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This article introduces a nonparametric approach to spectral analysis of a high-dimensional multivariate nonstationary time series. The procedure is based on a novel frequency-domain factor model that provides a flexible yet parsimonious…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Zeda Li , Ori Rosen , Fabio Ferrarelli , Robert T. Krafty

A deep convolutional fuzzy system (DCFS) on a high-dimensional input space is a multi-layer connection of many low-dimensional fuzzy systems, where the input variables to the low-dimensional fuzzy systems are selected through a moving…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-13 Li-Xin Wang

Financial time series (FTS) generation models are a core pillar to applications in finance. Risk management and portfolio optimization rely on realistic multivariate price generation models. Accordingly, there is a strong modelling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-10 Howard Caulfield , James P. Gleeson

Regression with non-Euclidean responses -- e.g., probability distributions, networks, symmetric positive-definite matrices, and compositions -- has become increasingly important in modern applications. In this paper, we propose deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Kyum Kim , Yaqing Chen , Paromita Dubey

Deep learning is a hierarchical inference method formed by subsequent multiple layers of learning able to more efficiently describe complex relationships. In this work, Deep Gaussian Mixture Models are introduced and discussed. A Deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-21 Cinzia Viroli , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Copula models are widely employed in multivariate time series analysis because they permit flexible modelling of marginal distributions independently of the dependence structure, which is fully characterised by the copula function. However,…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-24 Daniel Fynn , David Gunawan , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

We present the Wright-Fisher Indian buffet process (WF-IBP), a probabilistic model for time-dependent data assumed to have been generated by an unknown number of latent features. This model is suitable as a prior in Bayesian nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-23 Valerio Perrone , Paul A. Jenkins , Dario Spano , Yee Whye Teh

High-dimensional functional time series (HDFTS) are often characterized by nonlinear trends and high spatial dimensions. Such data poses unique challenges for modeling and forecasting due to the nonlinearity, nonstationarity, and high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-28 Haixu Wang , Jiguo Cao

Deep learning has shown impressive results in a variety of time series forecasting tasks, where modeling the conditional distribution of the future given the past is the essence. However, when this conditional distribution is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Siqi Liu , Andreas Lehrmann

A fast nonparametric procedure for classifying functional data is introduced. It consists of a two-step transformation of the original data plus a classifier operating on a low-dimensional hypercube. The functional data are first mapped…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-29 Karl Mosler , Pavlo Mozharovskyi

Recommendation systems and computing advertisements have gradually entered the field of academic research from the field of commercial applications. Click-through rate prediction is one of the core research issues because the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Li Zhang , Weichen Shen , Shijian Li , Gang Pan

A linear multi-factor model is one of the most important tools in equity portfolio management. The linear multi-factor models are widely used because they can be easily interpreted. However, financial markets are not linear and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Kei Nakagawa , Tomoki Ito , Masaya Abe , Kiyoshi Izumi

In this paper we present a Fourier feature based deep domain decomposition method (F-D3M) for partial differential equations (PDEs). Currently, deep neural network based methods are actively developed for solving PDEs, but their efficiency…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-05 Sen Li , Yingzhi Xia , Yu Liu , Qifeng Liao

A large collection of time series poses significant challenges for classical and neural forecasting approaches. Classical time series models fail to fit data well and to scale to large problems, but succeed at providing uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-04 Danielle C. Maddix , Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola

Time series forecasting models are becoming increasingly prevalent due to their critical role in decision-making across various domains. However, most existing approaches represent the coupled temporal patterns, often neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Xiaoyu Tao , Zhiding Liu , Daoyu Wang

Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) as a model prior in Bayesian learning intuitively exploits the expressive power in function composition. DGPs also offer diverse modeling capabilities, but inference is challenging because marginalization in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Chi-Ken Lu , Patrick Shafto

Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs) have emerged as a powerful family of generative models that can yield high-fidelity samples and competitive log-likelihoods across a range of domains, including image and speech synthesis.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Daniel Watson , Jonathan Ho , Mohammad Norouzi , William Chan

Multiway datasets are commonly analyzed using unsupervised matrix and tensor factorization methods to reveal underlying patterns. Frequently, such datasets include timestamps and could correspond to, for example, health-related measurements…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Christos Chatzis , Carla Schenker , Jérémy E. Cohen , Evrim Acar

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

This paper proposes a data-adaptive factor model (DAFM), a novel framework for extracting common factors that explain the structures of high-dimensional data. DAFM adopts a composite quantile strategy to adaptively capture the full…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Seeun Park , Hee-Seok Oh
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