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The emerging system at the European level can be conceptualized as a pattern of relations among member states that tends to be reproduced despite disturbances in individual trajectories. The Markov property is used as an indicator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-01-26 Loet Leydesdorff , Nienke Oomes

In a continuous time stochastic economy, this paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market in which the representative investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-12 Traian A. Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

This paper addresses the structure and dynamics of an open market economy and its relations with the real interest rate. In this respect, the paper is situated within a broad conventional literature. However, it departs from the standard…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-06 Carlos Esteban Posada , Liz Londoño-Sierra

This article conducts a literature review on the topic of monetary policy in developing countries and focuses on the effectiveness of monetary policy in promoting economic growth and the relationship between monetary policy and economic…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-07 Marouane Daoui

The study examined the relationship between capital market performance and the macroeconomic dynamics in Nigeria, and it utilized secondary data spanning 1993 to 2020. The data was analyzed using vector error correction model (VECM)…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-05 Oladapo Fapetu , Segun Michael Ojo , Adekunle Alexander Balogun , Adeoba Adepoju Asaolu

We discovered that past changes in the market correlation structure are significantly related with future changes in the market volatility. By using correlation-based information filtering networks we device a new tool for forecasting the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-31 Nicoló Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

The money market and the capital market of the Indian financial markets have a symbiotic relationship in the development of the Indian economy. The nature and the characteristics of the markets differ to a large extent as the money market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-21 Bilal Hungund , Shilpa Rastogi

In this study, we examine the fluctuation in the value of the Great Britain Pound (GBP). We focus particularly on its relationship with the United States Dollar (USD) and the Euro (EUR) currency pairs. Utilizing data from June 15, 2018, to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Narayan Tondapu

In an efficient stock market, the returns and their time-dependent volatility are often jointly modeled by stochastic volatility models (SVMs). Over the last few decades several SVMs have been proposed to adequately capture the defining…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Sujay Mukhoti , Pritam Ranjan

This paper tends to define the quantitative relationship between the stock price and time as a time function. Based on the empirical evidence that the log-return of a stock is the series of white noise, a mathematical model of the integral…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-22 Shengfeng Mei , Hong Gao

This paper aims to clarify the relationship between monetary policy shocks and wage inequality. We emphasize the relevance of within and between wage group inequalities in explaining total wage inequality in the United States. Relying on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-03-08 Edmond Berisha , Ram Sewak Dubey , Eric Olson

Systemic risk in banking systems remains a crucial issue that it has not been completely understood. In our toy model, banks are exposed to two sources of risks, namely, market risk from their investments in assets external to the banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Aki-Hiro Sato , Paolo Tasca , Takashi Isogai

We develop a new stock market index that captures the chaos existing in the market by measuring the mutual changes of asset prices. This new index relies on a tensor-based embedding of the stock market information, which in turn frees it…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-09 Masoud Ataei , Shengyuan Chen , Zijiang Yang , M. Reza Peyghami

We propose a class of discrete-time stochastic models for the pricing of inflation-linked assets. The paper begins with an axiomatic scheme for asset pricing and interest rate theory in a discrete-time setting. The first axiom introduces a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We find striking correlations between the presidential election outcome probability and major financial indicators, including USD currency pairs, bond prices, stock index futures, and a market volatility measure. The correlations are…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-08 Matthew DeHaven , Hannah Firestone , Chris Webster

In a general way, stock and bond prices do not display any significant correlation. Yet, if we concentrate our attention on specific episodes marked by a crash followed by a rebound, then we observe that stock prices have a strong…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Sergei Maslov , Bertrand M. Roehner

This paper discusses three key themes in forecasting for monetary policy highlighted in the Bernanke (2024) review: the challenges in economic forecasting, the conditional nature of central bank forecasts, and the importance of forecast…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-28 Laura Coroneo

We consider a financial market in which two securities are traded: a stock and an index. Their prices are assumed to satisfy the Black-Scholes model. Besides assuming that the index is a tradable security, we also assume that it is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-26 Vladimir Vovk

We study historical correlations and lead-lag relationships between individual stock risk (volatility of daily stock returns) and market risk (volatility of daily returns of a market-representative portfolio) in the US stock market. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-03 Stanislav S. Borysov , Alexander V. Balatsky

This paper analyzes the role of money in asset markets characterized by search frictions. We develop a dynamic framework that brings together a model for illiquid financial assets `a la Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen, and a search-theoretic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-09-05 Athanasios Geromichalos , Juan M. Licari , Jose Suarez-Lledo