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We study the $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-PAC policy identification problem in finite-horizon episodic Markov Decision Processes. Existing approaches provide finite-time guarantees for approximate settings ($\varepsilon>0$) but suffer from high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Cyrille Kone , Kevin Jamieson

Reinforcement learning is a framework for interactive decision-making with incentives sequentially revealed across time without a system dynamics model. Due to its scaling to continuous spaces, we focus on policy search where one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-04 Amrit Singh Bedi , Anjaly Parayil , Junyu Zhang , Mengdi Wang , Alec Koppel

Consider $n$ real/complex, independent/dependent random variables with respective tail bounds and $g$ a measurable function of the r.v.'s. Consider $f$ the "sharpest" tail bound of $g$ (sharpest in the sense that if $f$ were any less, then…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Stephen Jordan Harrison

Stochastic rounding (SR) is a probabilistic rounding mode that mitigates errors in large-scale numerical computations, especially when prone to stagnation effects. Beyond numerical analysis, SR has shown significant benefits in practical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-26 El-Mehdi El Arar , Massimiliano Fasi , Silviu-Ioan Filip , Mantas Mikaitis

Although recent provable methods have been developed to compute preimage bounds for neural networks, their scalability is fundamentally limited by the #P-hardness of the problem. In this work, we adopt a novel probabilistic perspective,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Luca Marzari , Manuele Bicego , Ferdinando Cicalese , Alessandro Farinelli

Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the 2nd kind of error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Shun Watanabe , Masahito Hayashi

In recent years, model collapse has become a critical issue in language model training, making it essential to understand the underlying mechanisms driving this phenomenon. In this paper, we investigate recursive parametric model training…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-23 Shirong Xu , Hengzhi He , Guang Cheng

We present a new algorithm based on posterior sampling for learning in Constrained Markov Decision Processes (CMDP) in the infinite-horizon undiscounted setting. The algorithm achieves near-optimal regret bounds while being advantageous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Danil Provodin , Maurits Kaptein , Mykola Pechenizkiy

We introduce a recursive algorithm of conveniently general form for estimating the coefficient of a moving average model of order one and obtain convergence results for both correct and misspecified MA(1) models. The algorithm encompasses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 James L. Cantor , David F. Findley

One important challenge for probabilistic logics is reasoning with very large knowledge bases (KBs) of imperfect information, such as those produced by modern web-scale information extraction systems. One scalability problem shared by many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-04-15 William Yang Wang , Kathryn Mazaitis , Ni Lao , Tom Mitchell , William W. Cohen

Many of today's probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) have brittle inference performance: the performance of the underlying inference algorithm is very sensitive to the precise way in which the probabilistic program is written. A…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Ellie Y. Cheng , Todd Millstein , Guy Van den Broeck , Steven Holtzen

In probabilistic program analysis, quantitative analysis aims at deriving tight numerical bounds for probabilistic properties such as expectation and assertion probability. Most previous works consider numerical bounds over the whole…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Tengshun Yang , Shenghua Feng , Hongfei Fu , Naijun Zhan , Jingyu Ke , Shiyang Wu

Sampling-based motion planners have proven to be efficient solutions to a variety of high-dimensional, geometrically complex motion planning problems with applications in several domains. The traditional view of these approaches is that…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-04-09 Andrew Dobson , George V. Moustakides , Kostas E. Bekris

The quality of numerical computations can be measured through their forward error, for which finding good error bounds is challenging in general. For several algorithms and using stochastic rounding (SR), probabilistic analysis has been…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-29 Pablo de Oliveira Castro , El-Mehdi El Arar , Eric Petit , Devan Sohier

We study upper and lower bounds on the sample-complexity of learning near-optimal behaviour in finite-state discounted Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). For the upper bound we make the assumption that each action leads to at most two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-17 Tor Lattimore , Marcus Hutter

This paper is the Part II of a serious work about T product tensors focusing at establishing new probability bounds for sums of random, independent, T product tensors. These probability bounds characterize large deviation behavior of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Shih Yu Chang , Yimin Wei

In this article we revisit the definition of Precision-Recall (PR) curves for generative models proposed by Sajjadi et al. (arXiv:1806.00035). Rather than providing a scalar for generative quality, PR curves distinguish mode-collapse (poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Loïc Simon , Ryan Webster , Julien Rabin

The authors' ATR programming formalism is a version of call-by-value PCF under a complexity-theoretically motivated type system. ATR programs run in type-2 polynomial-time and all standard type-2 basic feasible functionals are ATR-definable…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Norman Danner , James S. Royer

Frequentist model averaging has been proposed as a method for incorporating "model uncertainty" into confidence interval construction. Such proposals have been of particular interest in the environmental and ecological statistics…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-18 Paul Kabaila

Personalized Route Recommendation (PRR) aims to generate user-specific route suggestions in response to users' route queries. Early studies cast the PRR task as a pathfinding problem on graphs, and adopt adapted search algorithms by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Jingyuan Wang , Ning Wu , Wayne Xin Zhao , Fanzhang Peng , Xin Lin