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In this paper, we address the challenge of sampling in scenarios where limited resources prevent exhaustive measurement across all subjects. We consider a setting where samples are drawn from multiple groups, each following a distribution…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-29 Carol Liu

We propose a robust and scalable framework for variational Bayes (VB) that effectively handles outliers and contamination of arbitrary nature in large datasets. Our approach divides the dataset into disjoint subsets, computes the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-18 Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla , Shitao Fan , Lizhen Lin

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a framework for performing likelihood-free posterior inference for simulation models. Stochastic Variational inference (SVI) is an appealing alternative to the inefficient sampling approaches…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-29 Alexander Moreno , Tameem Adel , Edward Meeds , James M. Rehg , Max Welling

Wasserstein barycenter, built on the theory of optimal transport, provides a powerful framework to aggregate probability distributions, and it has increasingly attracted great attention within the machine learning community. However, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Jinjin Chi , Zhiyao Yang , Jihong Ouyang , Ximing Li

We establish a general, non-asymptotic error analysis framework for understanding the effects of incremental approximations made by practical approaches for Bayesian sequential learning (BSL) on their long-term inference performance. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Liliang Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

The sliced Wasserstein distance (SW) reduces optimal transport on $\mathbb{R}^d$ to a sum of one-dimensional projections, and thanks to this efficiency, it is widely used in geometry, generative modeling, and registration tasks. Recent work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Manish Acharya , David Hyde

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

Synthetic likelihood (SL) is a strategy for parameter inference when the likelihood function is analytically or computationally intractable. In SL, the likelihood function of the data is replaced by a multivariate Gaussian density over…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-21 Umberto Picchini , Umberto Simola , Jukka Corander

It is common practice to use Laplace approximations to compute marginal likelihoods in Bayesian versions of generalised linear models (GLM). Marginal likelihoods combined with model priors are then used in different search algorithms to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet , Aliaksadr Hubin

Bayesian Last Layer (BLL) models focus solely on uncertainty in the output layer of neural networks, demonstrating comparable performance to more complex Bayesian models. However, the use of Gaussian priors for last layer weights in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Jian Xu , Zhiqi Lin , Shigui Li , Min Chen , Junmei Yang , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

Bayesian filtering for high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems is a fundamental yet challenging problem in many fields of science and engineering. Existing methods face significant obstacles: Gaussian-based filters struggle…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Xintong Wang , Xiaofei Guan , Ling Guo , Hao Wu

Model Updating is frequently used in Structural Health Monitoring to determine structures' operating conditions and whether maintenance is required. Data collected by sensors are used to update the values of some initially unknown…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-23 Felipe Igea , Alice Cicirello

With modern high-dimensional data, complex statistical models are necessary, requiring computationally feasible inference schemes. We introduce Max-and-Smooth, an approximate Bayesian inference scheme for a flexible class of latent Gaussian…

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) hold great promise as a flexible and principled solution to deal with uncertainty when learning from finite data. Among approaches to realize probabilistic inference in deep neural networks, variational Bayes…

Approximate Bayesian inference on the basis of summary statistics is well-suited to complex problems for which the likelihood is either mathematically or computationally intractable. However the methods that use rejection suffer from the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-04 M. G. B. Blum , O. Francois

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Nikolaos Gianniotis , Christoph Schnörr , Christian Molkenthin , Sanjay Singh Bora

Generalised Bayesian inference updates prior beliefs using a loss function, rather than a likelihood, and can therefore be used to confer robustness against possible mis-specification of the likelihood. Here we consider generalised Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates

In federated learning, participating clients typically possess non-i.i.d. data, posing a significant challenge to generalization to unseen distributions. To address this, we propose a Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization scheme…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Tung-Anh Nguyen , Tuan Dung Nguyen , Long Tan Le , Canh T. Dinh , Nguyen H. Tran

We propose a practical Bayesian optimization method using Gaussian process regression, of which the marginal likelihood is maximized where the number of model selection steps is guided by a pre-defined threshold. Since Bayesian optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-19 Jungtaek Kim , Seungjin Choi

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller
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