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Electrical infrastructures provide services at the basis of a number of application sectors, several of which are critical from the perspective of human life, environment or financials. Following the increasing trend in electricity…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-08-16 Giulio Masetti

Two-stage ensemble-based forecasting methods have been studied extensively in the wind power forecasting field. However, deep learning-based wind power forecasting studies have not investigated two aspects. In the first stage, different…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-30 Jiancheng Qin , Jin Yang , Ying Chen , Qiang Ye , Hua Li

Multistep traffic forecasting on road networks is a crucial task in successful intelligent transportation system applications. To capture the complex non-stationary temporal dynamics and spatial dependency in multistep traffic-condition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Zhengchao Zhang , Meng Li , Xi Lin , Yinhai Wang , Fang He

The growing prevalence of extreme weather events driven by climate change poses significant challenges to power system resilience. Infrastructure damage and prolonged power outages highlight the urgent need for effective grid-hardening…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-30 Sifat Chowdhury , Yihsu Chen , Yu Zhang

Time-series forecasting is one of the most active research topics in artificial intelligence. Applications in real-world time series should consider two factors for achieving reliable predictions: modeling dynamic dependencies among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Gabriel Spadon , Shenda Hong , Bruno Brandoli , Stan Matwin , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Jimeng Sun

In this article, we propose a novel ensemble technique with a multi-scheme weighting based on a technique called coopetitive soft gating. This technique combines both, ensemble member competition and cooperation, in order to maximize the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-20 André Gensler , Bernhard Sick

Deep energy-based models are powerful, but pose challenges for learning and inference (Belanger and McCallum, 2016). Tu and Gimpel (2018) developed an efficient framework for energy-based models by training "inference networks" to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Lifu Tu , Richard Yuanzhe Pang , Kevin Gimpel

We present a new model, Predictive State Recurrent Neural Networks (PSRNNs), for filtering and prediction in dynamical systems. PSRNNs draw on insights from both Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and Predictive State Representations (PSRs),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-20 Carlton Downey , Ahmed Hefny , Boyue Li , Byron Boots , Geoffrey Gordon

In this paper, we propose a novel scenario forecasts approach which can be applied to a broad range of power system operations (e.g., wind, solar, load) over various forecasts horizons and prediction intervals. This approach is model-free…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-21 Yize Chen , Xiyu Wang , Baosen Zhang

Multivariate time series prediction has attracted a lot of attention because of its wide applications such as intelligence transportation, AIOps. Generative models have achieved impressive results in time series modeling because they can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Tijin Yan , Hongwei Zhang , Tong Zhou , Yufeng Zhan , Yuanqing Xia

Many systems used by society are extremely vulnerable to space weather events such as solar flares and geomagnetic storms which could potentially cause catastrophic damage. In recent years, many works have emerged to provide early warning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Charles Topliff , Morris Cohen , William Bristow

Developing a unified small-signal model for modern, large-scale power systems that remains accurate across a wide range of operating ranges presents a formidable challenge. Traditional methods, spanning mechanistic modeling, modal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-26 Weicheng Liu , Di Liu , Songyan Zhang , Chao Lu

Anticipating supply chain disruptions before they materialize is a core challenge for firms and policymakers alike. A key difficulty is learning to reason reliably about infrequent, high-impact events from noisy and unstructured inputs - a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Benjamin Turtel , Paul Wilczewski , Kris Skotheim

This paper proposes a generalised and robust multi-factor Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) based Deep Learning (DL) model to forecast electricity load in distribution networks during wildfire seasons. The flexible modelling methods consider data…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-24 Weijia Yang , Sarah N. Sparrow , David C. H. Wallom

Fast and reliable state estimation and tracking are essential for real-time situation awareness in Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) operating in tactical environments or complicated civilian environments. Traditional centralized solutions do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Connor Mclaughlin , Matthew Ding , Deniz Erdogmus , Lili Su

Despite tremendous progress in developing deep-learning-based weather forecasting systems, their design space, including the impact of different design choices, is yet to be well understood. This paper aims to fill this knowledge gap by…

Parameter Estimation (PE) and State Estimation (SE) are the most wide-spread tasks in the system engineering. They need to be done automatically, fast and frequently, as measurements arrive. Deep Learning (DL) holds the promise of tackling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Laurent Pagnier , Michael Chertkov

A smart home energy management system (HEMS) can contribute towards reducing the energy costs of customers; however, HEMS suffers from uncertainty in both energy generation and consumption patterns. In this paper, we propose a sequence to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-28 Mina Razghandi , Hao Zhou , Melike Erol-Kantarci , Damla Turgut

Efficiently solving unbalanced three-phase power flow in distribution grids is pivotal for grid analysis and simulation. There is a pressing need for scalable algorithms capable of handling large-scale unbalanced power grids that can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Salah Ghamizi , Jun Cao , Aoxiang Ma , Pedro Rodriguez

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes