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We define a time dependent empirical process based on $n$ i.i.d.~fractional Brownian motions and establish Gaussian couplings and strong approximations to it by Gaussian processes. They lead to functional laws of the iterated logarithm for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Péter Kevei , David M. Mason

We provide a uniform law for the weak convergence of additive functionals of partial sum processes to the local times of linear fractional stable motions, in a setting sufficiently general for statistical applications. Our results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 James A. Duffy

We present normal approximation results at the process level for local functionals defined on dynamic Poisson processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$. The dynamics we study here are those of a Markov birth-death process. We prove functional limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Efe Onaran , Omer Bobrowski , Robert J. Adler

In this article we will introduce the realised semicovariance for Brownian semistationary (BSS) processes, which is obtained from the decomposition of the realised covariance matrix into components based on the signs of the returns, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Yuan Li , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

In this paper, we present the asymptotic theory for integrated functions of increments of Brownian local times in space. Specifically, we determine their first-order limit, along with the asymptotic distribution of the fluctuations. Our key…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Simon Campese , Nicolas Lengert , Mark Podolskij

We study non-linear additive functionals of stationary Gaussian fields over anisotropically growing domains in $\mathbb{R}^d$, including spatiotemporal settings, and establish Gaussian and non-Gaussian limit theorems under non-separable…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Nikolai Leonenko , Leonardo Maini , Ivan Nourdin , Francesca Pistolato

Our aim in this article is to provide explicit computable estimates for the cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) and the $p$-th order moment of the exponential functional of a fractional Brownian motion (fBM) with drift. Using…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-18 José Alfredo López-Mimbela , Gerardo Pérez-Suárez

We establish generalized Gaussian bounds and local limit theorems with Gaussian-type error for the convolution powers of certain complex-valued functions on $\mathbb{Z}^d$. These global space-times estimates/error, which are sharp in…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Pedro H. Alves , Evan Randles

A moderate deviation principle for nonlinear functions of Gaussian processes is established. The nonlinear functions need not be locally bounded. Especially, the logarithm is allowed. (Thus, small deviations of the process are relevant.)…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Boris Tsirelson

We prove a limit theorem on the convergence of the distributions of the scaled last exit time over a slowly moving nonlinear boundary for a class of Gaussian stationary processes. The limit is a double exponential (Gumbel) distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Nikita Karagodin

We prove a central limit theorem for functionals of two independent $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motions with the same Hurst index $H$ in $(\frac{2}{d+1},\frac{2}{d})$ using the method of moments.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-09 David Nualart , Fangjun Xu

This paper studies quasi Bayesian estimation and uncertainty quantification for an unknown function that is identified by a nonparametric conditional moment restriction. We derive contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-08 Sid Kankanala

Approximations of fractional Brownian motion using Poisson processes whose parameter sets have the same dimensions as the approximated processes have been studied in the literature. In this paper, a special approximation to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-05 Yuqiang Li , Hongshuai Dai

We consider additive functionals of Markov processes in continuous time with general (metric) state spaces. We derive concentration bounds for their exponential moments and moments of finite order. Applications include diffusions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-18 Frank Redig , Florian Völlering

In this paper we investigate the local limit theorem for additive functionals of a nonstationary Markov chain with finite or infinite second moment. The moment conditions are imposed on the individual summands and the weak dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-25 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Costel Peligrad

Let $T_{c,\beta}$ denote the smallest $t\ge1$ that a continuous, self-similar Gaussian process with self-similarity index $\alpha>0$ moves at least $\pm c t^\beta$ units. We prove that: (i) If $\beta>\alpha$, then $T_{c,\beta}=\infty$ with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Davar Khoshnevisan , Cheuk Yin Lee

We establish central and non-central limit theorems for sequences of functionals of the Gaussian output of an infinitely-wide random neural network on the d-dimensional sphere . We show that the asymptotic behaviour of these functionals as…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Simmaco Di Lillo , Leonardo Maini , Domenico Marinucci

We derive theorems which outline explicit mechanisms by which anomalous scaling for the probability density function of the sum of many correlated random variables asymptotically prevails. The results characterize general anomalous scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Attilio L. Stella , Fulvio Baldovin

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

We prove limit theorems for functionals of a Poisson point process using the Malliavin calculus on the Poisson space. The target distribution is conditionally either a Gaussian vector or a Poisson random variable. The convergence is stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Ronan Herry