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In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

A major goal of stochastic thermodynamics is to estimate the inevitable dissipation that accompanies particular observable phenomena in an otherwise not fully accessible system. Quantitative results are often formulated as lower bounds on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-17 Malena T. Bauer , Udo Seifert , Jann van der Meer

Dynamical Ensemble Equivalence between hydrodynamic dissipative equations and suitable time-reversible dynamical systems has been investigated in a class of dynamical systems for turbulence. The reversible dynamics is obtained from the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-30 L. Biferale , D. Pierotti , A. Vulpiani

We consider a simple but important class of metastable discrete time Markov chains, which we call perturbed Markov chains. Basically, we assume that the transition matrices depend on a parameter $\varepsilon$, and converge as $\varepsilon$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Volker Betz , Stéphane Le Roux

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

Causal discovery in time series is a rapidly evolving field with a wide variety of applications in other areas such as climate science and neuroscience. Traditional approaches assume a stationary causal graph, which can be adapted to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-26 Carles Balsells-Rodas , Yixin Wang , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Yingzhen Li

We propose and study the framework of dissipative statistical solutions for the incompressible Euler equations. Statistical solutions are time-parameterized probability measures on the space of square-integrable functions, whose…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Samuel Lanthaler , Siddhartha Mishra , Carlos Parés-Pulido

Recently a number of approaches has been developed to connect the microscopic dynamics of particle systems to the macroscopic properties of systems in nonequilibrium stationary states, via the theory of dynamical systems. This way a direct…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 L. Rondoni , E. G. D. Cohen

This paper presents a nonparametric method for estimating the conditional density associated to the jump rate of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. In our framework, the estimation needs only one observation of the process within a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-12 Romain Azaïs , François Dufour , Anne Gégout-Petit

Time reversal of vast classes of phenomena has direct implications with predictability, causality and the second principle of thermodynamics. We analyze in detail time reversibility of a paradigmatic dissipative nonlinear dynamical system,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-26 Constantino Tsallis , Ernesto P. Borges

In this work we introduce the lag irreversibility function as a method to assess time-irreversibility in discrete time series. It quantifies the degree of time-asymmetry for the joint probability function of the state variable under study…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-08-01 Nazul Merino Negrete , Cesar Maldonado , Raúl Salgado-García

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Dynamical systems with large state-spaces are often expensive to thoroughly explore experimentally. Coarse-graining methods aim to define simpler systems which are more amenable to analysis and exploration; most current methods, however,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Michalis Michaelides , Dimitrios Milios , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

The characterization of finite-time thermodynamic processes is of crucial importance for extending equilibrium thermodynamics to nonequilibrium thermodynamics. The central issue is to quantify responses of thermodynamic variables and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-15 Yuki Izumida

Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Cecilie Olesen Recke , Niels Richard Hansen

While linear response theory, manifested by the fluctuation dissipation theorem, can be applied at any level of coarse graining, nonlinear response theory is fundamentally of microscopic nature. For perturbations of equilibrium systems, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-01 Fenna Müller , Urna Basu , Peter Sollich , Matthias Krüger

Time-dependent correlation functions of (unstable) particles undergoing biased or unbiased diffusion, coagulation and annihilation are calculated. This is achieved by similarity transformations between different stochastic models and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Malte Henkel , Enzo Orlandini , Gunter M. Schütz

We propose a new concept of lifts of reversible diffusion processes and show that various well-known non-reversible Markov processes arising in applications are lifts in this sense of simple reversible diffusions. Furthermore, we introduce…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Andreas Eberle , Francis Lörler

In this paper we focus on the development of new methods suitable for efficient and reliable coarse-graining of {\it non-equilibrium} molecular systems. In this context, we propose error estimation and controlled-fidelity model reduction…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plechac

Recovering properties of correlation functions is typically challenging. On one hand, experimentally, it requires measurements with a temporal resolution finer than the system's dynamics. On the other hand, analytical or numerical analysis…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-14 Wojciech Górecki , Simone Felicetti , Lorenzo Maccone , Roberto Di Candia
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