic orbit consisting of T periodic points. The traditional large deviation theory and asymptotic analysis for small noise…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-04-20 Yu Cao , Ling Lin , Xiang Zhou

Existing macroscopic traffic control methods often struggle to strictly regulate rare, safety-critical extreme events under stochastic disturbances. In this paper, we develop a rare chance-constrained optimal control framework for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Rui Xu , Shanyin Tong , Xuan Di

Stochastic Model Predictive Control has proved to be an efficient method to plan trajectories in uncertain environments, e.g., for autonomous vehicles. Chance constraints ensure that the probability of collision is bounded by a predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Tim Brüdigam , Fulvio di Luzio , Lucia Pallottino , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We investigate the theoretical and numerical computation of rare transitions in simple geophysical turbulent models. We consider the barotropic quasi-geostrophic and two-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations in regimes where bistability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-10 Jason Laurie , Freddy Bouchet

We study the problem of pathwise stochastic optimal control, where the optimization is performed for each fixed realisation of the driving noise, by phrasing the problem in terms of the optimal control of rough differential equations. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Andrew L. Allan , Samuel N. Cohen

We propose an efficient novel path sampling-based framework designed to accelerate the investigation of rare events in complex molecular systems. A key innovation is the shift from sampling restricted path ensemble distributions, as in…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-03-28 Gianmarco Lazzeri , Peter G. Bolhuis , Roberto Covino

Transitions between multiple stable states of nonlinear systems are ubiquitous in physics, chemistry, and beyond. Two types of behaviors are usually seen as mutually exclusive: unpredictable noise-induced transitions and predictable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-03 Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

This work develops a stochastic model predictive controller~(SMPC) for uncertain linear systems with additive Gaussian noise subject to state and control constraints. The proposed approach is based on the recently developed finite-horizon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Timesteppers constitute a powerful tool in modern computational science and engineering. Although they are typically used to advance the system forward in time, they can also be viewed as nonlinear mappings that implicitly encode steady…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Hannes Vandecasteele , Nicholas Karris , Alexander Cloninger , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

This paper considers linear-quadratic control of a non-linear dynamical system subject to arbitrary cost. I show that for this class of stochastic control problems the non-linear Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation can be transformed into a…

General Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 H. J. Kappen

We present a method to sample Markov-chain trajectories constrained to both the initial and final conditions, which we term Markov bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end in a specific state at a given time. We derive the master…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-07 Guillaume Le Treut , Sarah Ancheta , Greg Huber , Henri Orland , David Yllanes

Decoder-only transformers compute the conditional probability of the next token from a sequence of past observations. This paper derives, from first principles, inference architectures that solve the same prediction problem - and in doing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Aditya Kudre , Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

In this paper we compute and analyse the transition rates and duration of reactive trajectories of the stochastic 1-D Allen-Cahn equations for both the Freidlin-Wentzell regime (weak noise or temperature limit) and finite-amplitude white…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-12-04 Joran Rolland , Freddy Bouchet , Eric Simonnet

This paper proposes a data-driven control framework to regulate an unknown, stochastic linear dynamical system to the solution of a (stochastic) convex optimization problem. Despite the centrality of this problem, most of the available…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Gianluca Bianchin , Miguel Vaquero , Jorge Cortes , Emiliano Dall'Anese

The abstraction of dynamical systems is a powerful tool that enables the design of feedback controllers using a correct-by-design framework. We investigate a novel scheme to obtain data-driven abstractions of discrete-time stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-15 Rudi Coppola , Andrea Peruffo , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate , Manuel Mazo

Global dynamics in nonlinear stochastic systems is often difficult to analyze rigorously. Yet, many excellent numerical methods exist to approximate these systems. In this work, we propose a method to bridge the gap between computation and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-07 Maxime Breden , Christian Kuehn

The evaluation of the path-integral representation for stochastic processes in the weak-noise limit shows that these systems are governed by a set of equations which are those of a classical dynamics. We show that, even when the noise is…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 S. J. B. Einchcomb , A. J. McKane

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah