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Reliable application of machine learning-based decision systems in the wild is one of the major challenges currently investigated by the field. A large portion of established approaches aims to detect erroneous predictions by means of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-06 Paul F. Jaeger , Carsten T. Lüth , Lukas Klein , Till J. Bungert

The deployment of AI systems in safety-critical domains, such as industrial defect inspection, autonomous driving, and medical diagnosis, is severely hampered by their lack of reliability. A single undetected erroneous prediction can lead…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Hang-Cheng Dong , Yuhao Jiang , Yibo Jiao , Lu Zou , Kai Zheng , Bingguo Liu , Dong Ye , Guodong Liu

It is now well known that neural networks can be wrong with high confidence in their predictions, leading to poor calibration. The most common post-hoc approach to compensate for this is to perform temperature scaling, which adjusts the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Tom Joy , Francesco Pinto , Ser-Nam Lim , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

Despite extensive research on neural network calibration, existing methods typically apply global transformations that treat all predictions uniformly, overlooking the heterogeneous reliability of individual predictions. Furthermore, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Hassan Gharoun , Mohammad Sadegh Khorshidi , Kasra Ranjbarigderi , Fang Chen , Amir H. Gandomi

The reliable measurement of confidence in classifiers' predictions is very important for many applications and is, therefore, an important part of classifier design. Yet, although deep learning has received tremendous attention in recent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Amit Mandelbaum , Daphna Weinshall

Positive-confidence (Pconf) classification [Ishida et al., 2018] is a promising weakly-supervised learning method which trains a binary classifier only from positive data equipped with confidence. However, in practice, the confidence may be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-30 Kazuhiko Shinoda , Hirotaka Kaji , Masashi Sugiyama

Selective classifiers improve model reliability by abstaining on inputs the model deems uncertain. However, few practical approaches achieve the gold-standard performance of a perfect-ordering oracle that accepts examples exactly in order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Stephan Rabanser , Nicolas Papernot

Confident prediction is highly relevant in machine learning; for example, in applications such as medical diagnoses, wrong prediction can be fatal. For classification, there already exist procedures that allow to not classify data when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Christophe Denis , Mohamed Hebiri

We study the tradeoff between computational effort and classification accuracy in a cascade of deep neural networks. During inference, the user sets the acceptable accuracy degradation which then automatically determines confidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-12 Konstantin Berestizshevsky , Guy Even

Reliable confidence estimation for the predictions is important in many safety-critical applications. However, modern deep neural networks are often overconfident for their incorrect predictions. Recently, many calibration methods have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Fei Zhu , Zhen Cheng , Xu-Yao Zhang , Cheng-Lin Liu

Ensuring the reliability of automated decision-making based on neural networks will be crucial as Artificial Intelligence systems are deployed more widely in critical situations. This paper proposes a new approach for measuring confidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Daniel Sikar , Artur d'Avila Garcez , Tillman Weyde

Interpretability is highly desired for deep neural network-based classifiers, especially when addressing high-stake decisions in medical imaging. Commonly used post-hoc interpretability methods have the limitation that they can produce…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-04 Sourya Sengupta , Mark A. Anastasio

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), despite their tremendous success in recent years, could still cast doubts on their predictions due to the intrinsic uncertainty associated with their learning process. Ensemble techniques and post-hoc…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Chunwei Ma , Ziyun Huang , Jiayi Xian , Mingchen Gao , Jinhui Xu

The use of deep neural networks in real-world applications require well-calibrated networks with confidence scores that accurately reflect the actual probability. However, it has been found that these networks often provide over-confident…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Linwei Tao , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

Recently, learning with soft labels has been shown to achieve better performance than learning with hard labels in terms of model generalization, calibration, and robustness. However, collecting pointwise labeling confidence for all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Wei Wang , Lei Feng , Yuchen Jiang , Gang Niu , Min-Ling Zhang , Masashi Sugiyama

Deep neural networks are behind many of the recent successes in machine learning applications. However, these models can produce overconfident decisions while encountering out-of-distribution (OOD) examples or making a wrong prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Navid Kardan , Ankit Sharma , Kenneth O. Stanley

Proper confidence calibration of deep neural networks is essential for reliable predictions in safety-critical tasks. Miscalibration can lead to model over-confidence and/or under-confidence; i.e., the model's confidence in its prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Shuang Ao , Stefan Rueger , Advaith Siddharthan

We introduce the notion of heterogeneous calibration that applies a post-hoc model-agnostic transformation to model outputs for improving AUC performance on binary classification tasks. We consider overconfident models, whose performance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-11 David Durfee , Aman Gupta , Kinjal Basu

Overconfidence is a common issue for deep neural networks, limiting their deployment in real-world applications. To better estimate confidence, existing methods mostly focus on fully-supervised scenarios and rely on training labels. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Chen Li , Xiaoling Hu , Chao Chen

It is known that neural networks have the problem of being over-confident when directly using the output label distribution to generate uncertainty measures. Existing methods mainly resolve this issue by retraining the entire model to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Maohao Shen , Yuheng Bu , Prasanna Sattigeri , Soumya Ghosh , Subhro Das , Gregory Wornell