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In this paper we wish to tackle stochastic programs affected by ambiguity about the probability law that governs their uncertain parameters. Using optimal transport theory, we construct an ambiguity set that exploits the knowledge about the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

Optimal Transport is a foundational mathematical theory that connects optimization, partial differential equations, and probability. It offers a powerful framework for comparing probability distributions and has recently become an important…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Gabriel Peyré

The explosion in the availability of GPS-enabled devices has resulted in an abundance of trajectory data. In reality, however, majority of these trajectories are collected at a low sampling rate and only provide partial observations on…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-03-25 Prithu Banerjee , Sayan Ranu , Sriram Raghavan

Precise knowledge of causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) is assumed for standard approaches towards valid adjustment set selection for unbiased estimation, but in practice, the DAG is often inferred from data or expert knowledge,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Zhongyi Hu , Stéphanie van der Pas

This work addresses the problem of predicting the motion trajectories of dynamic objects in the environment. Recent advances in predicting motion patterns often rely on machine learning techniques to extrapolate motion patterns from…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Weiming Zhi , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

In many applications, a dataset can be considered as a set of observed signals that live on an unknown underlying graph structure. Some of these signals may be seen as white noise that has been filtered on the graph topology by a graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Matthias Minder , Zahra Farsijani , Dhruti Shah , Mireille El Gheche , Pascal Frossard

Graphs have become pervasive tools to represent information and datasets with irregular support. However, in many cases, the underlying graph is either unavailable or naively obtained, calling for more advanced methods to its estimation.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-14 Andrei Buciulea , Antonio G. Marques

In stochastic systems, numerically sampling the relevant trajectories for the estimation of the large deviation statistics of time-extensive observables requires overcoming their exponential (in space and time) scarcity. The optimal way to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Tom H. E. Oakes , Adam Moss , Juan P. Garrahan

In this article, we consider transport networks with uncertain demands. Network dynamics are given by linear hyperbolic partial differential equations and suitable coupling conditions, while demands are incorporated as solutions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger

A general framework is given to analyze the falsifiability of economic models based on a sample of their observable components. It is shown that, when the restrictions implied by the economic theory are insufficient to identify the unknown…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-25 Ivar Ekeland , Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

This paper studies how to capture dependency graph structures from real data which may not be Gaussian. Starting from marginal loss functions not necessarily derived from probability distributions, we utilize an additive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Yiyuan She , Shao Tang , Qiaoya Zhang

We present a likelihood-free probabilistic inversion method based on normalizing flows for high-dimensional inverse problems. The proposed method is composed of two complementary networks: a summary network for data compression and an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Jice Zeng , Yuanzhe Wang , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , David Barajas-Solano

Multivariate Bernoulli autoregressive (BAR) processes model time series of events in which the likelihood of current events is determined by the times and locations of past events. These processes can be used to model nonlinear dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-08 Benjamin Mark , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

We present a 2-step optimal transport approach that performs a mapping from a source distribution to a target distribution. Here, the target has the particularity to present new classes not present in the source domain. The first step of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Marwa Kechaou , Romain Hérault , Mokhtar Z. Alaya , Gilles Gasso

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Dynamical models of cognition play an increasingly important role in driving theoretical and experimental research in psychology. Therefore, parameter estimation, model analysis and comparison of dynamical models are of essential…

Many problems in machine learning involve calculating correspondences between sets of objects, such as point clouds or images. Discrete optimal transport provides a natural and successful approach to such tasks whenever the two sets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-28 David Alvarez-Melis , Stefanie Jegelka , Tommi S. Jaakkola

Many real world network problems often concern multivariate nodal attributes such as image, textual, and multi-view feature vectors on nodes, rather than simple univariate nodal attributes. The existing graph estimation methods built on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-23 Mladen Kolar , Han Liu , Eric P. Xing

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) provide a compact and flexible framework to model very complex real-life phenomena. They combine the probability theory which deals with uncertainty and logical structure represented by a graph which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-01 Maryia Shpak

We present a novel data-driven approach of learning traffic flow patterns of a transportation network given that many instances of origin to destination (OD) travel demand and link flows of the network are available. Instead of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Rezaur Rahman , Samiul Hasan
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