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Related papers: Parameter estimation in rough Bessel model

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Using the multiple stochastic integrals we prove an existence and uniqueness result for a linear stochastic equation driven by the fractional Brownian motion with any Hurst parameter. We study both the one parameter and two parameter cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Nourdin , Ciprian A. Tudor

We obtain bounds for probabilities of deviations of the truncated variation functional of fractional Brownian motions (fBm) of any Hurst index $H \in (0,1)$ from their expected values. Obtained bounds are optimal for large values of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Witold M. Bednorz , Rafał M. Łochowski

Within the context of rough path analysis via fractional calculus, we show how variability can be used to prove the existence of integrals with respect to H\"older continuous multiplicative functionals in the case of Lipschitz coefficients…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Michael Hinz , Jonas M. Tölle , Lauri Viitasaari

In this paper, we introduce a new class of estimators of the Hurst exponent of the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) process. These estimators are based on sample expectiles of discrete variations of a sample path of the fBm process. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-06 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Hedi Kortas

A multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents is used to model and forecast realized volatility. We investigate the interplay between correlation coefficients and Hurst exponents and propose a novel…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

This paper deals with an extension of the so-called Black-Scholes model in which the volatility is modeled by a linear combination of the components of the solution of a differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Nicolas Marie

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with Gaussian driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Lauri Viitasaari

We develop an operator-theoretic formulation of stochastic calculus for fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H in (0, 1/2). The approach is based on adjointness between stochastic integration and differentiation in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Ramiro Fontes

It has been recently shown that spot volatilities can be very well modeled by rough stochastic volatility type dynamics. In such models, the log-volatility follows a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter smaller than 1/2. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-10 Giulia Livieri , Saad Mouti , Andrea Pallavicini , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Approximations of fractional Brownian motion using Poisson processes whose parameter sets have the same dimensions as the approximated processes have been studied in the literature. In this paper, a special approximation to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-05 Yuqiang Li , Hongshuai Dai

We consider a rough differential equation indexed by a small parameter $\varepsilon>0$. When the rough differential equation is driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H$ ($1/4<H<1/2$), we prove the Laplace-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 Yuzuru Inahama

Fractional Brownian motion is a non-Markovian Gaussian process $X_t$, indexed by the Hurst exponent $H$. It generalises standard Brownian motion (corresponding to $H=1/2$). We study the probability distribution of the maximum $m$ of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-25 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Joerg Wiese

Estimating volatility from recent high frequency data, we revisit the question of the smoothness of the volatility process. Our main result is that log-volatility behaves essentially as a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent H of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-14 Jim Gatheral , Thibault Jaisson , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We consider the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with an unknown drift parameter and known Hurst parameter $H$. We propose a new method to test the hypothesis of the sign of the parameter and prove the consistency of the test. Contrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Alexander Kukush , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

This paper studies a stochastic functional differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2, constrained to be reflected at 0. We prove the existence of solutions using the Euler method. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Chadad Monir

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

A new nonparametric estimator of the local Hurst function of a multifractional Gaussian process based on the increment ratio (IR) statistic is defined. In a general frame, the point-wise and uniform weak and strong consistency and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Jean-Marc Bardet , Donatas Surgailis

We introduce fractional diffusion Bessel process with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac12)$, derive a stochastic differential equation for it, and study the asymptotic properties of its sample paths.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We consider the rough differential equations driven by tempered fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in (\frac{1}{4}, \frac{1}{3})$ and tempered parameter $\lambda>0$. First, by means of piecewise linear approximation, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Lijuan Zhang , Jianhua Huang