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We study the problem of learning unknown parameters in stochastic interacting particle systems with polynomial drift, interaction and diffusion functions from the path of one single particle in the system. Our estimator is obtained by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

In this paper we propose an output-feedback Model Predictive Control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by a possibly unbounded additive noise and subject to probabilistic constraints. In case the noise distribution…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-08-29 Marcello Farina , Luca Giulioni , Lalo Magni , Riccardo Scattolini

Multi-agent planning under stochastic dynamics is usually formalised using decentralized (partially observable) Markov decision processes ( MDPs) and reachability or expected reward specifications. In this paper, we propose a different…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Francesco Pontiggia , Filip Macák , Roman Andriushchenko , Michele Chiari , Milan Češka

We present an algorithm for marginalising changepoints in time-series models that assume a fixed number of unknown changepoints. Our algorithm is differentiable with respect to its inputs, which are the values of latent random variables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Hyoungjin Lim , Gwonsoo Che , Wonyeol Lee , Hongseok Yang

Learning the unknown causal parameters of a linear structural causal model is a fundamental task in causal analysis. The task, known as the problem of identification, asks to estimate the parameters of the model from a combination of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Julian Dörfler , Benito van der Zander , Markus Bläser , Maciej Liskiewicz

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

Networks are a commonly used mathematical model to describe the rich set of interactions between objects of interest. Many clustering methods have been developed in order to partition such structures, among which several rely on underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 P. Latouche , E. Birmelé , C. Ambroise

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce scenario based stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables, which we can set, and stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 S. Armagan Tarim , Suresh Manandhar , Toby Walsh

In this article we propose a qualitative (ordinal) counterpart for the Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes model (POMDP) in which the uncertainty, as well as the preferences of the agent, are modeled by possibility distributions.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Regis Sabbadin

This paper develops a class of potential outcomes models characterized by three main features: (i) Unobserved heterogeneity can be represented by a vector of potential outcomes and a type describing the manner in which an instrument…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-10 Manu Navjeevan , Rodrigo Pinto , Andres Santos

Stochastic simulation models are generative models that mimic complex systems to help with decision-making. The reliability of these models heavily depends on well-calibrated input model parameters. However, in many practical scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-11 Ziwei Su , Diego Klabjan

This paper studies the sparse identification problem of unknown sparse parameter vectors in stochastic dynamic systems. Firstly, a novel sparse identification algorithm is proposed, which can generate sparse estimates based on least squares…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Ziming Wang , Xinghua Zhu

Preferences play a key role in determining what goals/constraints to satisfy when not all constraints can be satisfied simultaneously. In this work, we study preference-based planning in a stochastic system modeled as a Markov decision…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Abhishek Ninad Kulkarni , Jie Fu

Probabilistic models help us encode latent structures that both model the data and are ideally also useful for specific downstream tasks. Among these, mixture models and their time-series counterparts, hidden Markov models, identify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Abhishek Sharma , Catherine Zeng , Sanjana Narayanan , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

Chance constrained program is computationally intractable due to the existence of chance constraints, which are randomly disturbed and should be satisfied with a probability. This paper proposes a two-layer randomized algorithm to address…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Xun Shen , Jiancang Zhuang , Xingguo Zhang

The literature on stochastic programming typically restricts attention to problems that fulfill constraint qualifications. The literature on estimation and inference under partial identification frequently restricts the geometry of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-01 Hiroaki Kaido , Francesca Molinari , Jörg Stoye

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

This paper studies point identification of the distribution of the coefficients in some random coefficients models with exogenous regressors when their support is a proper subset, possibly discrete but countable. We exhibit trade-offs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Christophe Gaillac , Eric Gautier

This paper introduces a novel distributed optimization technique for networked systems, which removes the dependency on specific parameter choices, notably the learning rate. Traditional parameter selection strategies in distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Rodrigo Aldana-López , Alessandro Macchelli , Giuseppe Notarstefano , Rosario Aragüés , Carlos Sagüés

We derive a parallel sampling algorithm for computational inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a vector of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Darko Volkov
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