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Volatility is a natural risk measure in finance as it quantifies the variation of stock prices. A frequently considered problem in mathematical finance is to forecast different estimates of volatility. What makes it promising to use deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-14 Bernadett Aradi , Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

The US stock market experienced instability following the recession (2007-2009). COVID-19 poses a significant challenge to US stock traders and investors. Traders and investors should keep up with the stock market. This is to mitigate risks…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-07 Reza Nematirad , Amin Ahmadisharaf , Ali Lashgari

The aim of this paper is the analysis and selection of stock trading systems that combine different models with data of different nature, such as financial and microeconomic information. Specifically, based on previous work by the authors…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Juan C. King , Jose M. Amigo

In this work, we present our findings and experiments for stock-market prediction using various textual sentiment analysis tools, such as mood analysis and event extraction, as well as prediction models, such as LSTMs and specific…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-01-22 Jordan Prosky , Xingyou Song , Andrew Tan , Michael Zhao

Natural Language Processing(NLP) demonstrates a great potential to support financial decision-making by analyzing the text from social media or news outlets. In this work, we build a platform to study the NLP-aided stock auto-trading…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Jinan Zou , Haiyao Cao , Lingqiao Liu , Yuhao Lin , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Javen Qinfeng Shi

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, long short term memory (LSTM), one kind of recurrent neural network (RNN), has been widely applied in time series prediction. Like RNN, Transformer is designed to handle the sequential…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Paul Bilokon , Yitao Qiu

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting has become increasingly important, affecting agriculture, energy management, environmental protection, and daily life. This study introduces a hybrid model combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yuhao Gong , Yuchen Zhang , Fei Wang , Chi-Han Lee

Recent literature implements machine learning techniques to assess corporate credit rating based on financial statement reports. In this work, we analyze the performance of four neural network architectures (MLP, CNN, CNN2D, LSTM) in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-06 Parisa Golbayani , Dan Wang , Ionut Florescu

For a long-time, researchers have been developing a reliable and accurate predictive model for stock price prediction. According to the literature, if predictive models are correctly designed and refined, they can painstakingly and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-24 Ananda Chatterjee , Hrisav Bhowmick , Jaydip Sen

Multivariate time series are routinely encountered in real-world applications, and in many cases, these time series are strongly correlated. In this paper, we present a deep learning structural time series model which can (i) handle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-03 Changwei Hu , Yifan Hu , Sungyong Seo

Forecasting stock returns is a challenging problem due to the highly stochastic nature of the market and the vast array of factors and events that can influence trading volume and prices. Nevertheless it has proven to be an attractive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-15 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Yang Xu , Ruihai Dong

Predicting financial markets and stock price movements requires analyzing a company's performance, historic price movements, industry-specific events alongside the influence of human factors such as social media and press coverage. We…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Ali Elahi , Fatemeh Taghvaei

The prediction of stock price movement direction is significant in financial circles and academic. Stock price contains complex, incomplete, and fuzzy information which makes it an extremely difficult task to predict its development trend.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-09 Ashish Kumar , Abeer Alsadoon , P. W. C. Prasad , Salma Abdullah , Tarik A. Rashid , Duong Thu Hang Pham , Tran Quoc Vinh Nguyen

In today's complex and volatile financial market environment, risk management of multi-asset portfolios faces significant challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods, due to their limited ability to capture complex correlations between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Fu Lei , Ge Shi

Advances in deep neural network (DNN) architectures have enabled new prediction techniques for stock market data. Unlike other multivariate time-series data, stock markets show two unique characteristics: (i) \emph{multi-order dynamics}, as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-28 Thanh Trung Huynh , Minh Hieu Nguyen , Thanh Tam Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Matthias Weidlich , Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen , Karl Aberer

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

In recent years, deep learning techniques have outperformed traditional models in many machine learning tasks. Deep neural networks have successfully been applied to address time series forecasting problems, which is a very important topic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Pedro Lara-Benítez , Manuel Carranza-García , José C. Riquelme

In this paper, a time series algorithm based on Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM) optimization is used to forecast stock prices effectively, taking into account the trend of the big data era. The data are…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Xinye Sha

For the development of successful share trading strategies, forecasting the course of action of the stock market index is important. Effective prediction of closing stock prices could guarantee investors attractive benefits. Machine…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-16 Nazish Ashfaq , Zubair Nawaz , Muhammad Ilyas