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Many successful methods to learn dynamical systems from data have recently been introduced. However, ensuring that the inferred dynamics preserve known constraints, such as conservation laws or restrictions on the allowed system states,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Alistair White , Niki Kilbertus , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

Long-term urban crowd flow prediction suffers significantly from cumulative sampling errors, due to increased sequence lengths and sampling intervals, which inspired us to leverage Neural Controlled Differential Equations (NCDEs) to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Yuting Liu , Qiang Zhou , Hanzhe Li , Chenqi Gong , Jingjing Gu

Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Deepta Rajan

We introduce a training-efficient framework for time-series learning that combines random features with controlled differential equations (CDEs). In this approach, large randomly parameterized CDEs act as continuous-time reservoirs, mapping…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Francesco Piatti , Thomas Cass , William F. Turner

Accurately learning solution operators for time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) from sparse and irregular data remains a challenging task. Recurrent DeepONet extensions inherit the discrete-time limitations of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Diab W. Abueidda , Mbebo Nonna , Panos Pantidis , Mostafa E. Mobasher

Ensembles of neural networks (NNs) have long been used to estimate predictive uncertainty; a small number of NNs are trained from different initialisations and sometimes on differing versions of the dataset. The variance of the ensemble's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

This paper presents a framework for bounding the approximation error in imitation model predictive controllers utilizing neural networks. Leveraging the Lipschitz properties of these neural networks, we derive a bound that guides dataset…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-27 Hendrik Alsmeier , Lukas Theiner , Anton Savchenko , Ali Mesbah , Rolf Findeisen

Scientific machine learning is an emerging field that broadly describes the combination of scientific computing and machine learning to address challenges in science and engineering. Within the context of differential equations, this has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Laurens R. Lueg , Victor Alves , Daniel Schicksnus , John R. Kitchin , Carl D. Laird , Lorenz T. Biegler

We study the ability of neural networks to calculate feedback control signals that steer trajectories of continuous time non-linear dynamical systems on graphs, which we represent with neural ordinary differential equations (neural ODEs).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Thomas Asikis , Lucas Böttcher , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

We propose Characteristic-Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (C-NODEs), a framework for extending Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) beyond ODEs. While NODEs model the evolution of a latent variables as the solution to an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Xingzi Xu , Ali Hasan , Khalil Elkhalil , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

We introduce a neural network conformal prediction method for time series that enhances adaptivity in non-stationary environments. Our approach acts as a neural controller designed to achieve desired target coverage, leveraging auxiliary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Ruipu Li , Alexander Rodríguez

While significant progress has been made in specifying neural networks capable of representing uncertainty, deep networks still often suffer from overconfidence and misaligned predictive distributions. Existing approaches for measuring this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Spencer Young , Riley Sinema , Cole Edgren , Andrew Hall , Nathan Dong , Porter Jenkins

Neural networks have the ability to serve as universal function approximators, but they are not interpretable and don't generalize well outside of their training region. Both of these issues are problematic when trying to apply standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Colby Fronk , Linda Petzold

Quantile regression, based on check loss, is a widely used inferential paradigm in Econometrics and Statistics. The conditional quantiles provide a robust alternative to classical conditional means, and also allow uncertainty quantification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Anuj Tambwekar , Anirudh Maiya , Soma Dhavala , Snehanshu Saha

Neural networks hold great potential to act as approximate models of nonlinear dynamical systems, with the resulting neural approximations enabling verification and control of such systems. However, in safety-critical contexts, the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Nikolaus Vertovec , Francesco Fabiano , Luca Laurenti , Alessandro Abate

We empirically investigate the impact of learning randomly generated labels in parallel to class labels in supervised learning on memorization, model complexity, and generalization in deep neural networks. To this end, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Marlon Becker , Benjamin Risse

End-to-end trained neural networks (NNs) are a compelling approach to autonomous vehicle control because of their ability to learn complex tasks without manual engineering of rule-based decisions. However, challenging road conditions,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Alexander Amini , Ava Soleimany , Sertac Karaman , Daniela Rus

Modern neural networks can achieve high accuracy while remaining poorly calibrated, producing confidence estimates that do not match empirical correctness. Yet calibration is often treated as a post-hoc attribute. We take a different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Alessandro Morosini , Matea Gjika , Tomaso Poggio , Pierfrancesco Beneventano

We study a continuous-time approximation of the stochastic gradient descent process for minimizing the population expected loss in learning problems. The main results establish general sufficient conditions for the convergence, extending…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Gabor Lugosi , Eulalia Nualart

As supported by abundant experimental evidence, neural networks are state-of-the-art for many approximation tasks in high-dimensional spaces. Still, there is a lack of a rigorous theoretical understanding of what they can approximate, at…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Elena Celledoni , James Jackaman , Davide Murari , Brynjulf Owren