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Forecasting techniques for assessing the power of future experiments to discriminate between theories or discover new laws of nature are of great interest in many areas of science. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian forecasting method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-24 Mohammad Hossein Namjoo

In clinical trials, there often exist multiple historical studies for the same or related treatment investigated in the current trial. Incorporating historical data in the analysis of the current study is of great importance, as it can help…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Huaqing Jin , Guosheng Yin

We characterize the statistical bootstrap for the estimation of information-theoretic quantities from data, with particular reference to its use in the study of large-scale social phenomena. Our methods allow one to preserve, approximately,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-06-06 Simon DeDeo , Robert X. D. Hawkins , Sara Klingenstein , Tim Hitchcock

Mutual information is widely used in artificial intelligence, in a descriptive way, to measure the stochastic dependence of discrete random variables. In order to address questions such as the reliability of the empirical value, one must…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-06-26 Marco Zaffalon , Marcus Hutter

Mutual information is widely used in artificial intelligence, in a descriptive way, to measure the stochastic dependence of discrete random variables. In order to address questions such as the reliability of the empirical value, one must…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-08 Marco Zaffalon , Marcus Hutter

In this work, a strategy to estimate the information transfer between the elements of a complex system, from the time series associated to the evolution of this elements, is presented. By using the nearest neighbors of each state, the local…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-05 P. Garcia , R. Mujica

The growth of world-wide-web (WWW) spreads its wings from an intangible quantities of web-pages to a gigantic hub of web information which gradually increases the complexity of crawling process in a search engine. A search engine handles a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-08-15 Sudarshan Nandy , Partha Pratim Sarkar , Achintya Das

Incorporating historical information into the design and analysis of a new clinical trial has been the subject of much recent discussion. For example, in the context of clinical trials of antibiotics for drug resistant infections, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Isaac Gravestock , Leonhard Held

The growth of world-wide-web (WWW) spreads its wings from an intangible quantities of web-pages to a gigantic hub of web information which gradually increases the complexity of crawling process in a search engine. A search engine handles a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-08-14 Sudarshan Nandy , Partha Pratim Sarkar , Achintya Das

Recently proposed methods in data subset selection, that is active learning and active sampling, use Fisher information, Hessians, similarity matrices based on gradients, and gradient lengths to estimate how informative data is for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Andreas Kirsch , Yarin Gal

Experimental design is crucial for inference where limitations in the data collection procedure are present due to cost or other restrictions. Optimal experimental designs determine parameters that in some appropriate sense make the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-11 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Roger G. Ghanem , Paris Hajali

Experimentally observed networks of interacting dynamical systems are inferred from recorded multivariate time series by evaluating a statistical measure of dependence, usually the cross-correlation coefficient, or mutual information. These…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-07-03 Milan Palus

We consider the use of Bayesian information criteria for selection of the graph underlying an Ising model. In an Ising model, the full conditional distributions of each variable form logistic regression models, and variable selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-09 Rina Foygel Barber , Mathias Drton

Real-world deployment of machine learning models is challenging because data evolves over time. While no model can work when data evolves in an arbitrary fashion, if there is some pattern to these changes, we might be able to design methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Rasool Fakoor , Jonas Mueller , Zachary C. Lipton , Pratik Chaudhari , Alexander J. Smola

Meta-analysis is widely used to integrate results from multiple experiments to obtain generalized insights. Since meta-analysis datasets are often heteroscedastic due to varying subgroups and temporal heterogeneity arising from experiments…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Keiichi Ochiai , Takahiro Hoshino

Bayesian hierarchical model (BHM) has been widely used in synthesizing information across subgroups. Identifying heterogeneity in the data and determining proper strength of borrow have long been central goals pursued by researchers.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Xuetao Lu , J. Jack Lee

Randomized controlled clinical trials provide the gold standard for evidence generation in relation to the efficacy of a new treatment in medical research. Relevant information from previous studies may be desirable to incorporate in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-29 Lou E. Whitehead , James M. S. Wason , Oliver Sailer , Haiyan Zheng

The recent 21st Century Cures Act propagates innovations to accelerate the discovery, development, and delivery of 21st century cures. It includes the broader application of Bayesian statistics and the use of evidence from clinical…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-10 Satrajit Roychoudhury , Beat Neuenschwander

Historical data from previous clinical trials, observational studies and health records may be utilized in analysis of clinical trials data to strengthen inference. Under the Bayesian framework incorporation of information obtained from any…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-23 Shirin Golchi

In the case of informative sampling the sampling scheme explicitly or implicitly depends on the response variable. As a result, the sample distribution of response variable can- not be used for making inference about the population. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-18 Anna Sikov